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Update on Cash Crops

Update on Cash Crops. Coleman Research Group Presentation Aug. 20, 2015 Chad Hart Associate Professor/Crop Markets Specialist chart@iastate.edu 515-294-9911. U.S. Corn Supply and Use. Source: USDA-WAOB. U.S. Soybean Supply and Use. Source: USDA-WAOB. U.S. Wheat Supply and Use.

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Update on Cash Crops

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  1. Update on Cash Crops Coleman Research Group Presentation Aug. 20, 2015 Chad Hart Associate Professor/Crop Markets Specialist chart@iastate.edu 515-294-9911

  2. U.S. Corn Supply and Use Source: USDA-WAOB

  3. U.S. Soybean Supply and Use Source: USDA-WAOB

  4. U.S. Wheat Supply and Use Source: USDA-WAOB

  5. Early Corn Yield Estimate Top: 2015 Estimated Yields Bottom: Change from last year Units: Bushels/acre Source: USDA-NASS

  6. Early Soy Yield Estimate Top: 2015 Estimated Yields Bottom: Change from last year Units: Bushels/acre Source: USDA-NASS

  7. Winter Wheat Yields Top: 2015 Estimated Yields Bottom: Change from last month Units: Bushels/acre Source: USDA-NASS

  8. Wheat Data Source: USDA-NASS

  9. Small Grains Summary Source: USDA-NASS

  10. World Corn Production Source: USDA-WAOB

  11. World Soybean Production Source: USDA-WAOB

  12. World Wheat Production Source: USDA-WAOB

  13. Hog Crush Margin The Crush Margin is the return after the pig, corn and soybean meal costs. Carcass weight: 200 pounds Pig price: 50% of 5 mth out lean hog futures Corn: 10 bushels per pig Soybean meal: 150 pounds per pig Source: ISU Extension

  14. Cattle Crush Margin The Crush Margin is the return after the feeder steer and corn costs. Live weight: 1250 pounds Feeder weight: 750 pounds Corn: 50 bushels per head Source: ISU Extension

  15. U.S. Meat Production & Prices Source: USDA-WAOB

  16. Strength of the U.S. Dollar Source: Federal Reserve

  17. Corn Advance Export Sales Source: USDA-FAS

  18. Soybean Advance Export Sales Source: USDA-FAS

  19. Wheat Export Pace Source: USDA-FAS

  20. Wheat Export Shifts Source: USDA-FAS

  21. Corn Grind for Ethanol

  22. Ethanol Stocks Source: EIA

  23. Ethanol Exports Source: EIA

  24. Current Corn Futures 3.80 3.57 Source: CME Group, 8/18/2015

  25. Current Soybean Futures 8.60 8.49 Source: CME Group, 8/18/2015

  26. Current Wheat Futures 5.09 4.61 Source: CME Group, 8/18/2015

  27. Thoughts for 2015 and Beyond • Supply/demand concerns • Does rain make grain for corn and soybeans? • Export weakness given the strength of the dollar • Competitive balance in wheat export markets

  28. Thank you for your time!Any questions?My web site:http://www.econ.iastate.edu/~chart/Iowa Farm Outlook:http://www.econ.iastate.edu/ifo/Ag Decision Maker:http://www.extension.iastate.edu/agdm/

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