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Dallas County Election 2004

Dallas County Election 2004. Stonewall Democrats November 16, 2004. % Turnout by Election Cycle. Dallas County Turnout Historical. Change in Democratic Vote 2000 & 2004 Dallas County Congressional Districts.

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Dallas County Election 2004

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  1. Dallas County Election 2004 Stonewall Democrats November 16, 2004

  2. % Turnout by Election Cycle

  3. Dallas County Turnout Historical

  4. Change in Democratic Vote 2000 & 2004Dallas County Congressional Districts

  5. How the Frost/Sessions Race Broughta Democratic VictoryCraig Watkins, 2002 – Lupe Valdez, 2004

  6. Martin Frost Campaign Raises AllDemocratic Boats

  7. Turnout Comparisons bySenate District - 2004

  8. 8th Senate District Turnout% Variation from County Turnout

  9. 16th Senate District Turnout% Variation from County Turnout

  10. 23rd Senate District Turnout% Variation from County Turnout 2000 2002 2004

  11. 23rd Senate District TurnoutComparison between CD32 Precincts & Other Precincts

  12. 23rd Senate District / C.D. 32 Pcts% Change in Turnout 2000 to 2004 OTHERS C.D 32

  13. Summary • Overall turnout in Dallas County was considerably higher than previous Presidential Elections - 28,490 more ballots were cast in 2004 than 1992. • The Martin Frost campaign improved Democratic performance in Congressional District 32 by 3% to 8% depending on race. Lupe Valdez ran 6% ahead of DPI in the congressional district. • Democratic performance in the other congressional districts was up by 3% overall from 2002 except for Congressional District 30 which remained about the same as 2002. • Overall turnout in Senate District 23 in 2004 as a proportion of countywide turnout was only slightly better than 2000 but considerably less than 2002. • 23rd Senate District precincts within Congressional District 32 had turnouts almost 6% better than 2000 values while others remained about the same.

  14. Conclusions • Higher overall turnout seems to help Democrats in Dallas County if not nationally. • The Martin Frost campaign was responsible for the overall improvement of the Democratic margin countywide. The more aggressive Democratic campaigns were able to capitalize on this improvement. • Most Democratic improvement came from outside the Democratic base and probably resulted from Frost’s intensive voter persuasion efforts. • Democratic efforts in the 23rd Senate District were less effective – what improvement in turnout that occurred did so within the 32nd Congressional District only.

  15. Recommendations • A comprehensive and adequately funded countywide Democratic campaign must be implemented in 2006 to replicate as far as possible the Frost campaign of 2004. • Voter turnout efforts in GOTV precincts alone are not sufficient – a voter persuasion campaign targeted outside the Democratic base is a key ingredient in a Democratic victory in Dallas County. • GOTV efforts in the Democratic base should be more tightly focused in 2006 and intensively targeted to voters with new voting history beginning in 2004. Diffuse voter contact programs are less than effective. • African-Americans on the Democratic ballot may improve performance in the 30TH Congressional District by 2% or up to 3,000 votes. Hispanic participation, though still weak, continues to improve and voter turnout programs should be focused on reinforcing participation among new Hispanic voters.

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