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no lead 1-mo lead 2-mo lead

AGCM responds to predicted SST. Predicted SST persisted SST anom. no lead 1-mo lead 2-mo lead. constructed analog persistence. AGCM responds to predicted SST. Predicted SST persisted SST anom. no lead 1-mo lead 2-mo lead.

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no lead 1-mo lead 2-mo lead

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  1. AGCM responds to predicted SST Predicted SST persisted SST anom no lead 1-mo lead 2-mo lead constructed analog persistence

  2. AGCM responds to predicted SST Predicted SST persisted SST anom no lead 1-mo lead 2-mo lead constructed analog persistence

  3. AGCM responds to predicted SST Predicted SST persisted SST anom no lead 1-mo lead 2-mo lead constructed analog persistence

  4. AGCM responds to predicted SST Predicted SST persisted SST anom no lead 1-mo lead 2-mo lead constructed analog persistence

  5. Percentage of land area exceeding correlation-skill values Jan-Feb-Mar

  6. Percentage of land area exceeding correlation-skill values Oct-Nov-Dec

  7. Jan-Feb-Mar Precipitation Correlation: ECHAM4.5 Model vs. Observations, 1950-2000 Model responds to observed SST

  8. Apr-May-Jun Precipitation Correlation: ECHAM4.5 Model vs. Observations, 1950-2000 Model responds to observed SST

  9. Jul-Aug-Sep Precipitation Correlation: ECHAM4.5 Model vs. Observations, 1950-2000 Model responds to observed SST

  10. Oct-Nov-Dec Precipitation Correlation: ECHAM4.5 Model vs. Observations, 1950-2000 Model responds to observed SST

  11. 6 AGCMs Jan-Feb-Mar Precipitation Correlation: Atmospheric Model vs. Observations, 1950-2000 Model responds to observed SST

  12. 6 AGCMs Apr-May-Jun Precipitation Correlation: Atmospheric Model vs. Observations, 1950-2000 Model responds to observed SST

  13. 6 AGCMs Jul-Aug-Sep Precipitation Correlation: Atmospheric Model vs. Observations, 1950-2000 Model responds to observed SST

  14. 6 AGCMs Oct-Nov-Dec Precipitation Correlation: Atmospheric Model vs. Observations, 1950-2000 Model responds to observed SST

  15. Real-time skills

  16. Real-time skills

  17. Real-time skills

  18. Real-time skills

  19. Real-time skills

  20. Reliability Diagrams: Real-time Perfectly reliable

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