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This document outlines the methodology for designing output areas (OAs) used for data collection, as presented in the RSS meeting of November 2000. It details the processes of specifying, demonstrating, and maintaining OAs, focusing on the separation of collection and output geographies for improved data utility. Key topics include the aggregation of postcodes, design constraints (contiguity, size, shape, and homogeneity), and the iterative process for zone design. The project aims to adapt to postcode changes and enhance data relevance using synthetic populations for testing.
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2001 output areas: specification, demonstration and maintenance David Martin, Abigail Nolan, Mark Tranmer RSS meeting: Nov 2000
Overview • 2001 Output areas • Specification • Demonstration • Maintenance • Current developments RSS meeting: Nov 2000
2001 Output areas • 1991: EDs designed for data collection, but used for both data collection and output • 2001: separation of collection and output geographies - purpose-specific geographies • New output areas built from synthetic unit postcode polygons • Application of automated zone design (after Openshaw, 1977) RSS meeting: Nov 2000
OA design (1) Initial random aggregation of postcodes into potential output areas RSS meeting: Nov 2000
OA design (2) Choose one postcode at random as candidate for swapping into a different output area RSS meeting: Nov 2000
OA design (3) Make the swap and evaluate the impact on the overall solution RSS meeting: Nov 2000
OA design (4) If swap does not result in improvement, go back to the previous configuration RSS meeting: Nov 2000
OA design (5) Choose another postcode at random as candidate for swapping into another output area RSS meeting: Nov 2000
OA design (6) If the swap results in an overall improvement, keep it as part of the solution, and examine a new potential swap... RSS meeting: Nov 2000
Specification Initial Random Aggregation of Building Blocks Iterative Recombination Design Constraints (Contiguity, Thresholds, Shape, Size, Homogeneity) 2001 Output Areas RSS meeting: Nov 2000
Constraints (1) • Contiguity: output areas from adjacent postcodes (NB problem of stacks) • Thresholds: output areas above population thresholds (NB problem of sub-threshold parishes) • Shape: output areas should be as compact as possible • minimize perimeter2/area RSS meeting: Nov 2000
Constraints (2) • Size: output areas should be as uniformly sized as possible - avoiding very large and very small populations minimize S(OApop-target)2 • Homogeneity: output areas should be as socially uniform as possible • maximize intra-area correlations RSS meeting: Nov 2000
Intra-area correlation • Measures similarity of values within any area of interest (Holt et al., 1996). Higher correlation = greater homogeneity (theoretical maximum of d = 1.0) • Can be computed for a single category (eg. owner occupied) or for multi-category variables • Tenure and dwelling type evaluated RSS meeting: Nov 2000
Zone design experiments • ONS postcode polygons for test areas • Populated with plausible synthetic populations by iterative sampling of SAR individuals (PCs structured by dwel. type) • Test OAs constructed using alternative combinations of design constraints: (OApop only; OApop+shape; OApop+homog; OApop+shape+homog) RSS meeting: Nov 2000
Illustrative results… RSS meeting: Nov 2000
Illustrative results… RSS meeting: Nov 2000
Illustrative results… RSS meeting: Nov 2000
Illustrative results… RSS meeting: Nov 2000
Demonstration: website http://www.geog.soton.ac.uk/research/oa2001/ RSS meeting: Nov 2000
OA Demonstrator • Experimental results for Kerrier (rural-villages), Cardiff (urban-suburban) and Manchester (metropolitan) • ONS prototype postcode polygon set • Threshold population 100, targets of 150, 250 • Combinations of population, shape and intra-area correlation controls • PDF, CSV and Shape file samples online RSS meeting: Nov 2000
Demonstrator data RSS meeting: Nov 2000
Maintenance • Continual postcode change • Recoded and analysed postcode change in Manchester test area • Most changes: relabelling or splitting • Developments during course of project: • ONS to maintain postcode to OA directory • OS to create postcode boundary set RSS meeting: Nov 2000
Current developments • ONS create own synthetic postcode polygons for input to OA design • NISRA digitize postcode polygons, then input to ONS OA design • Homogeneity – for consultation and final decision. NB different considerations in NI • GROS already have postcode polygons, but different OA design procedure (smaller OAs) RSS meeting: Nov 2000
For further information • Project website: http://www.geog.soton.ac.uk/research/oa2001/ • For this presentation, follow: • Publications and resources • For demonstrator datasets, follow: • OA demonstrator RSS meeting: Nov 2000