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Data Collection in a Decentralized Statistical System – The U.S. Perspective. J. Steven Landefeld Director. Friends of the Chair Group on Integrated Economic Statistics, Work Group Meeting June 6-8, 2007. Background to U.S. Decentralized System.
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Data Collection in a Decentralized Statistical System – The U.S. Perspective J. Steven Landefeld Director Friends of the Chair Group on Integrated Economic Statistics, Work Group Meeting June 6-8, 2007
Background to U.S. Decentralized System • Statistical system and laws grew over time to meet specific policy needs • Increasing regulation and monitoring of industries and institutions • Deregulation has dismantled parts of the system but much of it is still in place
Imprint of Regulation and Monitoring on the U.S. Statistical System
Characteristics of U.S. Decentralized System • Almost all agencies have separate enabling legislation and data collection authorities • No comprehensive statistical “law” • Reflecting public concerns, there are strong confidentiality protections • Civil and criminal penalties for disclosure • Sharing of data among agencies prohibited, with exception of limited data sharing relationship between BEA/BLS/Census
Characteristics of U.S. Decentralized System: Privacy • Strong U.S. resistance to provision of “too much” information to the Government. • Such concerns major determinant of the structure of the U.S. Statistical system • Decentralized – no single agency able to access and share data • Strong confidentiality – limited access to tax and administrative records for statistical purposes • Collection system mainly based on Censuses with extrapolation using sample surveys designed to minimize respondent burden
Chief Statistician of OMB • Key role is coordination of decentralized independent system • Charged with managing the trade-off between respondent burden and statistical needs • No direct budget or management control of individual agencies, but • Can exert significant effect through cross-cutting OMB review of budgets • Statistical agencies independent but report to both OMB and parent departments • Parent departments have direct budget and management control
U.S. Business Accounts • Statistical and Regulatory Reporting based on Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP) • Significant flexibility in GAAP • Significant differences between GAAP, IRS, and Economic Valuations • Significant adjustments required to provide consistent accounting • Key Issues • “Gaps in GAAP” • Rules-based, but significant flexibility • Stocks options, intangibles, pensions and “off-the-book” liabilities • Harmonization with IFRS • Principles based; also significant flexibility
Comprehensive Data Available for Benchmarks • Censuses – virtually complete and most detailed data available – used for benchmarking • Quinquennial Economic Census • Quarterly Census of Wages and Earnings (State & local data) • Benchmark FRB/BEA International Capital and Investment Surveys
Good Annual Coverage From Survey Data • Annual Surveys: most comprehensive survey coverage (lower filing thresholds) and most detailed survey data: • Annual Census Surveys: Manufacturing, Trade, and Services • Annual BEA Surveys of Multinational Company Operations • Annual IRS Business Tax Filings (Federal tax data) • Annual BEA/FRB/Treasury International Capital and Investment Surveys • Other annual survey data: EIA, ERS, NASS • Challenges: Services expansion, updating, consistency, data sharing, and level of detail
Rich Set of Quarterly and Monthly Current Business Indicators • Quarterly and Monthly Surveys: higher frequency but less complete – higher filing thresholds and limited detail • Quarterly and monthly Census trade, manufacturing, services and financial surveys • Quarterly BEA international services surveys • Monthly BLS payroll survey • Monthly CPI, PPI, and IP prices • Other public and private data • Challenges: Services expansion, updating, consistency, and level of detail
Strengths of Decentralized System • Resulting system good at providing timely measures on issues of interest to public and private decision makers: • Good at innovation in concepts and methods • Good at updating the estimates to reflect changes in the economy • Good at addressing current policy and business concerns • Good at balancing timeliness, accuracy, and relevance
Challenges to Decentralized Systems • Challenges associated with decentralized system: • Developing consistent and well integrated estimates • Developing new measures on issues/areas with no constituency and Federal agency management • Balancing respondent burden with need for detail • Lack of a well-established conceptual foundation and organizational framework (true of all national accounts)
Bottom Line • U.S. Decentralized System largely reflects U.S. public’s demand for: • Timely data that answers the “big picture” questions, • Gets the answer “about right,” and • Doesn’t impose too heavy a respondent burden.