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Enhancing the Production and Presentation of Unemployment Statistics: A Comparative Study

This paper discusses significant comparability issues in the production and presentation of unemployment statistics across different countries. It examines various dimensions of comparability, including conceptual boundaries, entry and duration metrics, and the influence of International Labour Organization (ILO) criteria. The study highlights the advantages and disadvantages of current methodologies, focusing on survey questions related to employment that may overlook crucial factors such as short-term unemployment. The authors propose reforms to improve accuracy by integrating administrative data and better defining entry into unemployment.

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Enhancing the Production and Presentation of Unemployment Statistics: A Comparative Study

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  1. IASSIST 2005 Evidence and EnlightenmentThe production and presentation of unemployment statistics – comparability issuesBy John Adams (Napier University, Scotland), Hasan Al-Madfai (University ofGlamorgan, Wales) and Ray Thomas (Open University, England)

  2. Dimensions of comparability • Conceptual • Boundaries • Entry and duration • Denominators • Influence

  3. ILO/survey criteria • Not in employment/available to start work • Seeking work main criterion • Advantages – universal/independence from admin schemes • Disadvantages – fuzzy/bends towards exits/incompatible with admin schemes

  4. CPS questions on employment • LAST WEEK, did you do ANY work for (either) pay (or profit) ? • LAST WEEK, did you do any unpaid work in the family business or farm ?

  5. The entry oversight Question on unemployment addressed only to those already unemployed Misses entry to unemployment Duration statistics relate only to uncompleted spells Miss unemployment of less than four weeks

  6. Entry oversight (cont’d) • Misses a forward indicator • Misses ‘reasons’ for unemployment • Misses link with other labour market ‘states’

  7. Unemployment rates for PCAs in England in 2004

  8. Reforms for the LFS • Recognise entry to unemployment and reasons for unemployment with questions to all respondents. • Embrace not ignore administrative systems • Use administrative records as part of sampling frame.

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