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Socio-Technical Transitions

Socio-Technical Transitions. Models for Change. Jeffery Cottes Adjunct Professor October 30, 2013 Eckhardt-Gramatté Hall, University of Winnipeg Find out more at www.insidepolicy.wordpress.com. Socio-Technical Transitions. Definition:

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Socio-Technical Transitions

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  1. Socio-Technical Transitions Models for Change Jeffery Cottes Adjunct Professor October 30, 2013 • Eckhardt-Gramatté Hall, University of Winnipeg Find out more at www.insidepolicy.wordpress.com

  2. Socio-Technical Transitions • Definition: • a gradual, continuous process of change where the structural character of a society (or complex subsystem of society) transforms.

  3. Innovation Steam power Railroad Steel Cotton Iron Waterpower Mechanisation Textiles Commerce 1845 Energy Transitions • 6th Wave Sustainability Radical resource productivity Whole system design Biomimicry Green Chemistry Industrial ecology Renewable Energy Green nanotechnology • 5th Wave • 4th Wave Digital Networks Biotechnology Software Information technology • 3rd Wave Petrochemicals Electronics Aviation Space • 2nd Wave Electricity Chemicals Internal combustion engine • 1st Wave 1785 1900 1950 1990 2020 Source: Hargroves, K. and M. Smith (2008)

  4. Socio-Technical Transitions • ‘transition studies’ • brings together research on socio-technical systems, public policy and administration, and sustainability studies • bidirectional analysis between human and technological systems • niches, regimes and landscapes are analytical levels within the social-technical system

  5. Models of Growth Innovation Conventional growth Time

  6. Models of Growth Innovation Conventional growth Conventional Development Paradigm Time

  7. Models of Growth Innovation Conventional growth Sustainable Development Paradigm Conventional Development Paradigm Time

  8. Models of Growth Innovation Sustainability Conventional growth Sustainable Development Paradigm Conventional Development Paradigm Time

  9. Stabilisation Technological Diffusion Breakthrough Take-off Predevelopment Time Model of Technological Diffusion

  10. Model of Technological Diffusion

  11. Stabilisation Technological Diffusion Breakthrough Take-off Predevelopment Time Model of Technological Diffusion

  12. Stabilisation Technological Diffusion Breakthrough Take-off Predevelopment Time Model of Technological Diffusion Landscape Pressures

  13. Stabilisation Technological Diffusion Breakthrough Take-off Predevelopment Time Model of Technological Diffusion Landscape Pressures Niche development pathways

  14. Stabilisation Technological Diffusion Breakthrough Take-off Predevelopment Time Model of Technological Diffusion Landscape Pressures Regime Niche development pathways

  15. Stabilisation Breakthrough • Technological Diffusion Take-off Predevelopment Time Governance and Change Landscape Regime Sustainability Niches Innovation Conventional growth Sustainable Development Paradigm Conventional Development Paradigm • How do we couple Innovation with Technological Diffusion? Time

  16. Stabilisation Technological Diffusion Breakthrough Take-off Predevelopment Time Governance and Change Regime Sustainability Conventional growth Sustainable Development Paradigm Conventional Development Paradigm

  17. Final Thoughts • Change will occur, so what kind of change do we want? • What forces are in play, and how can we make sense of them? • Which of these system levels are able to shape the future of sustainability?

  18. Socio-Technical Transitions Models for Change • www.insidepolicy.wordpress.com Jeffery Cottes j.cottes@uwinnipeg.ca

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