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Vision for IT Sector in India – the next step. By PANKAJ AGRAWALA Joint Secretary Govt. of India Department of Information Technology Min. of Communications and IT New Delhi. Vision. India has the potential to become a significant player in Global knowledge economy.
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Vision for IT Sector in India – the next step By PANKAJ AGRAWALA Joint Secretary Govt. of India Department of Information Technology Min. of Communications and IT New Delhi
Vision • India has the potential to become a significant player in Global knowledge economy. • Let us work to enhance Indian share in global markets from about 1% to 10% in the long-term. • Key to success lies in long term research
Focus • Identify specific steps and areas for action • The next step is to give the right impetus to R&D in IT • Telecom is another key areas for growth of knowledge economy • The stake holders could be DIT / DOT / MTNL / BSNL/C-DOT / ITI/Other related Academic/ research agencies The next step • Cyberspace is a New World • Exponential growth means constant radical change • This new world needs explorers, pioneers, and settlers • Pioneering research pays off in the long-term
The next step • Cyberspace is a New World • Exponential growth means constant radical change • This new world needs explorers, pioneers, and settlers • Pioneering research pays off in the long-term
The next step……..Contd. • Long-term research is a public good • The funding agencies to shift the focus to long-term research. • By making larger and longer-term grants, we hope that university researchers will be able to attack larger and more ambitious problems
Long Range Research Goals • What makes a good long range research goal? -understandable -challenging -useful -Testable -Incremental -scalability
Turing’s Vision of Machine Intelligence Alan Turing had predicted in 1950, that computers would be intelligent in 50 years with capacities of the order of 10 to the power 9 as against human memory of the order of 10 to the power 12-15. • This has happened and continues………….. • Three more predictions • prosthetic hearing, • speech, • and vision
Bush’s Memex • Personal Memex : Record everything a person sees and hears, and quickly retrieve any item on request • World Memex : Build a system that given a text corpus, can answer questions about the text and summarize the text as precisely and quickly as a human expert in that field. Do the same for music, images, art, and cinema
Telepresence • Telepresence : Simulate being some other place retrospectively as an observer -(Tele Observer): hear and see as well as actually being there, and as well as a participant, and simulate being some other place as a participant -(Tele Present): interacting with others and with the environment as though you are actually there.
Future systems • Trouble free systems : Build a system used by millions of people each day and yet administered and managed by a single part-time person • Dependable Systems • Secure System : Assure that the trouble free system services authorized users and information cannot be stolen (and prove it.) • Always Up: Assure that the system is unavailable for less than one second per hundred years i.e.99.999999 % or eight 9’s of availability (and prove it.)
Future systems(contd.) • Automatic Programmer: Device a specification language or user interface that: (a) makes it easy for people to express designs (1,000x easier) (b) computer can compile, and (c) can describe all applications (design is complete)
The Indian R&D Landscape • Research in National Laboratories (NPL, C-DAC, CEERI, IISc., TIFR, ECIL, C-DoT, ISRO • Research in Academia (IITs, BITs, RECs, IISc) • Research in Private Sector (IBM, SUN, Microsoft, HP, Motorola, HFCL, HCL, SCL etc.
Objectives of R&D • Timely development of replacement of products being phased out • Reduction of production cost to increase yield • Reduction in environmental effect • Reduction in energy consumption • Innovation to open up new markets • Innovation to increase market share • R&D to increase production flexibility • R&D to improve cycle time
Importance of R&D • Most developed/ developing countries put 5-20% of profit margin in R&D. Their Govt. Spending in R&D is also about 5% of GDP • Most MNCs grow with focus on research. Cisco is the leader in research with R&D spending at 14 % of Revenues • Indian companies and govt. deptts. should follow suit.
Factors limiting R&D in India • Lack of government support • Inadequate support services and proper infrastructure in place such as roads, railways, airports etc. • Perceived risks too high • Political instability
Strengths and Primary Drivers of R&D in India • Large pool of intellectual capital • Cheap availability of manpower • Global recognition of Indian brains and skills • Rapid approach to globalization • English as a medium of education • Fast growing middle class group • Quality at low cost
Opportunity Areas in IT • Grid computing • Broadband proliferation • Converged/networked devices • Miniaturization and personalization • Offshore sourcing – India as R&D hub • RFID Tags for tracking and identification i.e. smart cards • Biometric devices to carry money or for identification • 3 dimensional image processing and holographic images • Develop affordable PCs and telephony