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Climate Change Analysis in SANParks: Data Patterns and Trends Over Time

This project by Nicola van Wilgen, Melodie McGeoch, and collaborators investigates climate change impacts within SANParks. Utilizing frontier climate data, the research focuses on temperature and rainfall patterns across various parks. Preliminary findings indicate significant temperature increases in Addo National Park, while rainfall patterns have shown a dramatic decrease over 90 years. Though some locations, like Addo AGR, haven't displayed significant trends, high levels of missing data remain a challenge. This study is crucial for understanding environmental changes in South Africa.

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Climate Change Analysis in SANParks: Data Patterns and Trends Over Time

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  1. SANParks Global Environmental Change Project Nicola van Wilgen, Melodie McGeoch and collaborators

  2. Frontier climate data on record Good data set High % missing data van Wilgen et al. in preparation

  3. Rates of temp increase van Wilgen et al. in preparation Max Min Other Frontier parks – no significant change, likely not long enough record

  4. Patterns in Rainfall AddoAlexanderbos – dramatic rainfall decrease (90 yrs data) Addo AGR – no trend (50 yrs data) van Wilgen et al. in preparation

  5. Patterns in Temperature Addo AGR – increase in Annual Mean Max temp Photos: M. McGeoch, N. van Wilgen, Google Addo AGR – increase in Annual Mean Min temp van Wilgen et al. in preparation

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