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MOOCs and ubiquitous computing

MOOCs and ubiquitous computing. Summer 2013. 1: ubiquitous computing. Mark Weiser, 1988ff Example: "The Computer for the Twenty-First Century" ( 1991 ).

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MOOCs and ubiquitous computing

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  1. MOOCs and ubiquitous computing Summer 2013

  2. 1: ubiquitous computing Mark Weiser, 1988ff • Example: "The Computer for the Twenty-First Century" (1991) “The most profound technologies are those that disappear. They weave themselves into the fabric of everyday life until they are indistinguishable from it.”

  3. “The mobile phone is the primary connection tool for most people in the world. In 2020, while "one laptop per child" and other initiatives to bring networked digital communications to everyone are successful on many levels, the mobile phone—now with significant computing power—is the primary Internet connection and the only one for a majority of the people across the world, providing information in a portable, well-connected form at a relatively low price.”

  4. Beyond the PC "When we were an agrarian nation, all cars were trucks because that's what you needed on the farms." Cars became more popular as cities rose, and things like power steering and automatic transmission became popular…

  5. "PCs are going to be like trucks," Jobs said. "They are still going to be around." However, he said, only "one out of x people will need them." http://news.cnet.com/8301-13860_3-20006526-56.html ; image via Wikipedia

  6. Interface changes • Gartner: end of the mouse • Touch screen (iOS) • Handhelds (Wii) • Nothing (Kinect)

  7. Search the world

  8. Multimedia lives here

  9. Ecosystems Ecosystems

  10. Ecosystems and decisions Combining devices, format, services, and business model • Kindle: Amazon store • iPad: iTunes book section • Android: Play

  11. Big mobile changes • Laminating the world digitally • Media consumption • Interfacetransformation • Media capture • Social connection • Web 2.0, amped

  12. Microcontent increases Social participation increases From consumer to user to prosumer Accelerando! All of Web 2.0, just more so

  13. 2: Das MOOC

  14. No, MOOCs No good categorical name: …which sometimes indicates the future

  15. Delphi • Horizon Report 2013

  16. Horizon trends, 2013 Time-to-Adoption Horizon: One Year or Less • Massively Open Online Courses • Tablet Computing

  17. cMOOC

  18. xMOOC

  19. Two different Webs • Video vs social media • Container vs Weinberger • Automation vs humans

  20. 3: Grappling with the future

  21. MOOCs don’t act alone • Demographics • Great Recession • Hollowing out of middle class • Globalization • Automation • World going online • Complexity of US higher education • Adjunctification • K-12 reform • Serials + monograph crises

  22. MOOCs don’t act alone • Mobile apps • Persistent DRM • Social media’s triumph • Interface transformations • Global cyberwar and surveillance

  23. Possible paths ahead

  24. I: MOOCs exacerbate problems • Star system intensifies • Adjunctification increases (rōnin model, King and Nanfito) • Sticker prices drop, leading to more cuts • F2f for elites

  25. The bubble bursts http://research.studentclearinghouse.org/files/TermEnrollmentReport-Spring2013.pdf

  26. Phantom learning Post-tsunami • Schools are rare and distant • Information is plentiful and nearby

  27. II: Open world • Open content, open access, open source • Very Web-centric

  28. Good things • Global conversations increase, filter bubble pops • More access, more information • Lots of creativity

  29. Not so good things • Industries collapse • Authorship mysterious • Some low quality tech (videoconf.) • Some higher costs • More malware + less privacy

  30. Good things on campus • Information prices drop • Faculty creativity, flexibility grow • IT “ “ “ • Academic content unleashed on the world

  31. How does this impact campuses? • Tech challenges • Outsourcing and offshoring • PLE beats LMS • Crowdsourcing faculty work • Information literacy central

  32. III: MOOC bubble pops http://www.flickr.com/photos/thales/2782129254/

  33. (or my favorite metaphor)

  34. How it happened • MOOC provider goes bust • Media buzz reverses

  35. Elsewhere • Economic growth returns to US (energy, medical, nanotech vs world) • 17-22-year-old residential niche revitalized (K-12 failure) • Full-time faculty stabilize (AAUP-ALA strike)

  36. Higher education landscape: • Supplemental rather than transformative tech • Logistical instead of pedagogical tech • Academics include tech in old structures (classes, publication

  37. Bryan Alexander http://bryanalexander.org Bryan on Twitter http://twitter.com/BryanAlexander

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