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Amendments to the Manual on WIPPS for Water Prediction at INFCOM-3

The document outlines amendments to the Manual on WIPPS focusing on water and related environmental prediction. It includes recommendations for weather, climate, water, and environmental emergency response. Updates involve enhancing temporal and spatial resolution, adding noble-gas-related products, and transitioning request methods. The document also addresses marine environmental emergency response criteria and global numerical storm surge prediction designation. Recommendations for vegetation fire and smoke pollution forecasts, as well as participation in testing exercises, are highlighted.

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Amendments to the Manual on WIPPS for Water Prediction at INFCOM-3

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  1. Item 8.4(1)/3 – Amendments to the Manual on the WIPPS (WMO-No. 485) for water and related environmental prediction Third Session of the Infrastructure Commission (INFCOM-3, 15-19 April 2024) David RICHARDSON / Chair SC-ESMP 17 April 2024

  2. Doc.8.4(1) Amendments to the Manual on WIPPS Doc.8.4(1) Amendments to the Manual on WIPPS THREE draft Recommendations • Draft Recommendation 8.4(1)/1 – for weather prediction  General WIPPS  Global/Limited-area deterministic/ensemble NWP • Draft Recommendation 8.4(1)/2 – for climate prediction  Sub-seasonal forecasts, Long-range prediction  Annual to decadal prediction, global climate reanalysis • Draft Recommendation 8.4(1)/3 – for water and related environmental prediction  Nuclear/non-nuclear environmental emergency response  Marine emergency response, Global storm surge prediction  Atmospheric sand and dust storm forecasts, Vegetation fire and smoke pollution forecasts

  3. Doc.8.4(1) Amendments to the Manual on WIPPS Draft Recommendation 8.4(1)/3 Doc.8.4(1) Amendments to the Manual on WIPPS Draft Recommendation 8.4(1)/3 – – for water and related for water and related environmental prediction environmental prediction • Update of Environmental Emergency Response activities  Nuclear EER - Annex 1 • (1) improve temporal and spatial resolution in backward transport and dispersion products • (2) add noble-gas-related products, and • (3) change the request method from fax to email by both CTBTO and IAEA  Non-nuclear EER: introduce a global arrangement - Annex 2 • RA VI-designated RSMCs be responsible for RA I and RA II; • RA IV-designated RSMCs be responsible for RA III, RA V and the Antarctic  Introduce the Regional Association as a responsible body in the designation of RSMCs conducting nuclear EER and non-nuclear EER - Annex 1 and 2

  4. Doc.8.4(1) Amendments to the Manual on WIPPS Draft Recommendation 8.4(1)/3 Doc.8.4(1) Amendments to the Manual on WIPPS Draft Recommendation 8.4(1)/3 – – for water and related for water and related environmental prediction environmental prediction • SERCOM invite INFCOM to consider at its 3rdsession (SERCOM-3)  Rename “marine environmental emergency response” and update the designation criteria of RSMC for marine emergency response - Annex 3 • Prepare, on request from an authorized person, MER analysis and forecast products • Within one hour for a SAR event / four hours for a non-nuclear marine pollution, make available a range of products to the requester only in pre-agreed secured method • Participate in MER testing exercises at the request of WMO or International Maritime Organization (IMO), and their Members/Member States, including national authorities

  5. Doc.8.4(1) Amendments to the Manual on WIPPS Draft Recommendation 8.4(1)/3 Doc.8.4(1) Amendments to the Manual on WIPPS Draft Recommendation 8.4(1)/3 – – for water and related for water and related environmental prediction environmental prediction • SERCOM invite INFCOM to consider at its 3rdsession (SERCOM-3)  The new designation criteria of RSMC for global numerical storm surge prediction as a general-purpose activity, - Annex 4 • Prepare as available global analyses, pseudo analyses or initial condition of variables contributing to ocean total water level; • Prepare global forecast fields of basic and derived variables contributing to ocean total water level; • Make available on WIS a range of these products; • Prepare verification statistics and make them available • Make available on a website up to date information

  6. Doc.8.4(1) Amendments to the Manual on WIPPS Draft Recommendation 8.4(1)/3 Doc.8.4(1) Amendments to the Manual on WIPPS Draft Recommendation 8.4(1)/3 – – for water and related for water and related environmental prediction environmental prediction • Recommendation from Research Board (see INF 8.4(3))  Establishment of “Vegetation fire and smoke pollution forecasts” as a new WIPPS activity for specialized purpose. - Annex 5  Designation of Canada (ECCC) and Singapore (MSS) - Annex 6 Fire Weather Index (FWI) from North American Regional Centre – Canada PM2.5 surface concentration from Southeast Asia Regional Centre - Singapore

  7. draft Recommendation 8.4(1)/3 draft Recommendation 8.4(1)/3 • Contribution from Members  Draft 2 – SERCOM Annex 3 to draft Resolution ##/3 (EC-78) – SERCOM All changes to Marine Emergency Response activity are made to align with the Decision 7/2 (SERCOM-3).

  8. Thank you. wmo.int

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