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Access to Capacity for Alaskan Utilities Legislative Budget & Audit Committee

Read about ENSTAR serving half of Alaska's population, gas supply strategies, DOE study, reserves growth, North Slope gas potential, and market opportunities. Access the full report at www.fe.doe.gov.

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Access to Capacity for Alaskan Utilities Legislative Budget & Audit Committee

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  1. ENSTAR Natural Gas Company Access to Capacity for Alaskan Utilities Legislative Budget & Audit Committee Senate Resources Committee July 28/29, 2004 Tony Izzo

  2. ENSTAR Natural Gas Company • For over 40 years ENSTAR has - • Provided service to keep Alaskans warm • Fueled business and industry • ENSTAR serves half of Alaska’s population in Anchorage, Mat-Su, and Kenai Peninsula

  3. Fuel Cost Comparison

  4. Palmer Wasilla MLP#1 Beluga Power Plant MLP#2 Anchorage CEA Int’l Portage CEA Bernice Lake Agrium Gudenrath Twin 12” Lines Key LNG Plant Soldotna Kalifonsky • Gas Fields • Producer Lines • APC Lines • Leased Line Cook Inlet Pipeline Infrastructure

  5. Cook Inlet Gas Supply Division of Oil and Gas, 2003 Annual Report

  6. Consumers of Cook Inlet Gas

  7. Supply Strategy • Contract for additional supply • We have clearly moved from an “Excess Supply” market to a “Supply & Demand” market • Identify and evaluate options to meet future natural gas demand • Achieved Federal support for an in-depth Department of Energy study of Cook Inlet supply and demand

  8. Gas Supply – January 2000 Beluga Marathon Undesignated 40 January 2000 30 (Bcf) 20 10 0 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 (Year)

  9. Gas Supply – October 2003 Beluga Marathon Moquawkie Unocal Undesignated 40 October 2003 30 20 (Bcf) 10 0 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 (Year)

  10. DOE Study Objective • Determine future demand and supply of natural gas in South Central Alaska (Cook Inlet Basin) and evaluate options to meet the long-term demand • Final Report released: July 2004 • Full report can be found at: www.fe.doe.gov

  11. DOE Observations • Reserves Growth in Cook Inlet • New Exploration in Cook Inlet • North Slope Gas to Cook Inlet

  12. Base Supply & Demand

  13. Reserves Growth in Cook Inlet • Exploration, reserves growth, or some combination can provide additional supply • With assumed reserves growth (1.5 Tcf), there may be sufficient gas through 2025 for commercial and residential consumers and perhaps one industrial user • Reserves growth is estimated at $465 million

  14. Reserves Growth Supply & Demand

  15. New Exploration in Cook Inlet • The potential exists for an additional 13-17 TCF of conventionally recoverable gas • Investment required to explore and develop 50% of the estimated resources potentially available to be discovered could require investment of $5 to $6 billion, if the fields are onshore • If the fields are offshore, the investment needed would be higher

  16. North Slope Gas to Cook Inlet • A North Slope gas pipeline has potential to moderate prices in the south central Alaska region • Opportunity for a favorable price differential between Henry Hub and south central Alaska

  17. North Slope Gas to Cook Inlet • Depending on North Slope to Chicago tariff charges, a spur could provide a $1.00/Mcf cost advantage over Henry Hub prices • Opportunities: • Create value-added products in Alaska • Competitive industrial businesses

  18. $1.50/Mcf $2.50 to $3.00/Mcf Estimated Tariffs and Price Differentials

  19. Conclusions • Access to North Slope gas for all utilities is absolutely critical • Prices will continue to rise as a result of movement from an excess supply to a supply & demand market • Alaska could enjoy a 20-25% price advantage over the lower 48 with access to North Slope gas

  20. Conclusions • Now is the time to focus on responsible resource development with the appropriate urgency to ensure low cost energy for this and future generations

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