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SPEAR

SPEAR. PRE-ELECTION POLL 2008. "Justice, Democracy, & Sustainable Development for All". Key Measurements. Voter Turnout / Voter Disposition Government Performance Rating Voter Inclination Voter Motivation Quality of Life Optimism – outcome of elections. National Voter Turn-Out.

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SPEAR

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  1. SPEAR PRE-ELECTION POLL 2008 "Justice, Democracy, & Sustainable Development for All"

  2. Key Measurements • Voter Turnout / Voter Disposition • Government Performance Rating • Voter Inclination • Voter Motivation • Quality of Life • Optimism – outcome of elections

  3. National Voter Turn-Out

  4. Voter Turn-Out By District

  5. National Voter Turnout: 1984 - 2008

  6. Performance Rating:“ How do you rate the performance of the government during their last term in office?”

  7. Voter Inclination:“ When you go to the polls on February 7th, how are you most likely to vote?”

  8. Voter Inclination - Districts

  9. Voter Motivation:“What is the most important factor influencing the way you vote?”

  10. Voter Motivation -Districts

  11. Perception: “Quality of Life”“Compared to 10 years ago, has your ‘quality of life’ improved?”

  12. Optimism: “Outcome of Elections”“Are you optimistic about the outcome of the elections on February 7th?”

  13. Scenario Forecasting:Scenario #1: No Further Analysis of the “Undecided” & “Confidential” Clusters

  14. Scenario Forecasting:Scenario #2: Further analysis of the responses coded “Confidential” using interpolation , cross tabulations, & data triangulation”

  15. Scenario Forecasting:Scenario #3: Further analysis of responses coded “Confidential” & “Undecided” using similar technique as in scenario #2.

  16. QUIK FACTS ON SAMPLING FRAME • Total Number of Respondents - 417 • Qualifying Criteria - Registered Voter • Proportionate Sample from Six Districts: • Urban - 55.6% • Rural – 44.4% • Male - 40.3% • Female – 59.7 • Age Groupings: • Young Adult – 25.9% • Mature Adult – 67.6% • Middle Age – 20.4% • Elderly - 12.0% Margin of Error (+ or - 5%) or 95% Confidence Level Pre-Test Survey Conducted

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