Fostering Entrepreneurial Foresight

1. Fostering Entrepreneurial Foresight About the Project 04.1096, funded by the Latvian Council of Science in 2004

2. Outputs for reflexive self-identity Project’s panels Sustainable development Foresight exercises INNOVATIONS KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT THE LISBON STRATEGY AND PROCESS Futures studies Identification and understanding an entrepreneur’s interactions with... Knowledge economy EU Knowledge-based societies VALUES

3. Our identities and interpretations of the external world are constructed and reconstructed from our continuing experiences of that world. Reflexive self-identity = what are we, what business are we in and why? (Ted Fuller)

4. Our identities and interpretations of the external world are constructed and reconstructed from our continuing experiences of that world. Reflexive self-identity = what are we, what business are we in and why? (Ted Fuller) A continuous rethinking process

5. Domāšanas un jaunu zināšanu radīšanas procesi ir daudz sarežģītāki nekā fiziskās iedarbības un izpildes aktivitātes, kas pieprasa kompetences galvenokārt sekmīgai parauga atveidošanai Mūsdienu Latvijas vērtības un to interpretācija varas elitē 1991-2004 Politika, bizness, izglītība, zinātne Zināšanas un, kas ir īpaši svarīgi, tādas jaunas zināšanas, kuras ved uz inovācijām, cilvēks rada sevī pašā – iekšējā un mijiedarbības ar vidi procesā, kura būtisks priekšnoteikums ir reflektējošās personības apņemšanās (commitment). Process ietver sistēmiskas un komplicētas reflekcijas par sevi un vidi, kurā pašidentitāte darbojas un turpmāk attīstīsies, refleksijas par pašidentitātes attīstības iespējām, riskiem un izvēlēm nākotnē. Tās ir reflekcijas, kas rada indivīdam alternatīvo nākotņu priekšstatus, kuri savukārt ir svarīgi komponenti procesā, kas veido indivīda un sabiedrības nākotnes realitātes.

6. ...in contemporary societies across the world, the self, and our own individuality,increasingly becomes reflexive. The key pathology of late modern culture is the lack of a sense of identity, the lack of a sense of self, the sense of an empty space where the self should be. (Anthony Giddens)

7. Domāšanas un jaunu zināšanu radīšanas procesi ir daudz sarežģītāki nekā fiziskās iedarbības un izpildes aktivitātes, kas pieprasa kompetences galvenokārt sekmīgai parauga atveidošanai Mūsdienu Latvijas vērtības un to interpretācija varas elitē 1991-2004 Politika, bizness, izglītība, zinātne Ja par parauga, kaut vai potenciāli nederīga, atveidošanu indivīdam maksā daudz vairāk (ieskaitot augstu sociālo statusu) nekā par zināšanu jaunradi, kuras īstenosies materiālā vērtībā un tirgus precē tikai pēc īsāka vai ilgāka laika, tad nav brīnums, ka zināšanas kā tādas zemu kotējas sabiedrībā. Izaicinājumi uzņēmējdarbībai ES zināšanu sabiedrība ? Ceļš uz zināšanu sabiedrību Zināšanu mārketings Zināšanu vadīšanas mārketings

8. Full title of the interdisciplinary project Latvia towards Knowledge Societies of Europe:new options for entrepreneurship and employment achieving the goals of the Lisbon strategy

9. Team/Resources (January – March, 2004) • Forward Studies Unit , Latvian Union of Scientists • Larisa Grigorjeva • Tamāra Puga • Andris Puriņš in collaboration with • Jānis Stabulnieks, Jānis Štrauhmanis, • Arnolds Ūbelis, Mikus Veismanis, • Tatjana Volkova Project leader Arturs Puga mailto:forwardstudies@e-apollo.lv

10. Project (process and reports) provides • to researchers and various kinds of stakeholders • networking • learning space • knowledge creation • knowledge consuming • enhancing social capital • outputs to shape preferred futures • studies on entrepreneurial foresight

11. Forward view of entrepreneurs – advancedenquiry of research in Europe and the world How to think about futures in useful ways?

12. Entrepreneurship is multi-dimensional and it can occur in different contexts, economic or other, in all types of organisations Entrepreneurship is the mindset and process to create and develop economic activity by blending risk-taking, creativity and/or innovation with sound management, within a new or anexisting organisation. Green Paper Entrepreneurship in Europe, EC, 2003

13. Maybe trust in the Almighty, luck, or fate ? Interaction of • EVENTS • TRENDS • IMAGES • ACTIONS = FUTURES Or to take more appropriate stance towards the future ?

14. The concept provided by Jim Dator.

15. “Nākotnes paredzēšanas” joma ??? Anti-zinātne Kāda būs nākotne, paredzēt rezultātu nav iespējams Ir dažādas nākotnes varbūtības Vēlamo nākotņuveidošanas process Futures Nākotņu projekcijas Forward view nākotnes priekšstati Īpaša zināšanu iegūšanas un izmantošanas sistēma Foresight Anticipation nākotnes priekšstati jaunrade nojausma intuīcija Entreprenuer

16. Becoming is a process of experiments(from existing patterns/models to create new patterns), that are designed according to the environment or context they take place in. Work in progress To try understand the relationships between entrepreneurs and the future

17. Insight • European Commission (1998).Fostering Entrepreneurshipin Europe: Prioritiesfor the Future, Communication from the Commission to the Council, COM(98) 222 final, Brussels. • Fuller, Ted (2003). "If you wanted to know the future of small business what questions would youask?" Futures 35(4): 305-321. • IBRD, World Bank. Latvia Knowledge Economy Assessment 2002-2003.

18. Insight • Nonaka Ikujiro, Konno Noboro.“The concept of “Ba”: Building a foundation for Knowledge Creation“. California Management Review. Volume 40/3, Spring 1998: 40-54. • Handbook of Knowledge Society Foresight (2002). Authors: Ian Miles, Michael Keenan, Jari Kaivo-Oja. Prepared by PREST and FFRC for the European Foundation for the Improvement of Living and Working Conditions.

19. Insight Analysis of survey results (March, 2004) by RIS Latvia project • Latvia’s SMEs : needs for innovative growth • Innovation support services • Latvian research institutions in 2002 Situation in research institutions is not supporting in setting-up enterprises. Students lack entrepreneurial spirit.

20. Entrepreneurship and Employment • It is not enough to rightly point to the central role of the SMEs in creating new jobs reqiured to achieve the Lisbon targets of employment rates. • SMEs can only play their role if they have options and access to new competencies for entrepreneurs to have skilled staff.

21. Entrepreneurship and Employment • It is not enough to rightly point to the central role of the SMEs in creating new jobs reqiured to achieve the Lisbon targets of employment rates. • SMEs can only play their role if they have options and access to new competencies for entrepreneurs to have skilled staff. “From a business point of view it is difficult to understand why Member States are blocking the progress when there is a quite simple precooked recipe to make Europe 2010 a reality.” Jan Herin, Director, Brussels Office, Confederation of Swedish Enterprise, “Speed up the Lisbon process”, 2003

22. The Lisbon strategy and Entrepreneurship • The Lisbon strategy is a commitment to renewal . • How about the Lisbon process in Latvia?

23. The Lisbon strategy and Entrepreneurship • The Lisbon strategy is a commitment to renewal . • How about the Lisbon process in Latvia? Arturs Puga. Social challenges facing Latvia : problems of identification. Foresight research outputs. (In Latvian) Latvija Eiropā: nākotnes vīzijas. Rīga: LZA BSPC, 2004, 118.-141.lpp.

24. The Lisbon strategy and Entrepreneurship • The Union has still not managed to achieve all its objectives, in particular due to Member States’ inadequate implementation of the reforms. • The Lisbon strategy’s potential lies in both its integrated and targeted approach as regards the policies and reforms to be implemented, with each element reinforcing the others. REPORT FROM THE COMMISSION TO THE SPRING EUROPEAN COUNCIL (2004) DELIVERING LISBON REFORMS FOR THE ENLARGED UNION

25. Outputs for reflexive self-identity Project’s panels Sustainable development Lifelong learning Foresight exercises INNOVATIONS KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT THE LISBON STRATEGY AND PROCESS Futures studies Identification and understanding an entrepreneur’s interactions with... Knowledge economy EU Knowledge-based societies VALUES

26. A clearer understanding of the knowledge-based economy and of the importance of innovation and innovativeness within it, must continue to be developed, and should be communicated widely and across all policy areas. A new generation of innovation policy is required. Elements of this third generation policy are visible, but further development of the key ideas should be a strategic goal. The third generation innovation policy will result in innovation concepts being embeddedin many policy areas. This requires much more than the issuing of pronouncementsabout a new policy. It will be necessary to identify and involve key stakeholders in the process, and to develop interfaces that allow for pooling of knowledge, learning fromexperience and evidence, and further co-ordination of policy initiatives. Though thethird generation policy will need to be developed interactively, rather than imposed formon high, this process will require leadership and vision, with high profile and high levelinnovation “champions” sustaining it. INNOVATION TOMORROW Louis Lengrand & Associés PREST (University of Manchester) ANRT - France European Commission, Innovation papers No 28, 2002

27. Thanks for your attention The presentation designed by Tamāra Puga and Arturs Puga Riga, March, 2004 forwardstudies@e-apollo.lv http://www.geocities.com/forwardstudies/