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Climate predictive signals for the Mediterranean region – MedCOF I

Climate predictive signals for the Mediterranean region – MedCOF I. Mariotti et al. (2002). ENSO –current situation. AO/NAO –current situation and next weeks situation. CCA 1 snow/SLP. Snow cover predictive signal. May SST predictive signal. Snow cover signal CCA1 u300/SLP.

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Climate predictive signals for the Mediterranean region – MedCOF I

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  1. Climate predictive signals for the Mediterranean region – MedCOF I

  2. Mariotti et al. (2002) ENSO –current situation

  3. AO/NAO –current situation and next weeks situation

  4. CCA 1 snow/SLP Snow cover predictive signal

  5. May SST predictive signal

  6. Snow cover signal CCA1 u300/SLP

  7. May SST signal CCA1 SST/SLP

  8. Snow cover signal CCA2 u300/SLP

  9. Bojariu et. al, 2008 Snow cover signal CCA2 u300/SLP

  10. May SST signal CCA2 SST/SLP

  11. May SST signal CCA3 SST/SLP

  12. Snow cover signal ROC maps of predicted SLP from u 300 hPa

  13. May SST signal ROC maps of predicted SLP from u 300 hPa

  14. SLP forecast Reference period 1981-2010 –snow cover signal

  15. SLP forecast Reference period 1981-2010 –May SST

  16. SLP forecast Reference period 1971-2001

  17. SLP forecast Reference period 1971-2001 – May SST

  18. SLP forecast Reference period 1961-1990

  19. SLP forecast Reference period 1961-1990 –May SST

  20. Preliminary indicators (CPT-derived) • May SST indicator and snow related indicator suggest opposite NAO phases; • SST anomalies reflect past conditions mostly related to late negative phase of NAO in March 2013 –a short episode; • Snow-related indicator seems to be consistent with model predictive information;

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