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State of College Admission 2009 Report

State of College Admission 2009 Report. David A. Hawkins Director of Public Policy and Research NACAC. Melissa E. Clinedinst Assistant Director of Research NACAC. Components of Report. Counseling Trends Survey Admission Trends Survey Effects of the Economy Survey External Data

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State of College Admission 2009 Report

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  1. State of College Admission2009 Report David A. Hawkins Director of Public Policy and ResearchNACAC Melissa E. Clinedinst Assistant Director of Research NACAC

  2. Components of Report • Counseling Trends Survey • Admission Trends Survey • Effects of the Economy Survey • External Data • US Department of Education IPEDS Data • US Census Bureau • College Board Annual Survey • Other Education Organizations

  3. Chapter 1: The Flow of Students • Number of HS Grads Peaked at 3.33 Million for 2008–09 • Wide Variations By State and Region • Racial/Ethnic Composition Changing • Total College Enrollment Will Increase At Least Through 2017 • Racial/Ethnic Imbalance in College Enrollment

  4. Projected Percentage Change in Public High School Graduates, by State: 2004–05 to 2017–18 SOURCE: Projections of Education Statistics to 2017. (2008). US Department of Education, Washington, DC: National Center for Education Statistics. (Figure 23).

  5. Enrollment in Postsecondary Education In Comparison to Share of College-Aged Population SOURCES: Digest of Education Statistics. (2008). US Department of Education, Washington, DC: National Center for Education Statistics. (Table 227).

  6. Cumulative Percent Change in US Public High School Graduates Relative to 2004–05 by Race/Ethnicity SOURCE: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education. (2008). Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1992–2022.

  7. Chapter 2. Applications and Selectivity • Application Volume Continues to Increase • Share of Enrollment By Selectivity • Recent Trends in Selectivity and Yield

  8. Percentage of Colleges Reporting Change from the Previous Year in Number of Applications for Fall Admission: 1996 to 2008 Source: NACAC Admission Trends Survey, 2008

  9. Percentage of Students Submitting Three or More and Seven or More Applications: 1990 to 2008 SOURCES: Pryor, J.H., Hurtado, S., Saenz, V.B., Santos, J.L., and Korn, W.S. (2007). The American Freshman: Forty Year Trends, 1966–2006. Los Angeles: Higher Education Research Institute, UCLA. Pryor, J.H. et al. (2008). The American Freshman: National Norms for Fall 2008. Los Angeles: Higher Education Research Institute, UCLA.

  10. Applications and Enrollment By Selectivity SOURCE: Integrated Postsecondary Data System (IPEDS) online Data Center. (2006-07 and 2007-08). U.S. Department of Education, Washington, DC: National Center for Education Statistics.

  11. Selectivity and Yield Rates at Four-Year Postsecondary Institutions, 2001 – 2007 SOURCE: Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System (IPEDS) online Data Center. (2001–02 through 2007–08). US Department of Education, Washington, DC: National Center for Education Statistics.

  12. Trends in Admission Data, 2002 - 2006 SOURCE: Chart compiled by the National Association for College Admission Counseling as a supplement to the 2009 State of College Admission Report using data from the US Department of Education's Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System (IPEDS) online Data Center.

  13. Chapter 3. Admission Strategies • Early Decision Application Volume Tapers Off • Only 49 Percent of Institutions Reported Increases • Early Action Application Growth Stalls, But Still High • 65 Percent of Colleges Report Increases • Wait List Admission Changes Slim • 30 Percent, 13 Percent at Most Selective Colleges

  14. Percentage of Colleges Using Early Decision, Early Action, and Wait Lists:Fall 2008 SOURCE: NACAC Admission Trends Survey, 2008

  15. Key Statistics for Early Decision Colleges: Fall 2008 SOURCE: NACAC Admission Trends, 2008.

  16. Key Statistics for Early Action Colleges: Fall 2008 SOURCE: NACAC Admission Trends Survey, 2008

  17. Mean Percentage of Students Admitted off the Wait List: Fall 2008 SOURCE: NACAC Admission Trends Survey, 2008.

  18. Chapter 4. Factors in the Admission Decision • Top Factors Unchanged • Grades in College Prep Courses • Strength of Curriculum • Test Scores • Overall GPA • New Questions • Essay Verification • Review Social Networking Profiles

  19. Percentage of Colleges Attributing Different Levels of Importance to Factors in the Admission Decision: Fall 2008 SOURCE: NACAC Admission Trends Survey, 2008

  20. Factors by Institutional Characteristics • Public vs. Private • Private: essay, interview, counselor and teacher recommendations, work, extracurricular activities, subject test scores (AP, IB), the portfolio, and demonstrated interest • Public: class rank • Enrollment Size • Smaller: interview, essay, counselor and teacher recommendations, demonstrated interest, portfolio, state graduation exams • Selectivity • More Selective: grades in college prep courses, strength of curriculum, essay, counselor and teacher recommendations, class rank, extracurricular activities, work, portfolios, subject test scores, and SAT II scores

  21. Percentage of Colleges Attributing Importance to the Influence of Student Characteristics on the Evaluation of Factors in the Admission Decision: Fall 2008 SOURCE: NACAC Admission Trends Survey, 2008

  22. 21% of Colleges Revoked Admission Offers in 2008 Percentage of Colleges that Revoked Admission Offers for Various Reasons (Among Those That Revoked Any Offers) SOURCE: NACAC Admission Trends Survey, 2008 SOURCE: NACAC Admission Trends Survey, 2007.

  23. Essay Verification and Review of Social Networking Profiles • Only 5 percent of colleges reported that they take steps to verify applicant essays • About 8 percent of colleges reported that they review the social networking profiles of prospective students in some cases

  24. Chapter 5. College Counseling In High Schools • Student-to-Counselor Ratios • Time Spent on College Counseling

  25. Student-to-Counselor Ratios by School Characteristics SOURCE: NACAC Counseling Trends Survey, 2008

  26. Percentage of Time on College Counseling Private Schools Public Schools SOURCE: NACAC Counseling Trends Survey, 2008

  27. Chapter 6. The Admission Office • Application-to-Admission Officer Ratios • Cost to Recruit

  28. Application-to-Admission Officer Ratios SOURCE: NACAC Admission Trends Survey, 2008.

  29. Cost-to-Recruit NOTE: Figures in italics should be interpreted with caution due to low sample size (fewer than 15 institutions per cell). SOURCE: NACAC Admission Trends Survey, 2008.

  30. Chapter 7. Effects of the Economy on the 2008-09 Admission Cycle Changes in Students’ Enrollment Plans Increasing Student-to-Counselor Ratios Increased Demand for Financial Aid Strategies Used by Colleges to Meet Enrollment Goals

  31. Percentage of Schools Reporting Change in Students’ Behavior During the Admission Process for Fall 2008-09, as compared to Fall 2007-08 SOURCE: NACAC Effects of the Economy on the Admission Process Member Survey, Part I, May 2009

  32. Student Counselor Ratios Percent Reporting Change Average Change SOURCE: NACAC Effects of the Economy on the Admission Process Member Survey, Part II, August/September 2009.

  33. Admission Statistics–Financial Aid Percentage of Admission Offices Reporting Change SOURCE: NACAC Effects of the Economy on the Admission Process Member Survey, Part II, August/September 2009.

  34. Admission Statistics–Enrollment Percent Reporting Increases by Type Percent Reporting Change SOURCE: NACAC Effects of the Economy on the Admission Process Member Survey, Part II, August/September 2009.

  35. Admission Office Strategies To Meet Enrollment Goals SOURCE: NACAC Effects of the Economy on the Admission Process Member Survey, Part II, August/September 2009.

  36. We Welcome Your Input Melissa Clinedinst mclinedinst@nacacnet.org 703-299-6854 David Hawkins dhawkins@nacacnet.org 703-299-6809

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