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SLICE Advisory Team Meeting January 26 th -27 th 2011

SLICE Advisory Team Meeting January 26 th -27 th 2011. SLICE Advisory Team Who are we?. Oversight DNR Fisheries 1. Project Coordination 2 Ray Valley. Information base. Recommendation of direction . Implementation. DNR Fisheries Implementation 3. Technical Advisory Team 12.

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SLICE Advisory Team Meeting January 26 th -27 th 2011

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  1. SLICE Advisory Team Meeting January 26th-27th 2011

  2. SLICE Advisory Team Who are we? Oversight DNR Fisheries1 Project Coordination2 Ray Valley Information base Recommendation of direction Implementation DNR Fisheries Implementation3 Technical Advisory Team12 Eco and Waters Implementation4 Strategic Advisory Team13 PCA Implementation5 Analysis and Evaluation MDH Implementation6 PCA Water Monitoring Unit Local trends Analysis Teams10 Syntheses of trends Local Partners7 DNR Area Staff Local trends Local Partners Local trends Citizen Volunteers8 Public Information and Outreach9 Ancillary Investigations11

  3. What we want to accomplish by tomorrow… • Debrief from Phase 1 • Review of progress on goals and objectives • What worked, what didn’t from a programmatic standpoint • Come to consensus on program purpose and goals • ID core components and areas of growth in Phase 2 • ID alternative operational program designs based on Section funding scenarios.

  4. What we want to accomplish by tomorrow… • Debrief from Phase 1 • Review of progress on goals and objectives • What worked, what didn’t from a programmatic standpoint • Come to consensus on program purpose and goals • ID core components and areas of growth in Phase 2 • ID alternative operational program designs based on Section funding scenarios.

  5. Adaptive Management Process Phase 1: Oct – Jan 2006/2007 Phase 2 Assess problem Phase 1 Op plan Adjust Design May-Jun 2007 Today! Evaluate Implement Monitor Apr. 2008 2008-2011

  6. Adaptive Resource Management Set-Up Phase Stakeholder Commitment Objectives Management Actions Models Monitoring Plans Iterative Phase 6. Decision Making 7. Follow-up Monitoring 8. Assessment Williams, Szaro & Shapiro 2007

  7. For another day… • Formalize survey design and split-panel design • Sentinel Lake composition going forward • Random Lake assessments • What does 2012 look like? • Will we be ready? Staff and protocols in place? • Stop-gap measures? • Another meeting to precede Fall Area Sups?

  8. Synopsis of Phase 1 Ongoing efforts and deliverables: • USGS forecast models predicting outcomes of climate change and landuse on cold-water habitat in Carlos, Elk, and Trout (LCCMR)

  9. Sentinel watersheds as focal points of long-term monitoring and research USGS Objectives – Monitoring watershed

  10. Synopsis of Phase 1 Ongoing efforts and deliverables: • USGS forecast models predicting outcomes of climate change and landuse on cold-water habitat in Carlos, Elk, and Trout (LCCMR) • SCWRS water quality reconstruction in South Twin, Carlos, Elk, Trout, White Iron, Ten Mile, and Cedar (LCCMR)

  11. Historical reconstructions of water quality and sedimentation – St. Croix Wshd research station 1840s • LCCMR grant • Sediments archive conditions of the past • Link changes to historical climate conditions Today

  12. Synopsis of Phase 1 Ongoing efforts and deliverables: • USGS forecast models predicting outcomes of climate change and landuse on cold-water habitat in Carlos, Elk, and Trout (LCCMR) • SCWRS water quality reconstruction in South Twin, Carlos, Elk, Trout, White Iron, Ten Mile, and Cedar (LCCMR) • UMD analysis of hydroacoustic and vertical gillnetting tools to assess status of cisco (LCCMR)

  13. Synopsis of Phase 1 • Ongoing efforts and deliverables: • Zooplankton assessment – Jodie Hirsch • DJ Indicator Research Project • Overall synthesis – Dave Staples & Ray Valley • Aquatic plants – Cindy Tomcko & Ray Valley • Fish – Mike McInerny (Populations) Ray Valley (Community indicators and IBI)

  14. Synopsis of Phase 1 • Ongoing efforts and deliverables: • Water quality synthesis – Steve Heiskary • Sentinel Lake Baseline Reports – Various DNR and PCA staff • Reports will be moving to DNR SLICE page

  15. If you build it they will come… Lucinda Johnson Heinz Stefan Puni Jeyasingh - OSU Lee Engel – U of MN

  16. Partner investigations – “free” analysis • Simulations of cisco fish habitat in Minnesota Lakes under future climate scenarios – Fang et al. (Auburn U & U of MN) • Simulating the combined effects of future watershed land cover and climate change on cold-water fish habitat – Herb, Stefan, Johnson, Jacobson (U of MN and NRRI; USGS funded) • Reconstruction of how a century of nutrient-enrichment of lakes has affected evolutionary changes in organisms, particular Daphnia pulexzooplankton – Punidan Jeyasingh Oklahoma State University (NSF funded) • Classification of Selected Minnesota Lakes Using Deuterium and δ18O to Characterize Hydrologic Residence Time – Lee Engel and Joe Magner (U of MN)

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