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Emerging Trends in Sub-Saharan Africa: Economic Growth and Governance Shifts

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Presentation Transcript

  1. Disclaimer

  2. Median Real Income, Sub-Saharan Africa

  3. Growth in GDP per capita,1996 - 2008

  4. Average Per Capita Income

  5. Growth in Per Capita Income

  6. Gross Capital Formation (Investment)

  7. Total Trade

  8. Productivity GrowthTotal Factor Productivity Growth in SSA (3 year rolling average)

  9. Agricultural Production

  10. Infant Mortality

  11. Primary School Enrollment

  12. Population Growth Rate

  13. Poverty Rates in the Emerging African CountriesShare of population with incomes less than $1.25/day

  14. Changes in Commodity Prices

  15. Five Fundamental Changes • The Rise of Democracy and Improved Governance • Stronger Economic Policies • The End of the Debt Crisis and Improved Donor Relations • The Rise of New Technologies • The Emergence of a New Generation

  16. Major Changes in the Emerging Countries: Economic Policy Reform, Political Change, and Per Capita Income

  17. African Democracies

  18. Freedom House Scores Average of Political Rights and Civil Liberties Scores

  19. Freedom House and Polity IV Scores

  20. Incidence of Domestic Conflict Average number of incidents per year per country group

  21. African Leaders Departure From Power Source: Daniel N. Posner and Daniel J. Young, 2007, “The Institutionalization of Political Power in Africa,” Journal of Democracy 18-3 (July), pp. 128.

  22. Governance IndicatorsSource: World Bank Institute

  23. 2. Stronger Economic PoliciesPrevalence of “Anti-Growth Syndromes”

  24. Currency Overvaluation: The Real Exchange Rate

  25. Average Import Tariff Rates

  26. Changes in Agricultural Policies: The Nominal Rate of Assistance

  27. Costs of Starting a Business

  28. 3. The End of the Debt Crisis and Change in Donor Relationships

  29. Official Financing for the Emerging African Countries

  30. 4. The rise of new Technologies:Mobile Subscriptions (per 100 people)

  31. Internet Subscriptions (per 100 people)

  32. 5. The Emergence of a New Generation

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