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The outlook for the mining industry in Alaska is shaped by global market dynamics, environmental regulations, and local challenges. Over the past five years, 40% of top mining companies have disappeared, and capital markets remain tight, especially for junior miners. Significant resources exist, including copper, gold, silver, and zinc, yet issues like land status and pre-feasibility costs hinder development. Innovations in technology and a positive state attitude may provide pathways to overcome these obstacles. Future exploration is crucial, despite historical setbacks.
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Global Markets • Alaskan Issues • Resource Potential
Global Consolidation & Change • Capital Markets Are Very Tight • Junior Capital Market is Dismal • Management Focused on Return on Capital • 40% of Top Mining Companies Have Disappeared in the Past 5 Years
Western World Zinc Consumption Thou Metric Tonnes Trend Growth 1980-2000 2.5%/yr Source: ILZSG, Teck Cominco
ZINC REFINING CAPACITY 33% 7% 13% 8% 11% 9% 2% 4% 2% 5% 6% Total World Capacity 9,300,000mt Source: Teck Cominco
Restraints to Mining in Alaska • Land Status Issues • Environmental Regulations that are “Urban Oriented” • Pre-feasibility Costs • Transportation & Utility Costs
Dealing With Restraints • Native Lands • State Lands, Mining Laws & Taxation • Effective DEC Committed to Finding Solutions • AIDEA & Positive State Attitude
Alaskan Mine Producers • Healy (Usibelli) Coal • Green’s Creek Silver/Zinc/+ • Red Dog Zinc/Lead • Fort Knox Gold
Known Big Deposits • Beluga Coal • Red Dog District Zinc/Lead • Pogo Gold • Donlin Creek Gold • Pebble Copper • Ambler District Copper/+
Gold from Gravels • Placer industry has contracted enormously in past 20 years • Outlook is poor considering environmental and market conditions • Historical placer districts are good places to look for big, hard rock gold deposits
Exploration • Food for Future Industry • Greatly Reduced in 2002 • Unlikely to Rebound Completely to Historical Levels
Long Term • New Big Discoveries • New Commodities: Platinum, Palladium, Gemstones, Tin, Others • New Technology Especially Related To Local Power Generation and Producing Metals from Concentrate
Conclusions • Excellent Producing Mines Insure Industry for 30 or More Years • Very Little New Activity in 2002 • Long Term Metal Trends Are Not Favorable • Unlikely to Rebound Completely to Historical Levels
Paul Glavinovich (Anchorage) Steve Borell (AMA) Neil Seldon (Vancouver) Charlotte MacCay (TeckCominco) Andy Roebuck (TeckCominco) Jason Brune (RDC) & Others Thanks To...