Insights into New South Wales greenhouse gas emissions: sources, trends and projections

1. Insights into New South Wales greenhouse gas emissions: sources, trends and projections The Future of Energy in the Hunter: a seminar exploring the energy future of our region, Hunter Environmental Institute, 15 June 2011

2. Sources of greenhouse gas emissions Total NSW emissions in 2009 - 161 Million tonnes CO2e Source: Australian Greenhouse Emissions Information System

3. Sources of greenhouse gas emissions Total NSW emissions in 2009 - 161 Million tonnes CO2e Source: Australian Greenhouse Emissions Information System

4. Sources of greenhouse gas emissions Total NSW emissions in 2009 - 161 Million tonnes CO2e Source: Australian Greenhouse Emissions Information System

5. Sources of greenhouse gas emissions Total NSW emissions in 2009 - 161 Million tonnes CO2e Source: Australian Greenhouse Emissions Information System

6. Sources of greenhouse gas emissions Total NSW emissions in 2009 - 161 Million tonnes CO2e Source: Australian Greenhouse Emissions Information System

7. Sources of greenhouse gas emissions Total NSW emissions in 2009 - 161 Million tonnes CO2e Source: Australian Greenhouse Emissions Information System

8. Sources of greenhouse gas emissions Total NSW emissions in 2009 - 161 Million tonnes CO2e Source: Australian Greenhouse Emissions Information System

9. Source: Australian Greenhouse Emissions Information System

10. Source: Australian Greenhouse Emissions Information System

11. Source: Australian Greenhouse Emissions Information System

12. Source: Australian Greenhouse Emissions Information System

13. Source: Australian Greenhouse Emissions Information System

14. Source: Australian Greenhouse Emissions Information System

15. Source: Australian Greenhouse Emissions Information System

16. NSW electricity use Sources: ABARE Energy update 2010

17. NSW electricity use – growing faster than population Sources: ABARE Energy update 2010, ABS Population estimates (3105.0.65)

18. Coal mine production Source: Coal Services

19. Coal mine emissions (fugitive emissions) Sources: Coal Services, Australian Greenhouse Emissions Information System

20. Transport - Passenger cars Source: Australian Greenhouse Emissions Information System, DCCEE Australia's emissions projections, OEH analysis

21. Transport - Passenger cars Source: Australian Greenhouse Emissions Information System, DCCEE Australia's emissions projections, OEH analysis

22. Transport - Passenger cars Source: Australian Greenhouse Emissions Information System, DCCEE Australia's emissions projections, OEH analysis

23. Oil prices Source: DCCEE Australia's emissions projections

24. Oil prices and new car fuel efficiency Source: DCCEE Australia's emissions projections

25. Agriculture emissions Source: Australian Greenhouse Emissions Information System

26. Agriculture emissions – Livestock herd Source: Australian Greenhouse Emissions Information System

27. Agriculture emissions – Livestock herd Source: Australian Greenhouse Emissions Information System

28. Agriculture emissions Source: Australian Greenhouse Emissions Information System

29. Meeting a 5% reduction by 2020? Source: Australian Greenhouse Emissions Information System, Commonwealth Treasury ALPF, OEH analysis

30. Meeting a 5% reduction by 2020? Source: Australian Greenhouse Emissions Information System, Commonwealth Treasury ALPF, OEH analysis

31. Meeting a 5% reduction by 2020? Source: Australian Greenhouse Emissions Information System, Commonwealth Treasury ALPF, OEH analysis

32. Meeting a 5% reduction by 2020? Source: Australian Greenhouse Emissions Information System, Commonwealth Treasury ALPF, OEH analysis

33. Meeting a 5% reduction by 2020? Source: Australian Greenhouse Emissions Information System, Commonwealth Treasury ALPF, OEH analysis

34. Meeting a 5% reduction by 2020? Source: Australian Greenhouse Emissions Information System, Commonwealth Treasury ALPF, OEH analysis

35. Meeting a 5% reduction by 2020? Source: Australian Greenhouse Emissions Information System, Commonwealth Treasury ALPF, OEH analysis

36. Meeting a 5% reduction by 2020? Source: Australian Greenhouse Emissions Information System, Commonwealth Treasury ALPF, OEH analysis

37. Meeting a 5% reduction by 2020? Source: Australian Greenhouse Emissions Information System, Commonwealth Treasury ALPF, OEH analysis

38. Meeting a 5% reduction by 2020? Source: Australian Greenhouse Emissions Information System, Commonwealth Treasury ALPF, OEH analysis

39. What about meeting a 20% reduction by 2020?

40. Can energy efficiency assist in achieving significant emission reductions by 2020?

41. NSW electricity - efficiency opportunities Sources: ABARE Energy update 2010, ABS Population estimates (3105.0.65)

42. 36% less We can use electricity more efficiently Per capita difference: 4200 kWh NSW population: 7.2 million Potential savings: 30,000 GWh GHG savings: 27 Mt CO2e Sources: ABARE Energy update 2010, ABS Population estimates (3105.0.65), US Census Bureau, US Energy Information Administration

43. There is great potential in NSW for cost effective savings…

44. Source: ClimateWorks Australia – Low Carbon Growth Plan for Australia http://www.climateworksaustralia.org/low_carbon_growth_plan.html

45. Reducing demand will also alter the supply mix Sources: AEMO 2010 Electricity statement of opportunities, MMA modelling, NSW MACC 2020, McKinsey & Company and OEH analysis

46. “Change has considerable psychological impact on the human mind. To the fearful it is threatening as it means things may get worse. To the hopeful it is encouraging because things may get better. To the confident it is inspiring because the challenge exists to make things better.” King Whitney Jr., Wall Street Journal, 7 June 1967