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Economic Factors Impacting New England District: Addressing Housing, Inflation, and Unemployment

This article explores the GDP growth, housing sector challenges, fear of inflation due to high gas prices, and recent unemployment rate surge in the U.S., with a focus on the New England District. It discusses the low correlation between high oil prices and core inflation, the Mortgage Relief Initiative by the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, and recommendations for economic stabilization.

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Economic Factors Impacting New England District: Addressing Housing, Inflation, and Unemployment

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  1. Boston Federal Reserve The New England District By: Alan Sanders & Jackson Ta

  2. GDP Growth

  3. Economic Factors • Housing Sector – Subprime Crisis and Declining Asset Value • Fear of Inflation Through High Gas Prices • Recent Surge in the Unemployment Rate

  4. U.S National Home Price Index Information Taken From - S&P/Case-Shiller Home price Indices

  5. History of Avg. Home Prices In New England District Information Taken From - S&P/Case-Shiller Home price Indices

  6. Gas Prices In The U.S & New England District Information Taken From - www.eia.doe.gov/oil_gas

  7. Historical U.S Inflation Rates Taken From The Bureau Of Labor Statistics

  8. Unemployment In The U.S

  9. Unemployment Rates in New England District

  10. http://www.frbsf.org/publications/economics/fedviews/Fedviews_slides_June%202008.pdfhttp://www.frbsf.org/publications/economics/fedviews/Fedviews_slides_June%202008.pdf

  11. Low Correlation between High Oil Prices and Core Inflation • High oil prices are unlikely to create higher prices within the economy. • The past twenty years indicates a low correlation between oil prices and the core rate of inflation. • A rise in oil prices will lead to greater conservation efforts and slower economic growth. As a result the demand for energy will decrease. • High oil prices will also spur technological innovation, and will drive production of energy substitutes. Therefore the supply of energy will increase as well.

  12. Sources: http://tonto.eia.doe.gov/dnav/pet/pet_pri_top.asp http://www.bos.frb.org/economic/neei/neeidata.htm#prices

  13. Mortgage Relief Initiative • The Federal Reserve Bank of Boston has partnered with the Massachusetts Bankers Association in an effort to reduce the impact of the credit crisis. • Participating banks are helping eligible homeowners refinance their loans. Source: http://www.wickedlocal.com/wakefield/news/x379971261/Mortgage-relief-initiative-expands-and-evolves

  14. Recommendations • Do Nothing: the economy is experiencing pains due to increased oil prices, higher unemployment, and a weakening of the housing markets. Economics will solve these problems naturally. • Eventually tighten the money supply. This will establish credibility within the financial markets.

  15. http://www.frbsf.org/publications/economics/fedviews/Fedviews_slides_June%202008.pdfhttp://www.frbsf.org/publications/economics/fedviews/Fedviews_slides_June%202008.pdf

  16. http://www.frbsf.org/publications/economics/fedviews/Fedviews_slides_June%202008.pdfhttp://www.frbsf.org/publications/economics/fedviews/Fedviews_slides_June%202008.pdf

  17. Keep an eye on Foreign Central Banks • International Banks have been tightening their supply of money. • The People’s Bank of China recently raised bank reserve requirements. • The European Central Bank may be looking to raise rates in response to the cooled U.S. market.

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