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SCIENTESYS _ Multi -Expert Framatome. 2 2 / 11 /2018. Paris. Project agenda. Phase 0 Preliminary data Framatome will provide key words and technical terms of the field of interest. Phase I Kickoff meeting presentation the phases of the project;
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SCIENTESYS_Multi-Expert Framatome 22/11/2018 Paris
Project agenda Phase 0 Preliminary data Framatome will provide key words and technical terms of the field of interest. Phase I Kickoff meeting presentation the phases of the project; definition of the target documentary corpus definition of the lists of the key words. Phase II Follow-up meeting the intermediate results of exploratory phase; brainstorming with discussion of results and trends specific questions to be included in the analysis report. Phase III Final Meeting and Data Analysis Report final results, integrating the handling of specific questions; technical report to the final meeting
Data Sources media productions (press+web) scientific productions specific databases
Implementation / Heterogeneous Data Sets: Back Office Contents Classification Schema Actor Location Actor Identity Existing Databases Patents Web Crawler Speech to text Sensors Archives SEMANTIC ORIENTED DATABASE Parsing & Matching System
OFF-LINE ON-LINE • graphical/analytical interfaces (GIS, Relational Mappings, Statistical Charts) • statistical tables, indicators and textual synthesis • integrated querying tools Design of Analytical Solution Front Office • a layer of analytical queries • pre-defined queries for multilevel -data aggregationand synthetic analysis and indicators Middle Office DATA UPDATE FEED-BACK • data tables • - web crawler • - matching tools- tools for textual analysis- tools for data update and control Back Office
Data collection strategies Lexical Query Citatiopnnist Data search Core data Core data Ext 2 Core data Ext 1 Citing Cited Co-Citing Ext 3
Context • A cliff edge effect in a nuclear power plant is an instance of severely abnormal plant behavior caused by an abrupt transition from one plant status to another following a small deviation in a plant parameter, and thus a sudden large variation in plant conditions in response to a small variation in an input. • Cf. https://fas.org/pir-pubs/seismic-risk-management-solution-nuclear-power-plants/ • Deterministic Safety Analyses for Nuclear Power Plants • https://www-pub.iaea.org/MTCD/publications/PDF/Pub1428_web.pdf • Probabilistic Safety Assessment for Nuclear Power Plants • https://www-pub.iaea.org/MTCD/Publications/PDF/Pub1430_web.pdf • Framatome Germany • http://www.framatome.com/EN/customer-2190/npp-safety-improvements.html
Process / ExploratorY Extended Data Crawl/search Mapping Term Extraction Clustering Corpus/web search with Initial Queries terms Translate Ranking Terms Sources Text enrichment Term Cleaning Grouping Custom Dictionary Iteration Generates new queries Manual or Automated
process / Model Based Analysis Reference Corpus Corpus/web search with Initial Queries terms Semantic folding Matching Cross Tabs Learning/ Term Extension Primary dictionaries (multi-expert) Mapping Trends
Rare eventmodeling Rare events: major earthquakes:, tsunamis, hurricanes, floods, asteroid impacts, solarflares, etc. Anthropogenichazards: warfare and related forms of violent conflict, acts of terrorism, industrial accidents, financial and commodity market crashes, etc. Black swantheory Extremeevents Extreme value theory or extreme value analysis (EVA) Global catastrophicrisk Rare disasters Rare eventsampling Robustness, stress test Safety margins on a deterministic and probabilistic basis Accident management measures Defence in Depth Risk Management Solution for Nuclear Power Plants Convolving the hazard with fragilities Prevention of abnormal operation and failures
Preliminarysearch Web of science search TS=((cliff edge) AND (nuclear OR atomic)) Results: 10 TS=(("Extreme Events" ) AND nuclear) Results: 46 TS=( (Extreme Events ) AND nuclear) Results: 473 TS=( (Extreme Events ) AND nuclear) Refined by: WEB OF SCIENCE CATEGORIES: ( NUCLEAR SCIENCE TECHNOLOGY OR PHYSICS NUCLEAR OR ENGINEERING MECHANICAL OR ENGINEERING CIVIL OR PHYSICS PARTICLES FIELDS OR ENGINEERING MULTIDISCIPLINARY OR INSTRUMENTS INSTRUMENTATION OR ENGINEERING ELECTRICAL ELECTRONIC OR PHYSICS MULTIDISCIPLINARY OR ENGINEERING ENVIRONMENTAL OR OPERATIONS RESEARCH MANAGEMENT SCIENCE OR ENGINEERING INDUSTRIAL OR CONSTRUCTION BUILDING TECHNOLOGY OR ENGINEERING AEROSPACE ) Results: 177
Preliminarysearch: seedquery Results: 7,643 (from Web of Science Core Collection) You searched for: TS=(((Severe accident) OR (Beyond design accident) OR (Beyond Design Seismic Events) OR (Beyond Design Basis Accident(s), BDBA) OR (Beyond Design Basis Event(s), BDBE) OR (Best Estimate Plus Uncertainty, BEPU) OR (Cliff edge effects) OR (Component Fragility) OR (Component Fragility Evaluation) OR (High confidence of low probability of failure, HCLPF) OR (HCLPF value) OR (Earthquake) OR (Earthquakes intensity) OR (Earthquakes intensity level) OR (External hazards) OR (External events) OR (Extreme events) OR (Extreme Event Analysis, EEA) OR (Loss of Off Site Power, LOOP) OR (Minimal Cut Sets, MCSs) OR (Margin assessment) OR (Robustness assessment) OR (Strengths and weaknesses) OR (Seismic events) OR (Seismic resistance) OR (Seismic Hazard Assessment) OR (Seismic Margin Assessment, SMA) OR (Seismic capacity) OR (Seismic fragility) OR (Seismic core damage frequency) OR (Seismic hazards) OR (Seismic robustness) OR (Seismic Motion) OR (Seismic Motion Parameter) OR (Seismic Probabilistic Safety Analysis) OR (Seismic PSA) OR (Seismic retrofit) OR (Seismic evaluation) OR (Seismic re-evaluation) OR (Seismic studies) OR (Seismic analysis) OR (Seismic analyses) OR (Seismic assessment) OR (Seismic re-assessment / reassessment ) OR (Safety evaluation) OR (Safety re-evaluation) OR (Safety analysis) OR (Safety analyses) OR (Safety margin) OR (Safe shutdown earthquake, SSE) OR (Strength and weakness assessment) OR (Structural fragility evaluation) OR (Stress test) OR (SASSI) OR (ANSYS) OR (SOFiSTiK) OR (SYSTUS) OR (SYSPIPE) OR (Plant HCLPF) OR (Plant Level Safety Assessment) OR (Probabilistic safety analysis, PSA) OR (Probabilistic risk analysis, PRA) OR (probabilistic risk assessment) OR (Probabilistic hazard curves) OR (Peak Ground Acceleration, PGA) OR (fire protection, internal fire, fire risk) OR (flooding protection, internal flooding, flooding risk) OR (safety risk, seismic risk, environmental risk) OR (spent fuel pool cooling, cooling capacity) OR (water hammer)) AND (nuclear OR atomic OR NPP)) Refined by: WEB OF SCIENCE CATEGORIES: ( NUCLEAR SCIENCE TECHNOLOGY ) Timespan: All years. Indexes: SCI-EXPANDED, SSCI, A&HCI, CPCI-S, CPCI-SSH, BKCI-S, BKCI-SSH, ESCI, CCR-EXPANDED, IC.
Preliminarysearch: partial queries query.xlsx / partialquerystats
Cited journal co-citation network withsubject- category as 3rd field hn-severeaccident7643tag1966-2019top150-cited-journal-cited-journal-distributionalcooc-99999-ot0-42-9999-loutrueot0-42tagchi2-false.pdf
Termextrcation extracted-terms-list-top1000-cval2-0-chi2-sampligfalse-periods1 (3).csv
Term-term network with journal as 3rd field hn-severeaccident7643tag1966-2019top150-terms-terms-distributionalcooc-99999-ot0-37-9999-loutrueot0-37tagchi2-false.pdf
Instititutional network withsubjectcategories as 3rd field hn-severeaccident7643tag1966-2019top150-research-institutions-research-institutions-distributionalcooc-99999-ot0-09-9999-loutrueot0-09tagchi2-false.pdf
Factor / Effectmap http://www.thedreamviewer.com/box/data/dbs/19/framatome898/expression_Analysis1Domains_categ_Analysis1Methods_categ_Analysis1Domains_chi2.html
Patents – Derwent Innovation Index : basic stataistics Showing 2,887 records for TS=(((Severe accident) OR (Beyond design accident) OR (Beyond Design Seismic Events) OR (Beyond Design Basis Accident(s), BDBA) OR (Beyond Design Basis Event(s), BDBE) OR (Best Estimate Plus Uncertainty, BEPU) OR (Cliff edge effects) OR (Component Fragility) OR (Component Fragility Evaluation) OR (High confidence of low probability of failure, HCLPF) OR (HCLPF value) OR (Earthquake) OR (Earthquakes intensity) OR (Earthquakes intensity level) OR (External hazards) OR (External events) OR (Extreme events) OR (Extreme Event Analysis, EEA) OR (Loss of Off Site Power, LOOP) OR (Minimal Cut Sets, MCSs) OR (Margin assessment) OR (Robustness assessment) OR (Strengths and weaknesses) OR (Seismic events) OR (Seismic resistance) OR (Seismic Hazard Assessment) OR (Seismic Margin Assessment, SMA) OR (Seismic capacity) OR (Seismic fragility) OR (Seismic core damage frequency) OR (Seismic hazards) OR (Seismic robustness) OR (Seismic Motion) OR (Seismic Motion Parameter) OR (Seismic Probabilistic Safety Analysis) OR (Seismic PSA) OR (Seismic retrofit) OR (Seismic evaluation) OR (Seismic re-evaluation) OR (Seismic studies) OR (Seismic analysis) OR (Seismic analyses) OR (Seismic assessment) OR (Seismic re-assessment / reassessment ) OR (Safety evaluation) OR (Safety re-evaluation) OR (Safety analysis) OR (Safety analyses) OR (Safety margin) OR (Safe shutdown earthquake, SSE) OR (Strength and weakness assessment) OR (Structural fragility evaluation) OR (Stress test) OR (SASSI) OR (ANSYS) OR (SOFiSTiK) OR (SYSTUS) OR (SYSPIPE) OR (Plant HCLPF) OR (Plant Level Safety Assessment) OR (Probabilistic safety analysis, PSA) OR (Probabilistic risk analysis, PRA) OR (probabilistic risk assessment) OR (Probabilistic hazard curves) OR (Peak Ground Acceleration, PGA) OR (fire protection, internal fire, fire risk) OR (flooding protection, internal flooding, flooding risk) OR (safety risk, seismic risk, environmental risk) OR (spent fuel pool cooling, cooling capacity) OR (water hammer)) AND (nuclear OR atomic OR NPP))
Preliminarysearch: extendedquery Results: 963 (from Web of Science Core Collection) You searched for: TS=(((Rare events) OR (major earthquakes) OR (tsunamis, hurricanes) OR (floods) OR (asteroid impacts) OR (solar flares) OR (Anthropogenic hazards) OR (warfare ) OR (violent conflict) OR (terrorism,) OR (industrial accidents) OR (financial and commodity market crashes) OR (Black swan theory) OR (Extreme events) OR (Extreme value theory or extreme value analysis (EVA)) OR (Global catastrophic risk) OR (Rare disasters) OR (Rare event sampling) OR (Robustness, stress test) OR (Safety margins on a deterministic and probabilistic basis) OR (Accident management measures) OR (Defence in Depth) OR (Risk Management Solution for Nuclear Power Plants) OR (Convolving the hazard with fragilities) OR (Prevention of abnormal operation and failures) ) AND (nuclear OR atomic)) Refined by: WEB OF SCIENCE CATEGORIES: ( NUCLEAR SCIENCE TECHNOLOGY ) Timespan: All years. Indexes: SCI-EXPANDED, SSCI, A&HCI, CPCI-S, CPCI-SSH, BKCI-S, BKCI-SSH, ESCI, CCR-EXPANDED, IC. https://documents.cortext.net/fc28/fc2885c8c7701f6dbd3e9e790d1ffd5b/94887/temporal%20evolution/basic_statistics_WOS%20Category_20ISIpubdate.html
Extended query: Co-Citation ofjournalswith keywords http://www.thedreamviewer.com/box/data/dbs/1/framatome/hn-rarevents9631968-2018top250-cited-journal-cited-journal-distributionalcooc-99999-ot0-44-9999-loutrueot0-44tagchi2-false.pdf
Extended query: Network of terms with journals http://www.thedreamviewer.com/box/data/dbs/1/framatome/hn-rarevents9631968-2018top250-terms-terms-distributionalcooc-99999-ot0-48-9999-loutrueot0-48tagchi2-false.pdf
Extended query: terms in time https://documents.cortext.net/8929/8929476df0d5d0cce8944e6f5d29e123/94886/tubes/index.htm
Impact Event Notes SCIENTESYS Reports Researchpapers
Objectifs Customer Satisfaction Quality Production Financial benefit Safety Actions
Data Mapping Search Grids Reporting formats of SCIENTESYS Multi-Expert Industrie Emergence analysis
Strategic diagram (centrality/density) Medium density star-like networks Hight density networks, platform like stategy Low density, poor partnership networks Hight density small networks
Implementation / Solution deployment and integration Modular architecture: select existing/add new or third party modules Internet/intranet installation: standard Linux server GO Possible redesign and modified ergonomics From « expert » version to one-button monitoring solution On-demand development, data integration and training
Theoretical background / Design structure matrix Matrix representing complex systems, projects or information flows
Theoretical background / Attention Driven Information Search and Semantic Folding • Inspired by the Neuropsychology of Attention • Associative memory • Semantic memory • Model-based data analysis • 2d hierarchical search/analysis grid of concepts • Semi-superivised methods of machine learning • Multi-expert hierarchical thesaurus
AGENDA J0 : besoin côté Scientesys : que la date soit définie quelques jours en avance de la première réunion. J0 : possible à tout moment. Démarrage visé sur la 1ère quinzaine de Novembre. A confirmer J0+5 jours ouvrés : 1ère réunion J0+15 jours ouvrés : réunion intermédiaire J0+25 jours ouvrés : réunion finale Le délais sont indicatifs et peuvent glisser de 3/4 jours. Performance / déroulé de la prestation J0, En amont de la réunion initiale: Framatome fournira quelques mots clé, en anglais, de la thématique d’intérêt - termes techniques (risk, hazard,…) + termes concernant les produits et services + termes génériques (nucléaire…) J0+5 : Réunion initiale – 4h - Scientesys présentera le processus o Scientesys fournira une présentation en anglais présentant la démarche, les étapes du processus, exemple. Les slides seront fournis 2j à l’avance de la réunion o Scientesys explicitera la démarche & les étapes par un exemple - Framatome rappellera le sujet désigné - Scientesys animera la phase de définition de l’axe de recherche sur lequel Framatome & Scientesys convergeront - Scientesys animera la phase de définition du / des corpus documentaires cible (web of science, sites des AS, Dervant innovation index – brevets mondiaux à partir des années 60) - Scientesys animera la phase de définition des listes des mots clé : o définition des termes du domaine d’intérêt de la requête primaire (riskassessment, risk management,…) x (nuclear, …) o l’étude optimale peut viser un domaine large ; puis il est possible d’ajuster des sous-analyses (sur des équipements, sur un type de réacteur) o il faut avoir 3/4 requêtes avec un scope différent - La réunion se tiendra en présentiel à la Défense - Scientesys réalisera le CR synthétisant les éléments discutés - proposition Scientesys : venir avec une courte pré-recherche J0 + 15j : Réunion de suivi – 6h (4h + 2h on demand) - Scientesys fournira une présentation en anglais présentant les résultats intermédiaires (fournis 2j à l’avance) - Scientesys animera le brainstorming phase verte avec discussion des résultats, tendances, discussion orale permettant de cibler des produits / services - Scientesys animera la phase de définition des questions spécifiques, affiner - Framatome réalisera le CR synthétisant les éléments discutés - La réunion intermédiaire se tiendra à Erlangen, Allemagne (sous réserve de confirmation de la part de Framatome) J0+25j : Réunion finale - Scientesys fournira une présentation en anglais présentant les résultats finaux (fournis 2j à l’avance), intégrant le traitement des questions spécifiques - Scientesys indiquera les bons partenaires pour réalisation de prestations en aval - Scientesys remettra le rapport technique à la réunion. o Le rapport contient principalement des graphiques plus quelques textes (légendes, sources, ce qui a été fait pour transformer les données, commentaires). Objectif : 3 findings (axes de recherches) pour chaque graphique - Framatome réalisera le CR synthétisant les éléments discutés - La réunion se tiendra en présentiel à la Défense
SCIENTESYS_Multi-Expert Framatome 11/12/2018 Erlangen
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