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TF-EU-LMA

TF-EU-LMA. Task Force on EU Labour Market Areas Oliver Heiden Eurostat.E4. WG on Regional, Urban and Rural Development statistics – 2014 October. What is an LMA? (1). Functional, NOT administrative region (=NUTS ). What is an LMA? (2). What is an LMA? (3).

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TF-EU-LMA

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  1. TF-EU-LMA Task Force on EU Labour Market Areas Oliver Heiden Eurostat.E4 WG on Regional, Urban and Rural Development statistics – 2014 October

  2. What is an LMA? (1) • Functional, NOT administrative region (=NUTS)

  3. What is an LMA? (2)

  4. What is an LMA? (3) • Definition: majority of people live ANDwork in a LMA • Assumptions: in an LMA… • constant labour cost, employment, productivity etc. • administration of the ‘centre municipality’ impacts whole area • administrative parts benefit from collaboration • LMA grid characterises commuting behaviour

  5. What was done so far? • 2007 Eurostat questionnaire • 2012 Study on comparable Labour Market Areas • Research report based on NSI questionnaires • Overview of national methods and data • Recommendations for methodology • 2013 – 2014 Task Force on Labour Market Areas • Implementation based on the Study • Definition of EU method • Technical implementation • Recommendations

  6. LMA Task Force organisation (1) • Countries with official LMAs • BE, DE, EE, FI, FR, IT, (NL), SE, UK. • Countries with experimental LMAs • CY, CZ, DK, EL, (PT), SI, SK. • Countries with no LMAs • AT, BG, ES, HU, IE, LT, LU, LV, (PL), RO.

  7. LMA Task Force organisation (2) • DE: Wolfgang EMMEL (only 1st meeting) • HessischesStatistischesLandesamt • FR: StéphanieMAS • Ministère du Travail, de l'Emploi, de la Formation professionnelle et du Dialogue social • IT: SandroCRUCIANI • Istitutonazionale di statistica (ISTAT) • HU: AndrásKEZÁN • Központi Statisztikai Hivatal (KSH) • NL: Hilde KEUNING VAN OIRSCHOT • Centraal Bureau voor de Statistiek (CBS) • PL: PawełSTOPIŃSKI • GłównyUrządStatystyczny (GUS) • UK: Andrew BATES • Office for National Statistics (ONS)

  8. LMA Task Force achievements (1) • Work plan: • Appraisal of the approach presented in the Study  • Definition of the EU-method  • Ways and means of promoting the harmonised method  • Official proposal of the EU method 

  9. LMA Task Force achievements (2) • Appraisal of the approach presented in the Study

  10. LMA Task Force achievements (3) • Definition of the EU-method • UK (TTWA) method to be applied to all EU • Simple is beautiful = input data: only commuting flows • 2x2 parameters • Self-containment: MINIMUM, TARGET • Size: (Number of employed) MINIMUM, TARGET

  11. LMA Task Force achievements (4) self-containment size

  12. LMA Task Force achievements (5) • Which are the optimal parameters? • Sensitivity analysis • Measuring impact of changing parameters • One by one (ceteris paribus)

  13. LMA Task Force achievements(6) • Four countries • NL - SE • Av. LAU2 Population ≈ 33.000 • Av. LAU2 Area 100-1500 km2 • AT - HU • Av. LAU2 Population ≈ 3.300 • Av. LAU2 Area 33 km2 • Assumption: difference in results due to… • Different size (population AND area) of building blocks • Different commuting behavior (transport network, commuting allowance, culture etc.)

  14. LMA Task Force achievements(7) Austria

  15. Austria

  16. Austria

  17. LMA Task Force achievements(8) • Searching for the optimal parameters… • 1=  min. Size • 2=  tar. Size • 3=  min. SC • 4=  tar. SC • different MS – different sensitiveness impacton numberof LMAs parametersets

  18. LMA Task Force achievements(9) • Agreement on methodological details • Optimal parameters to be defined by NSIs • MINIMUM flows between LMAs (intrinsic), • MAXIMUM homogeneity within LMAs: employment, productivity, labour cost etc. (extensic) • Manipulations after the run of the algorithm is allowed • Concentration on large LMAs with EU relevance • Technical difficulties • Implementation of TTWA algorithm still not final • TF Member States did not define optimal parameters

  19. LMA Task Force achievements(10) • Input data recommendations • Commuter data source • Census data, or registers if updated • Employed persons • Age group 16+ • Commuters • From residence or communal establishments • To usual workplace, no fixed workplace or home (!) • Daily, weekly or less frequent • No cross-border commuting

  20. LMA Task Force achievements(11) • Ways and means of promoting the harmonisedmethod • Mentoring programme • Task Force member countries mentor 3-4 other countries • Help in the definition of optimal parameters for all countries • Multi-benefitiary grants are planned to support the programme • Planned for autumn of 2015 (The implementation of the algorithm needs to be finalized first)

  21. LMA Task Force achievements(12) • Official proposal for the EU-method • The method is basically final, some minor details have to be clarified • ISTAT provided script 0.9, 1.0 and 1.1 in R (The sensitivity analysis and the procedure to define the optimal LMA breakdown to be finalized first. • Planned for spring 2015

  22. Thank you for your attention! • More information on CIRCABC: https://circabc.europa.eu/w/browse/398c68fd-ce35-407c-97a9-a015921dfd4f • Contact: ESTAT-REGIO@ec.europa.eu

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