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Global Economic Trends Impacting Agricultural Lenders: Insights by Mark Pearson

Explore economic indicators like GDP, debt ratios, and commodity prices to gauge implications for agricultural lending. Key insights shared by Mark Pearson at the Independent Community Bankers event in Nashville. Stay informed about trends shaping the financial landscape.

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Global Economic Trends Impacting Agricultural Lenders: Insights by Mark Pearson

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  1. ECONOMIC OUTLOOK: IMPLICATIONS FOR AG LENDERS Remarks by Mark Pearson Independent Community Bankers Nashville, Tennessee March 12, 2012

  2. Gross Fed. Debt FY-1900 to FY-2016 Source: usgovernmentspending.com

  3. U.S. National Debt Source: U.S. Treasury, CBO

  4. Thoughts on the World Economy • $71.25 trillion – Global GDP • $14.89 trillion – EU GDP • $14.72 trillion – U.S. GDP • $9.87 trillion – China GDP • $4.33 trillion – Japan GDP • $4.04 trillion – India GDP Source: CIA Factbook

  5. U.S. GDP – FY2004-FY2014 Source: usgovernmentspending.com

  6. WorldReal GDP Growth 1980-2013 Source: Int’l Monetary Fund

  7. U.S. Consumer Confidence Source: University of Michigan

  8. New Housing Starts Source: U.S. Census of Bureau

  9. Manufacturers’ New Orders 2010-11 Source: U.S. Census Bureau

  10. DJIA Five-Year Performance Source: finance.yahoo.com

  11. 10-Year Treasury Note Yield Source: finance.yahoo.com

  12. Five-YearU.S. Dollar Index Source: NYBOT

  13. Five-Year Gold Prices Source: kitco.com

  14. 10-Year Prime Rate Source: MoneyCafe.com

  15. Inflation Adjusted Farmland Values 1964-2010 Source: Chicago Federal Reserve

  16. d Repayment Capacity 1970-2011 Source: ERS, USDA

  17. Farm Sector Debt Ratios 1970-2011 Source: ERS, USDA

  18. d FarmSector Equity 1970-2011 Source: ERS, USDA

  19. Farm Sector Business Debt 1970-2011 Source: ERS, USDA

  20. Light Sweet Crude Oil Source: NYMEX

  21. China’s Total Primary Energy Consumption, 1970-2020 Source: Int’l Energy Outlook

  22. China’s Demand for Oil Imports Source: Int’l Energy Outlook

  23. China Flex Its Military Muscles Source: Defencetalk.com

  24. Vital Maritime Chokepoints Source: EIA

  25. Projected World Population 2050 Source: U.S. Census Bureau

  26. World Population Density

  27. World Population Growth Rate Source: CIA Factbook

  28. “Youth Bulge” Population Impact 300 250 200 150 100 50 25 0 Millions 292.2 Afghanistan 240.3 Iran 158.1 100.2 91.2 Pakistan 79.4 69.4 53.3 25.1 2005 2030 2050 Source: Stanford Center for Longevity

  29. Median Age in Mideast Hot Spots 41 Afghanistan 36 34 Iran 28 23 23 Pakistan 18 20 16 2005 2030 2050 Source: Stanford Center for Longevity

  30. 10-Year Corn Prices Source: NASS

  31. 10-Year Soybean Prices Source: NASS

  32. 10-Year Wheat Prices Source: NASS

  33. 10-Year Cattle Prices Source: NASS

  34. 10-Year Hog Prices Source: NASS

  35. 10-Year Cotton Prices Source: NASS

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