2:00-3:00 Plenary - GLOBEC NWA Finale Summary of key findings

1. 2:00-3:00 Plenary - GLOBEC NWA Finale • Summary of key findings • Prog Oce Volume 2010 • Final GLOBEC symposium, DC • 3:00-3:30 Break • 3:30-5:00 Plenary - GLOBEC NWA Transitioning • Pan-regional projects • Davis: Transitioning GLOBEC to management • Workshops, modeling/ovserving systems

2. GLOBEC NWA Finale Summary of key findings • Freshening of NWA from melting Arctic causes early spring phytoplankton bloom, higher copepod abundance, better growth and survival of larval cod and haddock. • NAO-induced intrusions of Labrador Slope Water into the GB-GoM region causes reduced nutrient supply and lower system productivity and affects Calanus abundance Other key findings? • Physical processes: tidal pumping • Larval fish - growth/survival mechanisms • Copepods - life cycles and life histories with phys/biol

3. Prog Oce Volume 2010 • Subject: Special Issue invitation PROOCE • From: "Broerse, Sandra (ELS-AMS)” <S.Broerse@elsevier.com> • Date: Fri, 18 Apr 2008 15:31:19 +0200 • To: <cdavis@whoi.edu> • CC: <Gregory.Lough@noaa.gov> • Dear Dr. Davis, • RE: SI Climate forcing of a temperate marine ecosystem: A case study of the Georges Bank-Gulf of Maine region • I am delighted to be able to formally confirm that the Editors of Progress in Oceanography have recommended that we proceed with the proposed special issue and, based on his approval, I am writing to confirm the publishing arrangements for this project.

4. Outline of synthesis volume for the GLOBEC NWA Program. Volume Title: Climate forcing of a temperate marine ecosystem: A case study of the Georges Bank-Gulf of Maine region. Synthesis paper #1: Introduction The GLOBEC Northwest Atlantic Program: A study of multiscale biological-physical dynamics controlling plankton and fish populations on Georges Bank. Authors: Davis, Wiebe, Beardsley, Lough, Mountain, et al. Synopsis: This paper describes the GLOBEC NWA program history, concepts, goals, and approach, but does not include findings. It sets the stage for the ensuing synthesis papers. Synthesis paper #2: Title/subject: The physical oceanography of the GB-GoM system, local and remote forcing. Possible Authors: Beardsley et al. Synopsis: This paper summarizes and reviews what we learned about the physics of the region including recent climate scenarios, NAO-LSW-WSW, and salinity anomalies, as well as local dynamics, tides, winds, heating etc. This paper also includes predictions of future physics. Synthesis paper #3: Title/subject: Local and remote forcing of nutrient and phytoplankton dynamics in the GB-GoM region. Possible Authors: Townsend, Ji, et al. Synopsis: This paper summarizes and reviews what we learned about the nutrients and phytoplankton and how they are affected by physics including local dynamics and future climate change scenarios.

5. Synthesis paper #4: Title/subject: The relative importance of climate change and local processes in controlling zooplankton populations in the GB/GoM region. Possible Authors: Davis, Durbin, Runge, Madin, Wiebe et al. Synopsis: This paper summarizes and reviews what we learned about processes contolling zooplankton dynamics, including data synthesis and modeling results with predictions of how global change is likely to affect these populations. This synthesis paper also includes the zooplankton predators. Synthesis paper #5: Title/subject: Multi-scale biological-physical interactions controlling recruitment processes in cod and haddock on Georges Bank. Possible Authors: Lough, Fogarty, Buckley, Kristiansen, Petrik et al. Synopsis: This paper compiles all the factors controlling survival and growth of larval cod and haddock including local and remote forcing, top-down vs bottom up effects, and presents a synthesized view of how these populations may be impacted in the future. It should include discussion of how the results will be used to better manage the fisheries by links with the full-life cycle and stock assessments. Synthesis paper #6: Title/subject: Multiscale biological-physical modeling of the GB-GoM region. Possible Authors: Ji, Chen, Beardsley, McGillicuddy, Gangopadhyay, Runge, Werner, Davis et al. Synopsis: This paper summarizes and reviews what we learned through numerical modeling about how multi-scale physical forcing of the region, including climate forcing (NAO-LSW-WSW, salinity anomalies) and local physics (tides, winds, heat flux) affects biological dynamics including NPZD-copepod species-fish species. This paper also includes predictions of how biological dynamics will change with future physical forcing scenarios and more generally how temperate marine ecosystems are likely to respond mechanistically to climate change.

6. Synthesis paper #7: Title/subject: New sampling techniques and approaches developed and used in the GLOBEC NWA program. Possible Authors: Gallager, Davis, Bucklin, Wiebe, Buckley, Benfield, et al. Synopsis: This paper summarizes the new technological developments developed and used in the program, including new optical imaging systems, acoustic samplers, and molecular techniques. The paper describes how this technology has made its way from the initial GLOBEC studies into the broader biological oceanographic community. Synthesis paper #8: Summary Title/subject: Toward a mechanistic understanding of how climate change affects zooplantkton and fish populations in a temperate marine ecosystem: assessment and future goals Possible Authors: Davis, Runge, Wiebe, Beardsley, et al... Synopsis: This paper highlights how the approach taken by NWA GLOBEC program has led to new insights into how plankton and fish populations are controlled by local forcing and climate change. It demonstrates the power of studying individual species, populations, and species, how they are affected by each other and by physics, and how this has led to powerful new biological/physical modeling tools that have given us new understanding of how climate affects plankton and fish. This final summary also will point to how these results and method may be transitioned into operational tools that managers can use, including modeling and observation systems Additional synthesis paper? Transioning GLOBEC for Ecosystem Approaches to Management Possible Authors: Fogarty, Davis, Runge, Wiebe et al

7. Final GLOBEC symposium, DC 2010 • NAS Auditorium unavailable, renovated Apr 2009-2011 • Baird Auditorium in Smithsonian Museum - Available plus evening exhibit hall • What do we want to present from the NWA program?

8. 3:30-5:00 Plenary: GLOBEC NWA Transitioning Pan-regional projects • Davis: Transitioning GLOBEC to management • Workshops, modeling/ovserving systems • Cameo projects?