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Climate Scenarios and Water Projects at the Canadian Institute for Climate Studies

Climate Scenarios and Water Projects at the Canadian Institute for Climate Studies. Trevor Murdock, M.Sc. tmurdock@uvic.ca Canadian Institute for Climate Studies 19 November 2004. Outline. Canadian Institute for Climate Studies BC Water Model Project

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Climate Scenarios and Water Projects at the Canadian Institute for Climate Studies

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  1. Climate Scenarios and Water Projects at the Canadian Institute for Climate Studies Trevor Murdock, M.Sc. tmurdock@uvic.ca Canadian Institute for Climate Studies 19 November 2004

  2. Outline • Canadian Institute for Climate Studies • BC Water Model Project • Canadian Climate Impacts Scenarios Project • Scenarios for water and hydrology • Summary

  3. Canadian Institute for Climate Studies www.cics.uvic.ca • 1993 Meteorological Service of Canada and Province of BC launch CICS to: • “further the understanding of the climate system, its variability and potential for change and to further the application of that understanding to decision making in both the public and private sectors.” • 1994-2001 Climate Research Network • replaced by Canadian Foundation for Climate and Atmospheric Sciences

  4. Canadian Institute for Climate Studies • 1995-present Climate Applications Projects: • Climate Severity Index, Environmental Indicators for BC (Province) and Canada (Canadian Ministers of the Environment), Industry (Forestry, Natural Gas, Canadian Environmental Assessment Agency), Regional Districts, ClimExec, Outreach and Education (C-CIARN BC, BC Climate Exchange, Royal BC Museum), Water Balance (BC) • 1995-present Seasonal Climate Predictions • 1995-present Climate Network Newsletter • 1999-present CCIS Scenarios Project

  5. BC Water Balance Model http://www.waterbalance.ca • Watershed-based approach that integrates the natural and built environments • User-friendly online model to inform and evaluate land use planning decisions’ ability to meet stormwater management objectives, at the scale of the individual development site and the watershed.

  6. http://www.waterbalance.ca • Low impact development involves reducing impacts of stormwater runoff using various "source controls“ whose effectiveness varies with design, precipitation patterns, soil type, among other factors. • Overall performance of source controls of interest to developers, homeowners & local gov’t. • Canadian Institute for Climate Studies worked with BC Water Balance Model to provide option to include information from scenarios of future climate over the next century

  7. Canadian Climate Impacts & ScenariosProject - Brief History www.cics.uvic.ca/scenarios • Launched in 1999 by Adaptation and Impacts Research Group of EC • Staff: • Dr. Elaine Barrow Co-Principal Investigator (AIRG, Regina) • Dr. Philippe Gachon Co-principal Investigator (AIRG-Ouranos, Montreal) • Trevor Murdock Senior Research Associate & Webmaster (CICS, Victoria) • AIRG provides project direction and support staff • CICS & Ouranos provide support staff

  8. Canadian Climate Impacts ScenariosProject - Brief History www.cics.uvic.ca/scenarios • To encourage the use of a consistent set of climate change scenarios by the VIA research community in Canada: • provide national consistent climate change scenarios from several GCMs over Canada and North America following IPCC guidelines • background information, tools, user assistance, training, workshops • promote nationally-consistent framework for scenario development • develop and maintaining a capacity to support VI&A research • involve scenario user groups in scenarios development

  9. Currently over 800 registered users, March 2002 largest sector was water Usage statistics for 2002-Feb 2004 Avg ~20-30,000 page views per month

  10. Canadian Climate Impacts Scenarios Project - Future Plans • Current funding ends March 2005. • Seeking government & industry consortium funding to expand: • Paleoclimate • Extremes • Observations • Indices • Downscaling tools • Training • International collaboration

  11. Canadian Climate Impacts Scenarios Project - Interface www.cics.uvic.ca/scenarios

  12. Summary • Institute • Individual projects • Scenarios website • Online resources • Research into use of scenarios • Water is one of the major sectors interested in using climate information

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