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PORTFOLIO COMMITTEE ON FINANCE

September 2003. PORTFOLIO COMMITTEE ON FINANCE. INTERNATIONAL ECONOMY. International oil price - monthly average. OECD leading indicators and industrial production. World Economic Outlook: Real GDP. Annual percentage change in real GDP Actual Projections.

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PORTFOLIO COMMITTEE ON FINANCE

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  1. September 2003 PORTFOLIOCOMMITTEE ON FINANCE

  2. INTERNATIONAL ECONOMY

  3. International oil price - monthly average

  4. OECD leading indicators and industrial production

  5. World Economic Outlook: Real GDP Annual percentage change in real GDP Actual Projections 2002 2003 2004 World 3,0 3,2 4,1 Advanced economies 1,8 1,8 2,9 USA 2,4 2,6 3,9 Japan 0,2 2,0 1,4 Euro area 0,9 0,5 1,9 United Kingdom 1,9 1,7 2,4 Developing countries 4,6 5,0 5,6 Africa 3,1 3,7 4,8 Asia 6,4 6,4 6,5 Western hemisphere -0,1 1,1 3,6 Countries in transition 4,2 4,9 4,7 Source: IMF World Economic Outlook - September 2003

  6. World Economic Outlook: Consumer prices Annual percentage change in consumer prices Actual Projections 2002 2003 2004 World 3,5 3,9 3,2 Advanced economies 1,5 1,8 1,3 USA 1,6 2,1 1,3 Japan -0,9 -0,3 -0,6 Euro area 2,3 2,0 1,6 United Kingdom 2,2 2,8 2,5 Developing countries 5,3 5,9 4,9 Africa 9,3 10,6 7,7 Asia 2,0 2,5 2,9 Western hemisphere 8,7 10,9 7,0 Countries in transition 11,1 9,7 9,1 Source: IMF World Economic Outlook - September 2003

  7. USA: Real gross domestic product

  8. USA: Unemployment rate

  9. USA: Consumer prices

  10. Japan: Real gross domestic product

  11. Japan: Unemployment rate

  12. Japan: Consumer prices

  13. Euro area: Real gross domestic product

  14. Euro area: Unemployment rate

  15. Euro area: Consumer prices

  16. UK: Real gross domestic product

  17. UK: Unemployment

  18. UK: Consumer prices

  19. SADC: Inflation Annual percentage change in consumer prices 2001 2002 Jun 2003 Jul 2003 Aug 2003 Africa 13,0 9,3 * * * Angola 152,6 108,9 110,7 * * Botswana 6,6 8,1 12,7 9,2 8,3 Lesotho 6,9 12,0 6,4 6,9 * Malawi 27,5 16,1 8,5 8,7 * Mauritius 5,4 6,4 4,5 4,3 3,7 Mozambique 9,1 17,1 14,4 13,2 * Namibia 9,3 11,3 8,5 7,1 * Seychelles 6,4 2,0 1,1 5,3 * South Africa 5,7 10,1 6,7 5,2 * Swaziland 7,5 11,7 7,3 6,9 * Tanzania 5,2 4,7 4,4 4,5 * Zambia 21,7 22,2 21,9 20,2 * Zimbabwe 76,7 140,0 365,4 399,5 * * Not available Source: National central banks, unpublished Standard Bank data and IMF World Economic Outlook, April 2003

  20. NATIONAL ECONOMY

  21. Real gross domestic product

  22. Real gross domestic product by thesecondary sector

  23. Real gross domestic expenditure

  24. Real final consumption expenditureby households

  25. Real household disposable income

  26. Household debt as percentage of household disposable income

  27. Real final consumption expenditure bygeneral government

  28. Real gross fixed capital formation

  29. Real domestic final demand

  30. Change in inventories

  31. Gross saving as percentage of grossdomestic product

  32. Non-agricultural employment

  33. Labour market statistics, based on the labour force survey Feb Sep Feb Sep 2001 2001 2002 2002 (000’s) (000’s) (000’s) (000’s) a Total employment 11 837 10 833 11 393 11 029 Among the employed: Employed in the formal sector SEE survey (excluding agriculture and certain activities not covered in SEE) 4 676 4 650 4 634 4 679 Employed in agriculture 1 352 1 051 1 538 1 331 Employed in the formal sector in activities not covered in SEE 2 002 2 223 2 403 2 355 Employed in the informal sector 2 665 1 873 1 767 1 703 Employed in domestic service 914 916 972 875 b Total unemployed (official definition) 4 240 4 525 4 738 4 837 c Total economically active = a + b 16 077 15 358 16 130 15 866 d Total not economically active 11 044 12 006 11 543 12 118 e Total aged 15‑65 years = c + d 27 121 27 365 27 673 27 984 f Official unemployment rate = b * 100/c 26,4% 29,5% 29,4% 30,5%

  34. Non-agricultural nominal remunerationper worker

  35. Non-agricultural labour productivity

  36. Non-agricultural nominal unit labour cost

  37. Nominal unit labour cost in manufacturing

  38. All-goods production prices

  39. Overall inflation and CPIX

  40. Balance of payments: Current account

  41. Balance on financial account

  42. Financial account

  43. Gross gold and other foreign exchange reserves

  44. Gross gold and other foreign exchange reserves

  45. Imports covered by reserves

  46. Net open position in foreign currency

  47. Average net daily turnover in South African foreign exchange market

  48. Exchange rates of the rand

  49. Real effective exchange rate of the rand

  50. M3 money supply

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