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Verification of categorical predictands

This tutorial session, led by Anna Ghelli from ECMWF in June 2009, explores the fundamentals of verifying categorical forecasts. It covers the definition, basic concepts, and scoring methods used to evaluate these forecasts. The session includes practical exercises and concludes with key insights on improving forecasting accuracy. Topics discussed include contingency tables, joint and marginal probabilities, various scoring metrics, and challenges in multi-category event verification. Gain a solid understanding of how to assess categorical forecasts effectively.

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Verification of categorical predictands

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