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Comprehensive Community-Based Vulnerability Assessment and Adaptive Strategies

This document presents a thorough framework for Community-Based Vulnerability Assessment (CBVA), focusing on multi-stressors and the differential vulnerabilities of stakeholders. It examines current exposure sensitivities and adaptations, alongside strategies for future adaptive capacity in the face of globalization and environmental change. Key challenges include scaling up adaptation efforts and addressing uncertainties that shape decision-making. The methodology includes scenario generation and various analytical tools, highlighting adaptation as an opportunity that transcends community-level responses.

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Comprehensive Community-Based Vulnerability Assessment and Adaptive Strategies

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  1. Community-Based Vulnerability Assessment • multiple stresses • stakeholders • differential vulnerability • relevant exposures • coping range Current Exposure-Sensitivities Current Adaptations / Strategies Natural Science Social Science • Challenges • “scaling up” • assumption that past constraints/conditions limit/enable future action • outcome: areas of particular concern, laundry list of possible adaptations • adaptation does not occur at community scale alone • adaptation as opportunity Future Exposure-Sensitivities Future Adaptive Capacity

  2. Scale Current Exposure-Sensitivities Current Adaptations / Strategies Governance Assessment (multi-level networks, adaptiveness, transformations) Natural Science Sociall Science Future Exposure-Sensitivities Future Adaptive Capacity

  3. Axes: key uncertainties within which decisions are made • Globalization and environmental change?

  4. Scale Current Exposure-Sensitivities Current Adaptations / Strategies Governance Assessment (multi-level networks, adaptiveness, transformations) Natural Science Sociall Science Future Exposure-Sensitivities Future Adaptive Capacity Adaptation Visioning and Evaluation against Maladaptation

  5. Tools: • scenario / “storyline” generation based on (revised) CBVA • Methodological tools: ABM, PPGIS, design charettes • Maladaptation: Barnett and O’Neill (2009): increase GHG emissions, disproportionately burden most vulnerable, high opportunity costs relative to other options, reduce incentives to adapt, foster path dependency

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