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PACS 4500

PACS 4500. Senior Seminar in Peace and Conflict Studies Section 002 Heidi Burgess Feb 4, 2014. Topic Proposals. Ellie – child sex trafficking in East Asia Georgia – gay marriage Heather – rich/poor conflict Kevin – Prison Industrial Complex Lindsay – Cuba/US

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PACS 4500

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  1. PACS 4500 Senior Seminar in Peace and Conflict Studies Section 002 Heidi Burgess Feb 4, 2014

  2. Topic Proposals • Ellie – child sex trafficking in East Asia • Georgia – gay marriage • Heather – rich/poor conflict • Kevin – Prison Industrial Complex • Lindsay – Cuba/US • Martha – human trafficking of Africans in the Sinai • Melanie – Israel/West Bank settlements • Nina – Domestic abuse • Sara – Food insecurity & food deserts • Veronica – Tunisia • Zach – class warfare from a Marxist perspective

  3. Mapping Experiment Part II – The Inequality Problem Steps: • Form 3 teams, get paper, post-its, and tape (optional) • Look at the list of suggested causes of the inequality problem. • Choose the 5-6 most important ones. Put them on the maps and draw causal arrows. • Then add one item at a time, and link it in, until you have a map of many of the key factors.

  4. Mapping Experiment Part II – The Inequality Problem Things to remember: Don’t draw Instead draw: This shows feedback.

  5. Mapping Experiment Part II – The Inequality Problem Things to remember: Solid lines show positive (reinforcing) feedback – This often leads to conflict escalation.

  6. For example: Positive feedback. Poor education Poverty

  7. Mapping Experiment Part II – The Inequality Problem Things to remember: Dotted lines show negative (limiting) feedback – . This often leads to conflict de-escalation.

  8. For example: Good schools reduce poverty, as poverty is reduced, there is more money to pay for good schools. Negative feedback. Good schools Poverty

  9. Try it: Elements to consider: • Problems at the Top • AssortativeMating (Rich mate with rich) • The Super Star Effect (luck, smarts) • Money Addiction/Boundless Greed • Others? • Problems the Bottom • Single Parenting • Criminal Behavior • Unemployment/Under Employment • Low Educational Aspirations • Scarcity-Afflicted Thinking • Others? • Systemic Problems • Automation • Reserve Army of the Unemployed • Zero-Sum Mentality (You win, I lose) • Matthew’s Law (He who has, gets more) • Stress Limits Compassion • Under-Performing Schools • Lance Armstrong Effect (Cheating) • Prison Industrial Complex • Others

  10. This week’s topic: COMPLEXITY! All Big Problems Are Complex Problems

  11. Complex Adaptive Systems

  12. General Systems Theory Levels of Systems Kenneth Boulding, “Skeleton of Science” • Framework • Clockwork • Throughput • Feedback • Cellular • Botanical • Zoological • Psychological • Social Complicated Systems Complex Systems

  13. Evolutionary Roots As Toolmakers

  14. Complicated Systems Mechanical Metaphor-based

  15. Complicated Systems http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_ve4M4UsJQo

  16. Directed from Washington Model

  17. Complicated “Chain of Command”

  18. General Systems Theory Levels of Systems Kenneth Boulding, “Skeleton of Science” • Framework • Clockwork • Throughput • Feedback • Cellular • Botanical • Zoological • Psychological • Social Complicated Systems Complex Systems

  19. Complex Systems Organic Systems and Metaphors

  20. Mermeration http://vimeo.com/31158841

  21. Non-Human Eco-Systems https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S_Bx1mdVMyc

  22. Human Eco-Systems http://www.npr.org/blogs/krulwich/2013/06/10/190468911/the-most-dangerous-traffic-circle-in-the-world

  23. Characteristics of Complex Systems • Multitudes of independent actors each seeking to advance their own self-interest based on their image of their environment and their problem-solving algorithm • Such systems are evolve and are not designed • There are no control points

  24. Ecodynamics

  25. NOT Environmental Correctness

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