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CBIA EPC New England Energy Supply Outlook

CBIA EPC New England Energy Supply Outlook. Thomas Santa Santa Energy Corporation October 18 th , 2013. New England Energy Supply Outlook. NE Market Overviews Natural Gas Distillate Fuel Electricity National Outlook Conclusions. Connecticut Natural Gas Market Share Source: USDOE-EIA.

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CBIA EPC New England Energy Supply Outlook

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  1. CBIA EPC New England Energy Supply Outlook Thomas Santa Santa Energy Corporation October 18th, 2013

  2. New England Energy Supply Outlook • NE Market Overviews • Natural Gas • Distillate Fuel • Electricity • National Outlook • Conclusions

  3. Connecticut Natural Gas Market Share Source: USDOE-EIA

  4. State of Connecticut Oil & Natural Gas Consumption by Sector

  5. Monthly Average Natural Gas Flows North into New England on Algonquin Transmission Pipeline

  6. Annual Average Henry Hub Spot Natural Gas Prices1990-2040 (2011 Dollars per Million Btu)

  7. Henry Hub Natural Gas Price

  8. Spectra AIM Project- Nov. 2016450,000 mcf/day

  9. Tennessee Gas PipelineCT Expansion Project – 72,000 mcf/Day - Due Late 2016TGP Northeast Expansion- 0.5-1.7Bcf/Day- Dec. 2016Wright to Dracut- 0.5-1.0Bcf/Day- TBD 2017

  10. 2013 New England Natural Gas Supply AdditionsDeep Panuke- 300,000mcf/day

  11. New England Distillate StocksOctober 2005-2013 (Barrels x 1000)

  12. Monthly Heating Oil and Brent Crude Oil Prices Dollars Per Gallon

  13. Heating Oil Sulfur Requirement by State 2013-2018Sulfur Content in PPM

  14. Natural Gas’s Annual Share of Total Electricity Sales in New England

  15. Vermont Yankee’s Percent of New England Electricity Sales

  16. New England Nuclear Fleet- 2013

  17. Current Spot Prices Oct 2013- Delivered to large commercial user Dollars Per million BTUs

  18. U.S. Net Imports of Natural Gas by Source 1990-2040 (trillion cubic feet)

  19. Weekly U.S. Net Imports of Total Petroleum Products

  20. 4-Week Average U.S. Exports Propane & Propylene

  21. Conclusions • New England rapidly adjusting to the new US supply equation • The Ct state government aggressively promoting a mono-fuel state • Connecticut in a precarious energy supply position through 2016 • Oil/Gas/ Propane cost relationships will not hold at current levels.

  22. Thank You! Santa Energy Corporation

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