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This presentation by Denislav Dyakov and Magdalena Tsolova provides a comprehensive overview of Macedonia's economic situation, highlighting its vulnerability to European economic shifts. As the least developed of the former Yugoslav republics, Macedonia has recently taken steps towards economic stability. Key sectors like retail, construction, and agriculture showed notable GDP growth in 2007. However, the country faces challenges, including high unemployment rates and reliance on foreign investments, compounded by the potential negative impacts of the Global Financial Crisis on its transition to a market economy.
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Macro Developments of MACEDONIA Presented by: Denislav Dyakov Magdalena Tsolova
Overview of Macedonian economic situation • vulnerable to economic developments in Europe and the Region • the least developed of the Yugoslav republics • Started maintaining economic stability recently
Goods Market – GDP Growth by sectors: For 2007: • - retail sector – 10.2% • - construction - 9.7% • - agriculture – 7.2% • - industrial output – 8.3% • GDP by sectors: • - agriculture – 11.4% • - industry – 27.2% • - services -61.4% • GDP(PPP) – $18.97bil
Goods Market - BoP 2007 2008 Current Account: -596.83 -1.209.55 Goods: -1.629.75 -2.551.83 Imports: -4.979.24 -6.522.69 Exports: 3.349.49 3.970.86 Services: (Net) 34.98 2.17 Current Transfers: 1.382.96 1.448.28 Capital Account: 4.91 -18.42 Financial Account: 633.93 1.227.94 *Central European Free Trade Agreement (CEFTA) 2007 2007 2008
Goods Market - FDI FDI 2006(in millions) : €345 FDI 2007(in millions) : €240 Most important contributors to FDI in Macedonia: Austria – 27.4% Slovenia – 16.1% Bulgaria – 13.8% France – 9.1%
Banking System Banking system in the Republic of Macedonia comprises 18 banks and 12 saving houses Main features • Banking activities in the Republic of Macedonia are regulated under the Banking Law • There are no legal obstacles for entrance of foreign banks in the Macedonian financial market; • Foreign banks are also enabled to perform financial activities in the Republic of Macedonia by opening their branches;
Asset Market • High inflation increase in 2008 • Sharp increase in foreign exchange reserves in 2007 • Increased credit growth • Credit control through increased reserve requirements or capital requirements on risky loans
Labour Market • 37% official rate of unemployment • “grey” economy • Problems with human capital
Conclusions: The Global Financial Crisis will have a negative effect on the following issues: Transition from planned economy to a liberal market economy. Shrinking domestic market(Greek trade embargo & Western Trade embargo, decreased demand) Worsen business climate, lower FDI