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László TÓTH, Hungary Bay Zoltán Institute for Logistics and Production Systems

1 st Hungarian-Ukrainian Joint Conference on Safety-Reliability and Risk of Engineering Plants and Components. László TÓTH, Hungary Bay Zoltán Institute for Logistics and Production Systems. 11 of April. 1241 Batu khan won against IV. Béla at Muhi 1891 Sergey Prokofjev was born

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László TÓTH, Hungary Bay Zoltán Institute for Logistics and Production Systems

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  1. 1st Hungarian-Ukrainian Joint Conference on Safety-Reliability and Risk of Engineering Plants and Components László TÓTH, Hungary Bay Zoltán Institute for Logistics and Production Systems

  2. 11 of April • 1241 Batu khan won against IV. Béla at Muhi • 1891 Sergey Prokofjev was born • 1900 Sándor Márai was born • 1905 Attila József was born • 1945 caretaker government of Hungary moved to Budapest from Debrecen • 1985Ever Hodzsa was died

  3. 12 of April • 1861 The american civil war has been started • 1938 Fjodor Saljapin was died • 1945 F.D. Roosevelt was died • 1961 J.A. Gagarin passed the first space flight • 1971 Igor Evenevicsh Tamm physicist was died, who had received the Nobel-price (in 1958) • 1981The first take off of the Columbia space shuttle

  4. Space fligh: 12. April, 1961

  5. Paul GAUGIN, 1897 (Boston, Museum of Fine Arts, 141x376 cm) Where We come from? What We Are? Where we are going?

  6. Level of SAFETY The Basic Words in Technical-Economical Life Safety Reliability Risk Costs

  7. Designed in 50-60’s years Designed in 70’s Designed in 80’s 31. December, 2005

  8. Reliability concept At a given technical level !!

  9. Condi- tion based approach Relia- bility based approach Risk based approach Event based approach Time based approach STRATEGY 1950 1960 1980 1990 1995

  10. DEFINITION of the System TO DO something Determination of the Danger DECISION Consequences Probabilty RISK probability To do nothing consequences RISK=probability of failurexconsequences

  11. Goal… critical components • Manage risk = • define it • identify it • quantify it • rank it • control it • minimize it • … … HOW to do itpractically?!?

  12. The driving forces of development

  13. Kvantum technology

  14. Chernobyl, 26. April 1986. 1323

  15. Partners, Guest

  16. 1870. március 5. –1953. július 12. 1918. November 27. Paton’s Family

  17. Bay Zoltán (1900 - 1992) • He measured the distance between the earth and moon using micro-wave technology (06.02.1946.) (Radar astronomy). • Definition of the unit of the distance, meter (1965-1983)

  18. Thank you for your kind attention! Tlaszlo@bzlogi.hu 30-9-322-690

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