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World TRADE WEB

World TRADE WEB. Abhay Sagar , Alex Collins, Henry Liu. Data. World Trade Web ( http://privatewww.essex.ac.uk/~ksg/exptradegdp.html ) Import and export numbers 1980-2000 196 countries (184 actual countries) Density = 0.55 Problems with data. Data. Thresholding. Data.

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World TRADE WEB

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  1. World TRADE WEB AbhaySagar, Alex Collins, Henry Liu

  2. Data • World Trade Web (http://privatewww.essex.ac.uk/~ksg/exptradegdp.html) • Import and export numbers • 1980-2000 • 196 countries • (184 actual countries) • Density = 0.55 • Problems with data

  3. Data • Thresholding

  4. Data • Power Law Degree Distribution

  5. Regional Trade Agreements (RTA) • NAFTA (North American Free Trade Agreement) • ASEAN (Associations of SouthEast Asian Nations) • CAIS (Central American Integration System) • ACU (Arab Customs Union) • ACN (Andean Community of Nations) • CC (Caribbean Community) • ECCAS (Economic Community of Central African States) • ECA (East African Community) • ECC (Eurasian Economic Community) • CCASG (Cooperation Council for Arab States of the Gulf) • MERCOSUR (Southern Common Market) • SACU (Southern African Customs Union) • ECWAS (Economic Community of West African States) • EU (European Union) • ACNMERCOSUR (Andean Community of Nations – Cooperation Agreement with MERCOSUR)

  6. Clustering Coefficient

  7. Clustering Coefficient

  8. % Imports / Exports in RTA vs Random

  9. Stratified Sampling • Covariates • Import and Export GDP • Import and Export GDP per capita • Import and Export GDPppp • Import and Export Region

  10. Stratified Sampling - Successful

  11. Stratified Sampling-Unsuccessful

  12. Summary Table

  13. Collaboration with Others • Jeff – Bipartite Graphs • Dan and Mark – ERGMs

  14. Conclusions • RTAs affect trade noticeably • Cohesiveness and effectiveness of RTAs still a mystery • Further exploration: • Community detection • Different thresholding • RTA analysis over time

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