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Situation and Outlook of the US Aquaculture Industry 2000 - 2001

Situation and Outlook of the US Aquaculture Industry 2000 - 2001. Dr. Terry Hanson Mississippi State University Department of Agricultural Economics. Presentation. World trends National consumption species & facilities Highlight on Catfish Industry Short- and Long-Term. Aquaculture is:.

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Situation and Outlook of the US Aquaculture Industry 2000 - 2001

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  1. Situation and Outlook of the US Aquaculture Industry2000 - 2001 Dr. Terry Hanson Mississippi State University Department of Agricultural Economics

  2. Presentation • World trends • National • consumption • species & facilities • Highlight on Catfish Industry • Short- and Long-Term

  3. Aquaculture is: - farming of aquatic organisms - intervention in the rearing process to enhance production - ownership of the stock being cultivated

  4. World AquacultureProduction

  5. Source: USDC/NOAA/NMFS, 2001

  6. World Aquaculture Production Major Producer Countries Source: FAO, 2000; note data includes aquatic plants

  7. US Consumption of Fish and Shellfish

  8. US Per Capita ConsumptionFish and Shellfish Products 2000 15.6 lbs./capita Source: USDC/NOAA/NMFS, 2001

  9. US Per Capita Consumption of Meat and Fish, 2000* Lb/person/year 66.0 55.7 49.2 15.6 14.3 * Boneless weight Source: USDA Agricultural Baseline Projections to 2010, February 2001

  10. Tuna Tuna Tuna Tuna Tuna 3.60 3.60 3.60 3.60 3.60 Shrimp Shrimp Shrimp Shrimp 3.20 3.20 3.20 3.20 3.20 Alaskan Pollock Alaskan Pollock Alaskan Pollock Alaskan Pollock Alaskan Pollock 1.68 1.68 1.68 1.68 1.68 Salmon Salmon Salmon Salmon 1.59 1.59 1.59 1.59 1.59 Catfish Catfish Catfish Catfish 1.12 1.12 1.12 1.12 1.12 Cod Cod Cod Cod Cod 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 Clams Clams Clams Clams Clams 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.48 Crabs Crabs Crabs Crabs Crabs 0.46 0.46 0.46 0.46 0.46 Flounder/Sole Flounder/Sole Flounder/Sole Flounder/Sole Flounder/Sole 0.43 0.43 0.43 0.43 0.43 Scallops Scallops Scallops Scallops Scallops 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 Total of Top Ten Total of Top Ten Total of Top Ten Total of Top Ten Total of Top Ten 13.60 13.60 13.60 13.60 13.60 Top Ten Seafood Species in 2000 Consumption lbs. per person Species Source: National Fisheries Institute, 2001

  11. Tuna Tuna Tuna Tuna Tuna 3.60 3.60 3.60 3.60 3.60 Shrimp - 27% is from Aq. Shrimp Shrimp Shrimp Shrimp 3.20 3.20 3.20 3.20 3.20 Alaskan Pollock Alaskan Pollock Alaskan Pollock Alaskan Pollock Alaskan Pollock 1.68 1.68 1.68 1.68 1.68 Salmon Salmon Salmon Salmon Salmon - 50% is from Aq. 1.59 1.59 1.59 1.59 1.59 Catfish Catfish - 100% is from Aq. Catfish Catfish Catfish 1.12 1.12 1.12 1.12 1.12 Cod Cod Cod Cod Cod 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 Clams Clams Clams Clams Clams 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.48 Crabs Crabs Crabs Crabs Crabs 0.46 0.46 0.46 0.46 0.46 Flounder/Sole Flounder/Sole Flounder/Sole Flounder/Sole Flounder/Sole 0.43 0.43 0.43 0.43 0.43 Scallops Scallops Scallops Scallops Scallops 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 Total of Top Ten Total of Top Ten Total of Top Ten Total of Top Ten Total of Top Ten 13.60 13.60 13.60 13.60 13.60 Top Ten Seafood Species in 2000 Consumption lbs. per person Species Source: USDOC/NOAA/NMFS, 2001

  12. U.S. Aquaculture Production

  13. Production States NORTH CENTRAL NORTHEASTERN WESTERN Perch Striped Bass Tilapia Trout Salmon Shellfish Striped Bass Tilapia Salmon Shellfish Striped Bass Catfish Striped Bass Tilapia Baitfish SOUTHERN TROPICAL & SUBTROPICAL Ornamental, Food and Shellfish

  14. Aquaculture Sales

  15. Sales by Aquaculture Category • Food fish - 70% • Mollusks - 9% • Ornamental fish - 7% • Baitfish - 4% • Crustaceans - 4% • Sport/Game - 1% • Other animal aqua. - 5%

  16. Food Fish Species • Catfish • Rainbow trout • Atlantic Salmon • Striped Bass • Tilapia • Others

  17. Food Crustacean Species • Shrimp • Crayfish • Freshwater prawn • Softshell crab

  18. Baitfish Species • Golden shiner • Fathead minnow • Goldfish • Others • Bull minnow • common carp • tilapia • sunfish

  19. Ornamental Species • Goldfish • Angelfish • Guppies • South American Catfish • Koi carp • 100’s of others

  20. Pond Stocking Species • Channel catfish • Largemouth bass • Bluegill • Redear sunfish • Yellow perch • Trout

  21. Estimated 1999 US Finfish & Shellfish Aquaculture Production & Value (1,000,000)

  22. Estimated 1999 US Finfish & Shellfish Aquaculture Production & Value (1,000,000)

  23. Aquaculture Production Facility Types In Use • Ponds - 63% -> • Cagesand pens • Raceways • Closedre-circulation systems

  24. Aquaculture Production Facilities • Ponds • Cagesand pens - 4% --> • Raceways • Closedre-circulation systems

  25. Aquaculture Production Facilities • Ponds • Cagesand pens • Raceways - 14% ---> • Closedre-circulation systems

  26. Aquaculture Production Facilities • Ponds • Cagesand pens • Raceways • Closedre-circulation systems - 7% ----->

  27. U.S. Catfish Industry

  28. Catfish Water Surface Acres Total Catfish Acreage = 185,700

  29. Catfish Round Weight Processed * * through August 2001, 100% of last year at this time Source: USDA Economics and Statistics System, NASS

  30. Total U.S. Catfish Sales ? Source: USDA Economics and Statistics System, NASS

  31. Fresh and FrozenCatfish Products

  32. Product Form Sold

  33. Average Fresh and Frozen Catfish Product Price Received by Processors, 1999 - July 2001

  34. Catfish Fillets Processed in U.S.

  35. Catfish Industry Issues • Low catfish prices for producers • Increasing production costs • EPA effluent discharge regulations • Other issues affecting production costs

  36. Low Catfish Prices Received by Producers • Why? • Viet Namese frozen fillet imports increasing • On-farm inventories up • Full freezers at processing plants • Economic uncertainty • Stagnant per capita consumption

  37. Catfish Price Paid to Farmer, $/lb 25-year avg

  38. Catfish Price Paid to Farmer, $/lb 10-year avg 25-year avg

  39. Catfish Price Paid to Farmer, $/lb 5-year avg 10-year avg 25-year avg

  40. Catfish Price Paid to Farmer, $/lb 5-year avg 10-year avg 25-year avg 2001 price

  41. Average 2001 prices* are: • $0.09/lb less than 5-year average • $0.06/lb less than 10-year average * through September 2001, not adjusted for inflation (nominal prices)

  42. Catfish Price Paid to Farmer, $/lb 2000 price $0.12 per lb less in Sept. 2001 than in 2000 = -16% 2001 price

  43. Lower Price Received by Farmer& Net Returns • Cost of production: • $0.60 - $0.72 / lb • Present price of $0.62 / lb => • Loss for less efficient farmers • Very low profit for efficient farmers

  44. Imports of Catfish to U.S. Source: USDA/NASS

  45. Imports of Catfish to U.S. <= River Catfish from Brazil whole fish from rivers Source: USDA/NASS

  46. Imports of Catfish to U.S. Viet Namese Frozen Fillets 78% - 97% of all imports => * Source: USDA/NASS * Through July 2001

  47. How have imports affected the price of frozen catfish fillets?Frozen Catfish Fillet Prices 1999 - 2001

  48. Comparison of Fillet and Pond Bank Prices

  49. Industry Response to Imports • Legislation • “Country of Origin” labeling • Removal of Channel Catfish images on import packaging • Seek to have ‘Catfish’ name removed from non-Ictaluridae fish species • Advertising • Concentrate on strict US safety and health standards • Legal • Anti-dumping case?

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