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Veto Players

Veto Players. Brintnall- “one enabling factor for the climate of seeming failure was the academic environment of critical evaluation that had focused on what did not work rather than what might move results forward.”. Policy and Indicators. Opportunities and Challenges in the Policy Realm

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Veto Players

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  1. Veto Players Brintnall- “one enabling factor for the climate of seeming failure was the academic environment of critical evaluation that had focused on what did not work rather than what might move results forward.”

  2. Policy and Indicators Opportunities and Challenges in the Policy Realm Danger that evidence will be used selectively or ignored to support an a priori policy decision; Loss of control over how the information might be used and Intellectual property issues, tied to funding and related issues; Figuring out where your research fits into the policy cycle. Is it to evaluate or support policy in the beginning, midstream or end of a cycle? Translating complex ideas into meaningful policy application – speaking the language; Overcoming “political will” ; Assessing Impact and evaluating causal effects; End user may not know what they want (or need); Knowing your end user – capabilities, resources, entry points.

  3. Types of Policy Relevant Indicator Research • Almost all research can be said to be policy relevant so what do we mean by relevant? • Evaluations that focus on process and performance such as the effects of a programme – eg. country level aid programmes at the sectoral or programme level; • Decision support to help decide what decisions need to be made and information that is relevant to that decision – analysis of a particular risk in a region, country or globally – eg global warming; • Responsive – stakeholder analysis to help understand the needs of a particular group or “client” - eg a survey of NGOs working in the field who are part of the Peace build Group

  4. What do we find? • When we look at the number of indicator based projects available we find that: • They are working on different assumptions regarding cause and effect; • They generate different policy prescriptions; • They are not deeply imbedded as decision-support tools.

  5. What is Fragility? • Development • World Bank, DFID, USAID etc • Conflict • Fund for Peace, International Crisis Behaviour, • Stability • Political Instability Task Force • All generate similar lists

  6. Key Findings Correlation Matrix (Developing Countries: 2006)

  7. Correlates of Fragility: Democracy

  8. Pakistan’s Entry Points for Programming:Governance, Economics, Security and Crime, Human Development, Demography and the Environment

  9. The State of the World:Fragility Increasing Over Time

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