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Measles Outbreak. Danae Bixler, MD, MPH. Steps of an Outbreak Investigation. Prepare for fieldwork. Establish the existence of an outbreak. Verify the diagnosis. Steps of an Outbreak Investigation. 4. Define and identify cases. Establish a case definition Identify and count cases
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Measles Outbreak Danae Bixler, MD, MPH
Steps of an Outbreak Investigation • Prepare for fieldwork. • Establish the existence of an outbreak. • Verify the diagnosis. WVDHHR / BPH / OEHP / DSDC / IDEP
Steps of an Outbreak Investigation 4. Define and identify cases. • Establish a case definition • Identify and count cases • Perform descriptive epidemiology. • Develop hypotheses. • Evaluate hypotheses. WVDHHR / BPH / OEHP / DSDC / IDEP
Steps of an Outbreak Investigation (2) 8. As necessary, reconsider, refine hypotheses and execute additional studies • Additional epidemiological studies • Other types of studies – laboratory, environmental • Implement control and prevention measures. • Communicate findings. WVDHHR / BPH / OEHP / DSDC / IDEP
Step 1. • Prepare for Fieldwork • Accumulate knowledge, equipment, sample questionnaires, etc. • Anticipate employee health issues • Make travel and leave arrangements • Know your role in the investigation WVDHHR / BPH / OEHP / DSDC / IDEP
Employee Health • Interviewers must be immune: • Two doses of measles-containing vaccine one month apart on or after the first birthday; OR • Laboratory evidence or history of prior disease • Birth before 1957 • consider 1 dose MMR if no history of disease or laboratory evidence of immunity WVDHHR / BPH / OEHP / DSDC / IDEP
Measles Basics • Clinical WVDHHR / BPH / OEHP / DSDC / IDEP
Measles Basics • Clinical • Prodrome: • Stepwise increase in fever up to 103-105 F • Followed by cough, coryza, conjunctivitis • Koplik’s spots • 1-2 days before rash to 1-2 days after rash • Punctate blue-white spots on red background WVDHHR / BPH / OEHP / DSDC / IDEP
Measles Basics • Clinical(2) • Rash: maculopapular, begins at hairline, progresses downward • Blanch for first 3-4 days • Discrete => confluent • Fades in order of appearance • May desquamate WVDHHR / BPH / OEHP / DSDC / IDEP
Measles Basics • Complications WVDHHR / BPH / OEHP / DSDC / IDEP
Measles Basics • Complications • Diarrhea 8% • Otitis media 7% • Pneumonia 6% • Encephalitis 0.1% • Death 0.2% • Hospitalization 18% WVDHHR / BPH / OEHP / DSDC / IDEP
Measles in Chicago, 1989MMWR, 1990; 39:317 • Cases = 2232 • Hospitalization 755 (33.8%) • Diarrhea 340 (15.2%) • Pneumonia 186 (8.3%) • Otitis media 52 (2.3%) • Encephalitis 1 (0.04%) • Deaths 8 (0.36%) WVDHHR / BPH / OEHP / DSDC / IDEP
Measles Basics • Reservoir • Transmission WVDHHR / BPH / OEHP / DSDC / IDEP
Measles Basics • Reservoir • Humans • Transmission • Person-to-person via droplets • Airborne in closed area for up to 2 hours after a person with measles occupied the area WVDHHR / BPH / OEHP / DSDC / IDEP
Measles Basics • Incubation period WVDHHR / BPH / OEHP / DSDC / IDEP
Measles Basics • Incubation period • Exposure to prodrome: • Average 10-12 days • Exposure to rash: • 7-18 days • Average 14 days WVDHHR / BPH / OEHP / DSDC / IDEP
Measles Basics • Infectious period WVDHHR / BPH / OEHP / DSDC / IDEP
Measles Basics • Infectious period • From 4 days prior to rash onset to 4 days after rash onset WVDHHR / BPH / OEHP / DSDC / IDEP
Measles Basics • Control measures WVDHHR / BPH / OEHP / DSDC / IDEP
Measles Basics • Control measures • Post-exposure vaccination within 72 hours provides protection • MIG for immunosuppressed, pregnant or infants. • In school or daycare: • exclude unless 2 doses of measles vaccine are documented • In health care • Exclude susceptibles from day 5 through day 21 after exposure WVDHHR / BPH / OEHP / DSDC / IDEP
Jay S. • 3 year old healthy male • Onset of ‘cold symptoms’ on 3/7/03; RX amoxicillin on 3/8 because of fever = 105 F • Rash onset 3/10/03 • Blood test ‘negative’ for measles WVDHHR / BPH / OEHP / DSDC / IDEP
Jay S WVDHHR / BPH / OEHP / DSDC / IDEP
Anything else you want to know ???????????
Step 2. • Establish the Existence of an Outbreak • Outbreak (epidemic): occurrence of more cases than expected in a given area or among a specific group of people over a particular period of time. • Cluster: aggregation of cases in a given area over a particular period without regard to whether the number is more than expected WVDHHR / BPH / OEHP / DSDC / IDEP
Step 2. • Establish the Existence of an Outbreak • For measles: 1 case = outbreak WVDHHR / BPH / OEHP / DSDC / IDEP
Step 3. • Verify the diagnosis • Typical clinical presentation + • Laboratory confirmation: • Isolation of measles virus (e.g., nasopharynx, urine) • Significant rise in measles IgG by any standard serologic assay • Positive serologic test for measles IgM WVDHHR / BPH / OEHP / DSDC / IDEP
Step 4 • Establish a case definition • Identify and count cases WVDHHR / BPH / OEHP / DSDC / IDEP
Establish a Case Definition • Clinical case definition An illness characterized by all of the following: • A generalized maculopapular rash lasting > 3 days • A temperature > 101 F • Cough, coryza or conjunctivitis WVDHHR / BPH / OEHP / DSDC / IDEP
Establish a Case Definition (2) • Laboratory criteria for diagnosis • Positive serologic test for measles immunoglobulin M (IgM) antibody, or • Significant rise in measles antibody level by any standard serologic assay, or • Isolation of measles virus from a clinical specimen WVDHHR / BPH / OEHP / DSDC / IDEP
Establish a Case Definition (3) • Case Classification • Suspected: Febrile illness accompanied by generalized maculopapular rash • Probable: A case that meets the clinical case definition, has noncontributory or no serologic or virologic testing, and is not epidemiologically linked to a confirmed case • Confirmed: A case that is laboratory confirmed or that meets the clinical case definition and is epidemiologically linked to a confirmed case. A laboratory-confirmed case does not need to meet the clinical case definition. WVDHHR / BPH / OEHP / DSDC / IDEP
The report on Jay S. arrives . . . WVDHHR / BPH / OEHP / DSDC / IDEP
Is Jay a case? • 3 year old healthy male • Onset of ‘cold symptoms’ on 3/7/03; RX amoxicillin on 3/8 because of fever = 105 F • Rash onset 3/10/03 • Blood test ‘negative’ for measles WVDHHR / BPH / OEHP / DSDC / IDEP
Is Jay a case? • Case Classification • Suspected: Febrile illness accompanied by generalized maculopapular rash • Probable: A case that meets the clinical case definition, has noncontributory or no serologic or virologic testing, and is not epidemiologically linked to a confirmed case • Confirmed: A case that is laboratory confirmed or that meets the clinical case definition and is epidemiologically linked to a confirmed case. A laboratory-confirmed case does not need to meet the clinical case definition. WVDHHR / BPH / OEHP / DSDC / IDEP
Step 4 • Establish a case definition • Identify and count cases WVDHHR / BPH / OEHP / DSDC / IDEP
What type of surveillance would you like to do? • Active surveillance • Individually phone / visit health care providers to search for additional cases • Enhanced passive surveillance • Disseminate written request for reports of additional cases WVDHHR / BPH / OEHP / DSDC / IDEP
. . . Good surveillance pays off! WVDHHR / BPH / OEHP / DSDC / IDEP
Peter M. • 7 ½ year old home-schooled previously healthy male • Onset of runny nose, cough, fever of 104 on 3/10/03 • Rash began on the forehead 3/13/03; progressed downward, now fading from the face • Measles IgM (+) on 3/14/03 WVDHHR / BPH / OEHP / DSDC / IDEP
Peter M. WVDHHR / BPH / OEHP / DSDC / IDEP
Is Peter M. a case? • Onset of runny nose, cough, fever of 104 on 3/10/03 • Rash began on the forehead 3/13/03; progressed downward, now fading from the face • Measles IgM (+) on 3/14/03 WVDHHR / BPH / OEHP / DSDC / IDEP
. . . Good surveillance really, really pays off! WVDHHR / BPH / OEHP / DSDC / IDEP
Step 5. • Perform Descriptive Epidemiology • Person • Place • Time WVDHHR / BPH / OEHP / DSDC / IDEP
Measles in Chicago, 1989MMWR, 1990; 39:317 • N = 2,232 • Age • Less than 5 1,663 (74.5%) • Less than 1 422 (18.9%) • Race / ethnicity • Black 1,594 (71.4%) • Hispanics 506 (22.7%) WVDHHR / BPH / OEHP / DSDC / IDEP