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Risk vs. benefit during aviation operations

Risk vs. benefit during aviation operations. John Burfiend Kris Damsgaard Jami Anzalone. Facts Regarding Aviation Use. There will always be some risk associated with utilizing aviation assets (necessary risk)

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Risk vs. benefit during aviation operations

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  1. Risk vs. benefit during aviation operations John Burfiend Kris Damsgaard Jami Anzalone

  2. Facts Regarding Aviation Use There will always be some risk associated with utilizing aviation assets (necessary risk) Risks should be mitigated to an acceptable level. (this may include not flying)

  3. Why do we use aerial resources?What are the benefits?

  4. Benefits Rotor & Fixed Wing delivery of retardant Rotor wing water delivery Aerial ignition Long line supply missions Personnel delivery “Eyes in the sky”

  5. Identify at least 3 Hazards Associated with Aerial Firefighting

  6. Hazards Smoky Turbulent Congested Airspace Congested Radio Traffic What else?

  7. Hazards Risk Transfer From ground personnel to aviation personnel “Can Do” Philosophy Public Perception

  8. Statistically There are Fewer Aviation Related accidents than ground related accidents in wildfire True Statement?

  9. What percentage of wildland fire fatalities 1999-2009 involved aviation? a. 14% b. 9% c. 27% d. 46% e. None of the above

  10. Is this the answer?

  11. Risk Principles • Accept no unnecessary risk • Make risk decisions at the appropriate level • Accept necessary risk when benefit outweigh cost • Integrate risk management at all planning levels

  12. What do we do to mitigate the risks?

  13. STEPS TO RISK MANAGEMENT • Identify Systems Involved • Identify Hazards • Assess Hazards • Identify Risk Level • Make Risk Decisions • Implement Controls • Supervise

  14. STEPS TO RISK MANAGEMENT Identify Systems Involved (people, procedures, materials, facilities, equipment, training, tools, software…) Identify Hazards (Have ALL hazards been indentified?) Assess Hazards (Exposure time X probability of hazard occurrence = Risk) Identify the risk level

  15. STEPS TO RISK MANAGEMENT Make Risk Decisions (The right person with good information makes the tough calls) Implement Controls (Deliberate action designed to get the job done safely) Supervise (Stay on top of the situation and adjust as necessary)

  16. Risk Management Workbook

  17. What Are Some Other Ways to ManageAviation Risks?

  18. Questions to Consider Fixed vs. Rotor Wing? Water vs. Retardant? March vs. June? (Identify Systems) Does someone have the big picture? (Identify Hazards) Is the air operation supporting the ground directly? (Assess Hazards)

  19. Questions to Consider Has the requesting official (line officer, IC or Ops) truly considered the risk? Is the right person/position making the call? (Identify Risk Level) Does the benefit warrant the necessary risk? Are we looking at the next ridge or the best ridge?(Make Risk Decisions) What is the overall plan for the fire? (Implement Controls)

  20. Questions to Consider Which is more effective water or retardant? Are we flying retardant just to fly retardant? (Supervise)

  21. The Benefit

  22. So… the ATGS has answered the questions and is now responsible for managing all the risks. Right? Right! Right.

  23. Does everyone in the decision process understand and accept the risk level?

  24. Grass fire burning and an aggressive suppression response Is the necessary risk worth the benefit?

  25. The next day….. the results are retardant did not make a difference.

  26. You need to ask yourself this question and ensure everybody else on the fire has asked this question

  27. Is the benefit worth the necessary risk?

  28. We have discussed what you can do to manage risk

  29. Peer to Peer Tools

  30. Peer Reviews • An objective of the Forest Service SMS • Falls under the Quality Assurance Pillar of SMS • There will be four evaluations in R3 this fire season • John Burfiend will be one or the first one • Would like three additional ATGS’s to volunteer for an review. (If not RO will select) • Review team will consist of two to three people with at least one of the members being a R3 ATGS • A positive productive experience

  31. Goals of the Peer Review Understanding safety performance through feedback and monitoring. (Field Management Field) Is what we think is happening (mitigations, risk acceptance) really happening? Feedback allows us to make adjustments if necessary (training, policy etc.). Identify and record valuable decisions for future operations (lessons learned). Provide mentoring opportunities for future operations(succession planning). The Region is going to do quality assurance as part of our SMS, your input and guidance will make it a positive process. The plan to implement this process will be completed soon.

  32. The EndAny Questions

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