PACS 4500

1. PACS 4500 Senior Seminar in Peace and Conflict Studies Section 001 Guy Burgess

2. The BDS Threat http://mobile.nytimes.com/2014/02/11/opinion/cohen-the-bds-threat.html?from=opinion

3. The Precariat http://mobile.nytimes.com/2014/02/11/opinion/brooks-the-american-precariat.html?referrer=

4. Heritage Foundation http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/dana-milbank-the-heritage-foundations-policy-summit-had-few-new-ideas/2014/02/10/3ede95ee-92a0-11e3-84e1-27626c5ef5fb_story.html

5. Writing of the Unemployed http://mobile.nytimes.com/2014/02/10/opinion/krugman-writing-off-the-unemployed.html

6. Austrians http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/ej-dionne-jr-an-economic-school-has-led-to-gridlock-in-washington/2014/02/09/12de8df0-9020-11e3-b46a-5a3d0d2130da_story.html

7. D2L Gradebook Update

8. This Week • Required Reading to be discussed NEXT WEEK (reading reflections - RR4 - on this material are due noon, Monday Feb. 10.) • Threaded Text narrative – familiarize yourself with the system [Link to be added.] • PACS2500 Review Wehr"Conflict Mapping"  • Shmueli "Conflict Assessment"  Link • PACS2500 Review Lederach "Levels of Action" (Lederach's triangle) • PACS2500 ReviewUry "The Third Side" • Framing Questions include: • What aspects of the Wehr, Shmueli, Lederach, and Ury readings seem to relate (and be useful) to your conflict (how and why)? • What topics in the threaded text seem to be useful for your research -- and why?

9. Threaded Text

10. Piecing Together the Puzzle

11. Threaded Text I • Introduction • Preliminary Considerations • Distinguishing Conflicts from Disputes • Scale and Complexity • Your Relationship to the Conflict / Dispute • Conflict Assessment and “Mapping” • “Traditional” Conflict Assessment • Graphical Conflict Mapping • Core Substantive Issues in Conflict • Distributional Conflict • Moral Conflict • Status Conflicts • Identity Conflicts • Conflict as the Engine of Social Learning

12. Threaded Text II • Destructive Conflict Dynamics – And Constructive Responses • Misunderstandings • Destructive, Partisan Framing • Spreading Disinformation • Flawed Fact-Finding, Interpretation, and Utilization • Escalation • Violence • Unrightable Wrongs • Lack of Collective Purpose • Lack of Future Vision • Destructive Competition • Over-Reliance on Coercive Power or “Power Over” • The Profiteer / Spoiler Problem • The Machiavelli Problem

13. Expandable Tree

14. RR #3 Comments • Nature of cause and effect • Interdisciplinary versus multidisciplinary and University bias in favor of disciplinary work • Boulding – Sub-optimization – finding the best way to do something that shouldn't be done • Projects that are successful at the project level can be counterproductive at the system level • Overreaching Iraqi security details (Blackwater) • Dynamics behind micro macro paradox • Big questions: What is the proper balance between “central planning,” “unity of effort” projects and “thousand flowers bloom,” “massively parallel” (but still knowledgeable and well motivated) efforts • Peacebuilding’s market share of conflict interactions

15. RR #3 Comments • Nature of chaos – prepare to be surprised not dumbfounded • Mathematics of deteriorating predictions over time • Adaptation and the cultural/social lag problem – how does one speed the adaptation process while not over adapting (to fads) • Planning acting learning (PAL) basically an adaptation formula • Can we have a productivity revolution in peacebuilding by keeping the costs down – • Common ground Third World outsourcing model • Web- based information systems • Definition of peace, a decent society. • Are they the same thing or different

16. RR #3 Comments • Discussion of the relationship between means and ends in the advisability of using means that are inconsistent with the ends • Is complexity or complicated-based thinking tied up in cause and effect • Disease pathology paradigm on an individual and the systemic level • GST understanding system components within the super system -- doesn't necessarily mean that you understand the super system • GST also notices that system dynamics are in many ways independent of the domain in which they operate • Exponential growth, negative and positive feedback,

17. RR #3 Comments • PowerPoint syndrome • “Power-play” and running out clock) • Organizational inertia embedded in things like the PowerPoint problem • Tom Ricks Called to investigate the generals who commanded Iraq and Afghanistan • The Tommy Franks Fiascostory • The super spaghetti diagram – still have to understand an act on each arrow • From solutions focused to learning focused!!!! • Informed choices – structure RFP processes so that people have to get lots of people to say that what they are doing is useful – must deal with the competition problem

18. RR #3 Comments • Realist paradigm – playing the same destructive conflict as usual game well (or changing the game) • CAOCL training story • For complexity look at something as simple as a football and basketball our hockey or soccer game • Academic debate vs. incorporating the best ideas into your worldview (and not focusing on specific things to disagree with) • To what extent is it a level of effort problem rather than a type of thinking problem • Can't fix these problems on the cheap • AInalysisparalysis and the danger of too much conflict mapping • Academic writing the danger of academic writing

19. Mapping Audience • The Parties – prepare your map to see if you are writing for the parties themselves (and not just your instructor). Include: • Adversaries • Intervenors • Observers

20. Optimal Information Levels TMI: Too Much Information The Goldilocks Point: Just the Right About of Information Blindsided: Too little information

21. Drawing, Prezi, PowerPoint, Web 2D Map Pan & Zoom Web Site Slideshow & Hyperlink

22. Simple (sort of) Two Dimensional Map

23. Real World Map Source: “Some Streams of Systemic Thought,” International Institute for General Systems Studies h/t: Bob Williams

24. Map Layers

25. Map Scale – Macro, Meso, Micro

26. Time Series

27. Key Mapping Project Features • Presentation sequence that will allow readers to “page through” your map in a logical order. • Hyperlinked “browse” capability that allows readers to go back and examine specific parts of your map in greater detail (including, for example, reading any paragraphs that you may have included or watching associated videos). • Include the following key elements: • Parties and associated “attributes,” • Issues and background information needed to understand the “story,” • Dispute history (with associated “power relationships”) • Ricigliano’s structural, attitudinal, and transactionalelements, • Dynamics and feedback loops.

28. No Blueprints, Be Creative!

29. Power Point-Based Conflict Map http://bit.ly/12n6t5I

30. Power Point-Based Conflict Map

31. Website-based Conflict Map http://bit.ly/1a8lqPF

32. Prezi-Based Conflict Map http://bit.ly/13Ixp6e

33. Prezi-Based Conflict Map

34. Prezi-Based Conflict Map

35. “You Are Here” Maps You Are Here

36. “Adopt-a-Highway” Maps

37. Info Graphics http://www.motherjones.com/mojo/2013/03/great-american-inequality-video

38. Infographics

39. Sheboygan, WI

40. The Interrupters http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/pages/frontline/interrupters/

41. Group Facilitation • Select a facilitator • Select a recorder • Record ideas presented/discussed

42. Things we might contribute to the Interrupters • The importance of storytelling • Strategies for promoting respect • Strategies for overcoming misunderstandings • Cooling-off periods • Understanding the social dimensions of the problem • Comparison with soldier demobilization • The prominent role of elders • Community policing • Crisis response teams • Trauma treatment hierarchy – application to communities