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Ronald J. Birk Applied Sciences Program Earth-Sun System Division NASA Science Mission Directorate

NASA Earth-Sun System Science benefits for Society Transition from Research to Operations: Plans and Challenges on the Way Forward. September 15, 2005. Ronald J. Birk Applied Sciences Program Earth-Sun System Division NASA Science Mission Directorate. Over 6 billion people to serve….

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Ronald J. Birk Applied Sciences Program Earth-Sun System Division NASA Science Mission Directorate

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  1. NASA Earth-Sun System Science benefits for SocietyTransition from Research to Operations:Plans and Challenges on the Way Forward September 15, 2005 Ronald J. Birk Applied Sciences Program Earth-Sun System Division NASA Science Mission Directorate

  2. Over 6 billion people to serve….

  3. NASA Observing Spacecraft for Earth-Sun System Research

  4. Earth System Models

  5. Integrating Knowledge, Capacity and Systems into Solutions

  6. National Plans Commercial Remote Sensing Space Policy Commission on Ocean Policy Climate Change Technology Program Integrated Earth Observation System Climate Change Science Program Administration plans and policies form a basis for a formalNASA – NOAA Research & Operations Transition Plan NASA Research Capabilities NOAA Operational Capabilities

  7. National and NASA Objectives National Objective 5 – Study the Earth system from space and develop new space-based and related capabilities for this purpose. NASA Objective 14 Advance scientific knowledge of the Earth system through space-based observation, assimilation of new observations, and development and deployment of enabling technologies, systems, and capabilities, including those with potential to improve future operational systems. NASA Objective 15 Explore the Sun-Earth system to understand the Sun and its effects on Earth, the solar system, and the space environmental conditions that will be experienced by human explorers, and demonstrate technologies that can improve future operational systems.

  8. FutureU.S. Operational Systems NPOESS (2009) GOES-R (2012)

  9. Operational Global Observing System (MTSAT) ( MSG) POES (NPOESS)

  10. Observing Birth and Intensification of Deadly Cat-5 Hurricane Katrina TRMM Microwave Imager TRMM August 28, 10:25 pm QuikSCAT Winds August 25, 4:37 AM TRMM Precipitation Radar Lori Perkins, NASA GSFC Jeff Halverson TRMM Education and Outreach Scientist QuikSCAT Science Team, JPL

  11. Observations to Knowledge Products “from photons to electrons to neurons”

  12. ApplicationFocus Areas and Partners

  13. Joint Management Structure • Transition Management Oversight • Establishes framework for collaboration, sets bilateral policy and priorities, approves Transition Plan, and oversees implementation • NOAA/J. Kelly • NASA/Mary Cleave • Ad hoc Joint Working Group • Prepares overall Transition Plan, identifies Transition Capabilities, oversees development of individual implementation plans, and coordinates senior review of implementation plans • NOAA/Gary Davis • NASA/Ron Birk • Transition Capability Teams • Prepares an implementation plan for each identified Transition Capability

  14. R&O JWG Documentation CAPABILIITY IMPLEMENTATION PLAN #1 CAPABILITY IMPLEMENTATION PLAN #2 CAPABILITY IMPLEMENTATION PLAN #3 FRAMEWORK Document NASA & NOAA TRANSITION PLAN CAPABILITY IMPLEMENTATION PLAN #4 CAPABILITY IMPLEMENTATION PLAN #5 CAPABILITY IMPLEMENTATION PLAN #6

  15. Family of Documents for Research and Operations I.     Framework Document • Establish inventory of potential candidate capabilities • Develop selection criteria • Identify Processes: selections, criteria, management reviews • Establish common definitions and semantics II.     Transition Plan • Capture candidate capabilities • Apply criteria to candidates • Select capabilities for development of implementation plans • Establish approach for CIP teams III.    Capability Implementation Plans • Develop discrete plans for each capability with dedicated team of NASA and NOAA representatives

  16. Challenges on the Way Ahead • Systematically transitioning appropriate NASA research results to be adopted to improve future operational systems to serve society • Characterizing uncertainty in model forecasts for weather, climate, and natural hazards • Benefiting from increased data handling capacity to handle volume and range of data from Earth-Sun observatories • Evolving an Earth-Sun System Gateway portal to provide interoperability and access between research results and integrators

  17. Heritage of Spacecraft Missions transition from Research to Operations

  18. The legacy in weather systems continues… NPP (2006) CrIS/ATMS VIIRS OMPS Coriolis (2003) WindSat METOP (2005) IASI/AMSU/MHS & AVHRR Aqua (2002) AIRS, AMSU & MODIS NPOESS (2009) CrIS/ATMS, VIIRS, CMIS, OMPS & ERBS Use of Advanced Sounder Data for Improved Weather Forecasting & Numerical Weather Prediction NOAA Real-Time Data Delivery Timeline Ground Station Scenario NWS/NCEP GSFC/DAO ECMWF UKMO FNMOC Meteo-France BMRC-Australia Met Serv Canada NWP Forecasts IDPS NOAA Real-time User C3S Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation

  19. Sun-Earth Connection Missions with capabilities for Space Weather

  20. Solar Sentinel Geospace Missions Ionospheric Mappers Solar Dynamics Observatory (2008) Solar Sentinel Radiation Belt Mappers (NET 2010) Solar Sentinel (NET 2013) Sun-Earth Connection Research Question How are the Sun, heliosphere, and planets connected in a single system?

  21. OSSE Operations 5-year Mission R&O Transition Timeline The IBPD Earth-Sun System, Objective 14, states: 14.1 Transfer 30 percent of NASA developed research results and observations to operational Agencies. Pressing issues include timing and targets of opportunity: Budget Support R&O demo 4 yr Solicitation Cycle

  22. Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation NCEP Spacecraft succession plans… Imaging and Sounding SeaWiFS Terra Aqua NPOESS NPP Solar Irradiance, Ozone, and Aerosols In operation SORCE ACRIMsat Glory NPOESS Under Development SAGE III AURA NPOESS NPP In Formulation Observation Tech Development Atmospheric Composition UARS AURA TBD Ocean Surface Topography Jason OSTM NOAA/EUMETSAT * Canceled flight mission; gleaning technology for GOES-R Land Cover/Land Use Change Operational NPOESS Landsat 7 LDCM GIFTS* GOES Tech Tropo Winds TBD Data Assim Short-term Prediction Research and Transition Center NWS NASA & NOAA jointly funding NRC studies on improving transition

  23. Data Pools Earth System Models Extending Data System Architecture Distribution, Access, Interoperability & Reuse Flight Operations, Data Capture, Initial Processing & Backup Archive Science Data Processing, Data Mgmt., Data Archive & Distribution Data Transport to DAACs Data Acquisition Tracking & Data Relay Satellite (TDRS) Research Spacecraft Education EOSDIS Science Data Systems (DAACs) Value-Added Providers Data Processing & Mission Control NASA Integrated Services Network (NISN) Mission Services WWW IP Internet Interagency Data Centers REASoNs Earth System Models Ground Stations International Partners Science Teams (SIPS) Benchmarking DSS Measurement Teams Polar Ground Stations TECHNOLOGY

  24. WET VERY DRY DRY WET WET DRY DRY VERY WET COLD WARM COLD Transitioning Capabilities ofEarth-Sun System Models JCSDA

  25. Science Program Budget Summary $82.6 Budget Authority in $ Millions

  26. Intellectual Leadership

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