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Estimates of Non-Citizen Voter Registration in Kansas

This text outlines various estimates of non-citizens registered to vote in Kansas based on different surveys and extrapolations. The estimates range from 500 to 70,000 non-citizens on the voter registration lists. Data is sourced from surveys like CCES, Sedgwick County naturalization ceremonies, Caskey TDL, and Kansas Suspense List reports.

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Estimates of Non-Citizen Voter Registration in Kansas

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  1. Non Citizen Registration Estimates Jesse Richman, PhD

  2. Registration Status Verified through Voter List Matches

  3. Extrapolation from CCES 2016 National Survey: Non-citizens (adjusted for response error) who said were registered and had validated registration status 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 Estimated Number of Non-Citizens Registered to Vote in Kansas

  4. Extrapolation from CCES 2010 to 2012 Panel National Survey: Test-retest Non-citizens who said were registered and had validated registration status 0 1000 2000 Estimated Number of Non-Citizens Registered to Vote in Kansas 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 9000

  5. Extrapolation from 2008 CCES National Survey: Self-Reported Non-citizens who said were registered and had validated registration status 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 Estimated Number of Non-Citizens Registered to Vote in Kansas

  6. Extrapolation from Sedgwick County 2016 Naturalization Ceremony Prior Registration Rate 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 Estimated Number of Non-Citizens Registered to Vote in Kansas Source: Richman initial and supplemental report

  7. Extrapolation from Sedgwick County 2014 to 2015 Naturalization Ceremony Prior Registration Rate 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000 Estimated Number of Non-Citizens Registered to Vote in Kansas Source: Richman supplemental report

  8. Extrapolation from Caskey TDL / Voter List Match 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 Estimated Number of Non-Citizens Registered to Vote in Kansas Source: Caskey and Hersh Expert Reports

  9. Age-Weighted Extrapolation from Caskey TDL / Voter List Match 0 200 400 Estimated Number of Non-Citizens Registered to Vote in Kansas 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 Source: Richman additional disclosures January

  10. Kansas TDL Survey Estimate: Said were registered to vote or had attempted to register and had voter file match on last name, date of birth, and city 0 2000 4000 Estimated Number of Non-Citizens Registered to Vote in Kansas 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000 16000 18000 Source: Richman additional disclosures January 2018

  11. Self-Reported Registration or Attempted Registration

  12. Extrapolation from 2012 CCES National Survey: Self-Reported Non-citizens who said were registered 0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 Estimated Number of Non-Citizens Registered to Vote in Kansas Source: Richman additional disclosures January

  13. Extrapolation from 2006 through 2012 CCES Kansas Survey: Self-Reported Non-citizens who said were registered to vote 0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 70000 Estimated Number of Non-Citizens Registered to Vote in Kansas Source: Richman initial report and supplemental report.

  14. Extrapolation from 2006 through 2016 CCES Kansas Survey: Self-Reported Non-citizens who said were registered to vote 0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 Estimated Number of Non-Citizens Registered to Vote in Kansas Source: Richman additional disclosures January

  15. Kansas TDL Survey Estimate: Said were registered to vote or had attempted to register 0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 35000 Estimated Number of Non-Citizens Registered to Vote in Kansas Source: Richman initial and supplemental report

  16. Kansas Survey Incidentally Contacted Non-Citizens: Said were registered to vote or had attempted to register 0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 Estimated Number of Non-Citizens Registered to Vote in Kansas Source: Richman initial and supplemental report

  17. Non-Citizens on “Suspense List”

  18. TDL / Suspense List Match 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 Estimated Number of Non-Citizens on "Suspense List" in Kansas Source: Richman initial and supplemental reports

  19. Suspense List Survey 0 50 100 150 200 250 Estimated Number of Non-Citizens on "Suspense List" in Kansas Source: Richman initial and supplemental report

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