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The Future of Scholarly Journals: Bytes Out of Myths and Bits of Reality

This article explores the growth and usage of scholarly journals in the digital age, debunking common myths and highlighting the value they still hold. It discusses trends in article readings, the impact of the internet, and the implications for libraries. The article concludes by emphasizing the importance of accessibility and the value of time in scholarly research.

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The Future of Scholarly Journals: Bytes Out of Myths and Bits of Reality

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  1. The Future of Scholarly Journals:Bytes Out of Myths andBits of Reality Carol Tenopir ctenopir@utk.edu University of Tennessee

  2. Growth of Scholarly Journals

  3. Growth of Internet Domains Source: Internet Software Consortium Domain Survey available at <http://www.isc.org/ds/hosts.html>

  4. Carol Tenopir and Donald W. King. Towards Electronic Journal: Realities for Scientists, Librarians, and Publishers. Washington, D.C.: Special Libraries Association, 2000.

  5. Myths • Scholarly journals are not read • There are too many journals • Journals are only for authors • Scientists know information before it appears in a journal • Electronic journals make libraries and publishers obsolete

  6. Trends in the Use, Usefulness, and Value of Scholarly Journals

  7. Average Number of Scholarly Article Readings Per Year

  8. Time Spent Reading

  9. Facts Behind the Myths • Growth of journal literature is correlated with the number of scientists • 1 article per 10 scientists • 70% of all readings are done by non-academicians

  10. Why these myths? • Citation counts do not measure all readings • The data from some studies done in the 1960s and 1970s was misinterpreted

  11. Estimated Number of Readings

  12. Amount of Journal Readings • Scientists read from an average of 18 journals each year • Half are read less than five times • Only one of 18 have over 25 readings • Over 35% of readings are of articles over 1 year

  13. Growth of... Scholarly Journals Internet Domains

  14. WWW Impact • PubMed searches reached up to 400,000 per day in 1998 • A month worth of searches in PubMed equaled a year of MEDLINE searches (about 7.6 million)

  15. Andrew Odlyzko’s 1995 article “Tragic Loss or Good Riddance?” still gets an average of 175 downloads per month.

  16. Average Annual Price Increase (%) in Scientific Journals

  17. Average Number of Personal Subscriptions to Scholarly Journals

  18. Proportion of Readings of Scholarly Scientific Articles

  19. Number of Separate Copies of Articles Received by Scientists

  20. What does this mean for libraries? • Continue to subsidize access to journals • Provide them in either print or electronic form • Think in terms of some subscriptions • save the reader's time by providing access and links to high quality journal literature • Think in terms of economies of scale (consortia) and saving readers' time

  21. Where Do We Go From Here? • New and specialized journals will be electronic • Journal availability in print and electronic • Impact of full-text databases • Emphasis on accessibility of information • Time is valuable

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