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election-related violence

Electoral Violence – Early Warning and Response How I4P Can Contribute to Peaceful Elections? Sead Alihodzic International Institute for Democracy and Electoral Assistance (IDEA) Geneva, September 2013. election-related violence. Some definitions of election-related violence point to:

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election-related violence

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  1. Electoral Violence – Early Warning and ResponseHow I4P Can Contribute to Peaceful Elections?Sead AlihodzicInternational Institute for Democracy and Electoral Assistance (IDEA)Geneva, September 2013

  2. election-related violence Some definitions of election-related violence point to: (Jeff Fisher - 2002; Timothy Sisk - 2009) • Acts of: • psychological harm (intimidation, coercion, blackmail) • physical harm (including assassinations and killing) • Directed against: • electoral actors • electoral events • electoral facilities • election materials International IDEA

  3. motives • Some incentives for resorting to violence: • ► Seeking electoral advantages • ► Disrupting elections • ► Perception of rigged elections • ► Responding to violence Picture: Reuters -Nairobi December 31, 2007 International IDEA

  4. consequences Election-related violence is: • devastating for human rights • devastating for economy • devastating for democracy International IDEA

  5. I4P and electoral processes Electoral processes Process dynamics Organizational mandates I4P International IDEA

  6. a three latered approcach to the prevention and mitigation of election-related violence

  7. early warning and response International IDEA

  8. early warning and response • Why conflict early warning and response? • Cost-effective • Resources are not sufficient • Key ingredients • Operate in the region of conflict • Collect micro level data • Close to real time data analysis • Early warning owned by those who have mandates to act International IDEA

  9. Kenya pilot – building the IEBC capacity to manage electoral risks

  10. EXAMPLE – risk alert End of Voting Operations and the Start of Result Transmission Risk Problematic Voting Operations 4 March 2013 - based on IEBC and Uwiano information - 2 3 3 3 2 3 5 5 2 2 2 2 Risk Levels 4 Very High High Medium Low Very Low No: Delayed delivery of election materials No: of polling stations opening later than 6 a.m. Incidents of election-related violence 4 Data analysed and mapped by the IEBC on 4 March 2013 through the use of the International IDEA Electoral Risk Management Tool International IDEA

  11. EXAMPLE – risk alert International IDEA

  12. How I4P Can Contribute to Peaceful Elections? • Build and enhance understanding electoral processes (electoral phases, linkages and mandates) • Consult/include election experts • Partner with electoral management bodies and SSAs • Create incentives for collaboration - be patient! • Collect and analyse micro-level data to ensure early and coordinated (multi-layered) action • Learn, improve and share – tell your stories! I4P International IDEA International IDEA

  13. Thank You! www.idea.int

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