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ESSENTIALS OF INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS

ESSENTIALS OF INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS. Chapter 8. War and Strife. War: The Data. 14,500 armed struggles in history, depending on how we define war Approximately 3.5 billion deaths Since 1816, between 224 and 559 international and intrastate wars War incidence has declined after 1991.

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ESSENTIALS OF INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS

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  1. ESSENTIALS OF INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS

  2. Chapter 8 War and Strife

  3. War: The Data • 14,500 armed struggles in history, depending on how we define war • Approximately 3.5 billion deaths • Since 1816, between 224 and 559 international and intrastate wars • War incidence has declined after 1991. • Number of battlefield deaths has declined by 80% since 1991.

  4. Is War Inevitable? Realist Answers • War can be managed but never eliminated due to human nature. • States exist in an anarchic system, with no overarching authority to provide security or settle disputes. • States are thus insecure and must rely on self-help to find security. • Insecurity can lead to the “security dilemma.”

  5. Irony of the Security Dilemma • As one state seeks to ameliorate its insecurity, it seeks power. • Once state A gains power, it inadvertently makes state B insecure. • State B then seeks more power, which it might not have otherwise done. • As state B gains power, state A again becomes insecure and seeks more power.

  6. Irony of the Security Dilemma • RESULTS: Vicious circle of power accumulation Permanent condition of tension

  7. Liberals: Is War Inevitable? • Anarchy is a structural restraint. • States can learn to cooperate because of self-interest in the benefits of peace. • International institutions act as cooperation enablers by reducing transition costs and increasing cheating costs—“cooperative competition.”

  8. Liberals: Is War Inevitable? • Benefits of cooperation will push more states to become democratic. • More liberal, democratic states = more peace

  9. Radicals: Transcending War • Capitalism turns human nature toward greed and relentless, destructive competition. • The state supports repressive forces of capitalism at the expense of the majority of people, both domestically and worldwide (imperialism). • War will exist so long as capitalism exists. • War can be eliminated through the triumph of socialism, which fosters sharing of resources and labor.

  10. Constructivists: Reducing War • Threats are socially constructed. • Implications of material objects are socialized as threatening. • Different types of socialization can lead to different outcomes. • Example: United Kingdom versus Iran owning nuclear weapons

  11. Causes of War Individual Level of Analysis • Individual(s)—realists and liberals • Personal characteristics of leaders • Misperceptions • Communications failures

  12. Causes of War Individual Level of Analysis • Individual(s)—realists and liberals • Characteristics of the masses • St. Augustine—act of self-preservation • Niebuhr—war is inherent to humans • War as the unusual event

  13. Causes of War State Level of Analysis • State and society—liberal and radical views • Struggles over internal structures and characteristics of states cause war. • Liberals—democracy restrains leaders, provides outlets for opposing viewpoints.

  14. Causes of War State Level of Analysis • Disagreement about effect of capitalist structure • Liberals say those states avert war, prefer trade. • Radicals say this leads to competition among social groups, stagnation, collapse, or the search for external markets in diversionary war.

  15. International System as the Cause of War • International system—realist and radical views • Anarchy, no final arbiter of disputes • System in state of nature (Hobbes) • Realists—war is caused by states challenging international hierarchy due to • Changing state capabilities • Changing distribution of power among states

  16. International System as the Cause of War • Radicals—dominant states need to expand, leading to war over resources.

  17. Explaining Iraq’s Invasion of Kuwait • Individual Level • Saddam Hussein was insecure and ruthless, misinterpreted U.S. intentions, and miscalculated Saudi Arabia’s interests. • State Level • Iraq had historic claims on Kuwait and it was in Iraq’s national interest to seize Kuwaiti oil fields; authoritarian governments are more likely to choose war as the means to settle disputes.

  18. Explaining Iraq’s Invasion of Kuwait • International Level • Iraq believed invasion would not invoke a response, UN Security Council lacked the cohesion to act, and Arab League would not condemn other Arab states’ actions.

  19. War over South Ossetia, 2008 • Individuals • Promises of Saakashvili election—sought to bolster Georgian pride • Putin promised force and aggressive diplomacy • State/Society: no democracy

  20. War over South Ossetia, 2008 • International • Russia sought to keep out competitors and maintain its position as the regional power. • Georgia sought the greater power’s protection.

  21. Categorizing Wars • Interstate war—between states, as they have recognizable leadership and locations and formal militaries • Intrastate/civil war—between factions within state over control of territory or institutions; many have international repercussions; can last decades; high human costs

  22. Categorizing Wars • Total war—massive loss of life, widespread destruction; many participants, including multiple powers; all available weapons utilized; civilians and military targeted • Limited war—may be limited by goals pursued, type of weapons used, amount of resources used; targets

  23. Explaining the Decline of Total War • Memories of World War II • Nuclear war too costly • Development of security communities • Realists: rise of U.S. hegemony • Liberals: democratic peace, economic interdependence, international organizations • Constructivists: people socialized into attitudes, values, and beliefs in peace

  24. How Wars Are Fought • Conventional warfare—weapons can be limited in time and space; precise targeting; easily available • Problems: chemical weapons; indiscriminate • Weapons of mass destruction (WMD)—nuclear, chemical, biological • Problems: radiation, indiscriminate

  25. How Wars Are Fought • Unconventional warfare—ignores conventions of war • Guerilla warfare, revolutionary guerilla warfare, asymmetric conflicts, terrorism

  26. Going Nuclear: The View from Iran • Iran has an “inalienable right” to develop nuclear energy technology for peaceful purposes via Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty. • Oil and gas will run out and refining capacity is very limited; thus, an alternative energy source is needed. • But Iran’s legitimate security threats from neighboring countries (Pakistan, Afghanistan, Iraq, Israel) plus fear of U.S. invasion may push nuclear development.

  27. Going Nuclear: The View from Iran • Iran’s decision was propelled by U.S. invasion of Iraq and its identification of Iran as part of “axis of evil,” even after post-9/11 intelligence information suggested otherwise. • Based on historic U.S. interference in Iran’s domestic politics, the population supports government policy.

  28. Asymmetric Conflicts: Battle Tactics • Asymmetric warfare—between parties of unequal strength; weaker party seeks to neutralize opponent strengths by exploiting weaknesses • Guerilla war—a “small war” often inspired by nationalism • Revolutionary guerilla war—defeat technologically superior and well-equipped foe by exploiting weaknesses; civilians protect guerillas; traditional warfare concepts eliminated; win hearts and minds of the people

  29. Terrorism as Asymmetric Warfare • Elements of terrorism • Act is political by nature or intent • Committed by non-state actors • Combatant or non-combatant targets • Use unconventional means at unpredictable places and intervals

  30. Terrorism as Asymmetric Warfare • Motivated by political, religious, or economic goals • Seek to instill fear to attain goals

  31. Terrorism’s Transformation since the 1990s • Attacks have become more lethal. • Choice of weapons has become more diverse. • More efficient infrastructure for terrorist networks • Example: electronic money laundering; funding via illegal activities; Internet recruiting

  32. Terrorism’s Transformation since the 1990s • Wider range of groups: nationalist, radical religious, neo-Nazi, left-wing and right-wing • State sponsors, such as Cuba, Iran, North Korea

  33. Responses to Terrorism • International level: conclusion of 12 conventions designed to punish hijackers; protect infrastructure, diplomats, and nuclear materials; and block financial transfers • State level: information sharing among states; monitoring of financial flows; USA PATRIOT Act

  34. Just War Tradition—Jus ad Bellum Just conditions for going into war • Just cause: self-defense; defense of others; massive violation of human rights • Declaration of intent by appropriate authority • Have intentions of ending abuses and establishing a just peace

  35. Just War Tradition—Jus ad Bellum Just conditions for going into war • Must have exhausted all other alternatives • Forces must be removed quickly after objectives are achieved.

  36. Just War Tradition—Jus ad Bellum Just conduct in war • Distinguish between combatants and noncombatants • Noncombatants protected from harm • Violence proportionate to ends • Undue human suffering avoided • Individual responsibility for actions taken

  37. Banning Landmines—Evolution of Norms • International campaign began in 1992 • Spearheaded by non-governmental organizations (NGOs); coordinator was Jody Williams • Argued weapons are indiscriminate and have an unfair destructive impact on innocent noncombatants • From arms control issue to human rights issue • Constructivists: demonstrates impact of norms and socialization in altering behavior of state and nonstate actors

  38. Key Questions about Humanitarian Intervention • How massive do human rights abuses have to be before intervention is just? • Who decides when a humanitarian intervention is necessary? The United Nations? A coalition within the region? Any powerful state? • Is the humanitarian intervention occurring for legitimate reasons or as an excuse to achieve other objectives?

  39. Key Questions about Humanitarian Intervention • Do states have a responsibility to protect (R2P)? • How can some interventions be justified while other situations cannot?

  40. Can Military Intervention Stop Genocide? • YES—Genocide Convention approves state action • Force is the sufficiently fast response • Warns others • Coupled with humanitarian aid, most effective

  41. Can Military Intervention Stop Genocide? • NO—Rarely involve state’s national interests • Complex organization, costly • Can be misinterpreted as neocolonialism • Nearby countries better informed but unprepared • Not effective deterrent, nonmilitary aid more effective over long term

  42. Realist Approaches 1: Managing Insecurity Balance of Power—states, as rational actors, make decisions to increase their own capabilities and undermine those of others • Use of alliances to balance power both internationally and regionally (external balancing) • Increase military and economic capabilities to counter potential threats (internal balancing)

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