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H rvatski dani Interneta 2002 Rijeka, 12-14 lipnja 2002

Boris Žitnik Country Manager IDC Croatia. H rvatski dani Interneta 2002 Rijeka, 12-14 lipnja 2002. A genda. IT Market Developments Internet Market Figures About IDC. Automate Customers. Automate Front-Office. Automate Back-Office. The New Era of IT Development. IT Spending ($B).

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H rvatski dani Interneta 2002 Rijeka, 12-14 lipnja 2002

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  1. Boris ŽitnikCountry ManagerIDC Croatia Hrvatski dani Interneta 2002Rijeka, 12-14 lipnja 2002

  2. Agenda • IT Market Developments • Internet Market Figures • About IDC

  3. Automate Customers Automate Front-Office Automate Back-Office The New Era of IT Development IT Spending ($B) IT Users (M) 5,000 1,000 100 500 10 50 1970 1980 2000 1990 2010

  4. Dot-com crash to global recession IT industry on the ropes Telecom winter September 11 2001

  5. September 11 drops 4% off growth Last Year’s Spending Collapse Worldwide IT Spending Growth % Source: IDC 2002

  6. New technology initiates a new paradigm, creating a speculative bubble The IT Business Cycle Pattern … which eventually leads to a new technology … Long term exploitation of the new paradigm begins, with technology and business innovations that work within the constraints of current mega trends … Reality strikes within 5 years, triggering a temporary slowdown

  7. The Current Rebound Worldwide Estimated Hardware Spending by Quarter $ Billions Quarterly Average Quarterly Spending Source: IDC 2002, estimated based on IDC WW Black Book

  8. Globalization vs. Regional Trends • Last decade, starting from the fall of the Berlin Wall, we have been catching the low-hanging fruits of globalization • Next decade, we will be dealing with major political and economic discontinuities • As a result: • 1) Globalization Trends will go through a number of “stop-and-go” • 2) We will experience lot more economic conflicts and commercial wars among US, Europe and China

  9. 3) International Markets will be characterized by the Emergence of fast Regionalization Processes 4) We will experience a new role of geographies and mushrooming of new business opportunities and regional players in Europe 5) Europe will be a lot more attractive Market, because European Companies will be fighting for competitiveness, they’ll need leading technologies and infrastructures to become more efficient 6) Global Product Lines vs. Geographies Globalization vs. Regional Trends

  10. Present Market Scenario • We come from a very tough year • Our perception is that the market has bottomed out in the last quarter of 2001, and that a slow, cautious and progressive recovery is in place • WW IT spending 2002…5%; ...2003…10% • Main positive indicators to support this perception • IDC’s Opportunity map • CIO magazine Recent Tech Poll • Our own sales are catching up

  11. Applic. Server eLearning Doc.& Cont. Mngm. IT Security Application Integration XML & Virtual DB. System Mngm SW IDC’s Treasure Map Mission Critical Applications Internet and xSP Services App.Develop&Infrastructure SW IT Services Other “Hot Segments” CAGR 01-02 33.2% 100,0% CAGR 01-02 18.2% Asp 60,0% 50,0% SCA 40,0% CAGR 2001-2002 Internet Services Businesware Mngt Syst. eCOMM 30,0% Web Server SW Apps Outs CRM Security SW CAGR 01-02 23% 20,0% Netw&Dtop Outs DW/BI Syst. Integr. IT Consulting SW Supp. Apps LifeCycle Mngm 10,0% ERM CAGR 01-02 9.8% Custom Sw. IS Outs. Proc. Serv. HW Maint. 0,0%

  12. Western Europe $307.2 billion (27.9% of WW) Croatia $390 million (2,9% of CEE) CEE $13.1 billion (1.2% of WW) IT Spending 2001 Total = $1.101 billion

  13. IT Spending/per capita IT spending per capita in CEE, 2001 ($) Izvor: IDC, 2002

  14. IT Spending in Croatia, 1996 - 2003 IT spending ($ million) Source: IDC, 2002

  15. Internet Figures • Internet Users • eCommerce

  16. Internet Users Worldwide 33% buy over the Web 2001 500 Million $500 billion B2C, 6-fold increase 2004 900 Million Source: IDC ICMM V 7.0 Internet Users – Doubling in Numbers

  17. Internet Users (year-end2001) • WW 500,2 • Europe 167,4 • Western Europe 151,3 • CEE 16,1 • Croatia 0,5 Internet users (million) Source: IDC, 2002

  18. eCommerce Worldwide $2.5T eBusiness 2.0 eBusiness 1.0 $0.1T

  19. eCommerce Spending, 2001 ($ billion) Source: IDC, 2002

  20. Businesses with Web Sites(Millions Worldwide) 25 20 15 10 5 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 Outsourced All Web Sites Source: IDC ICMM V7.0 Building More eBusinesses $36 billion networked infrastructure management services $85 billion Web hosting

  21. New Internet Users 2002–2006 New Internet Users 1994–2001 Mobile 479M Mobile 94M 500M 553M Source: IDC Internet Commerce Market Model V 8.1, 2002 Mobile & Wireless: Landscape

  22. IDC Hrvatska • IDC u Hrvatskoj…1996. / OMNIAconsult • IDC Hrvatska …srpanj 2001.

  23. Područja djelovanja • Priprema godišnjih i kvartalnih reporta (on the • shelf produkti) • Istraživanja i projekti po narudžbi • Consulting • IT konferencije

  24. “On The Shelf” produkti • Systems (PCs, Systems & Servers) • Communications (Internet Economy, Telecom) • Office Equipment (Printers quarterly and • annual, MFP, Copiers, Handheld) • Software & Services (IT Services, EAS) • Other (IT Executive Tracker)

  25. Ostaliprodukti • Usluge • Istraživački projekti po narudžbi • Inquiry hours • Prezentacije • IT Konferencije • Storage Roadshow, 02.05.2002.

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