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The role of OA in experimentation?

The role of OA in experimentation?. Dave Ferbrache Director Analysis, Experimentation & Simulation. Mission. “Better decisions in an uncertain world” To promote the use of objective evidence based decision making and the development of methods and best practice. Virtual. Explore. Abstract

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The role of OA in experimentation?

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  1. The role of OA in experimentation? Dave Ferbrache Director Analysis, Experimentation & Simulation

  2. Mission “Better decisions in an uncertain world” To promote the use of objective evidence based decision making and the development of methods and best practice.

  3. Virtual Explore Abstract Models Analysis Constructive Simulations Concept Development Experimentation Synthetic Environments War FightingExperimentation Reference Facilities & Ranges Test & Evaluation Live Validate Infrastructure Process Analysis & Experimentation

  4. Workshops, Wargames, Modelling and Simulation Issue Under investigation Human in the Loop Experiments in Virtual Environments Field Experiments Approval/ endorsement Demonstrations Problem Solution Development Options Agreement Concept Development & Experimentation

  5. Concept Discovery/Experiment Preliminary Hypothesis Refine Hypothesis Maturity Demonstrate Developed andRefined MilitaryCapability Concept to Capability US DOD CCRP

  6. MANU FACTURE IN SERVICE CONCEPT ASSESSMENT DEMO DISPOSAL Initial Gate Main Gate ISD TT&P CONUSE CONEMP DOCTRINE SRD URD EQUIPMENT O-TLMP TLMP SUSTAINABILITY PERSONNEL ORGANISATION` TNA TRAINING CADMID Cycle

  7. Maturity of Knowledge Mature Demonstration Fidelity Refined Hypothesis Real World Lessons High Preliminary Hypothesis Live Exercises Models & Sims Immature Low Wargaming Discovery Expert Elicitation Complex Simple Brainstorming Complexity Experimental Space US DOD CCRP

  8. Network Tempo Shared Understanding Effectors Sensors Network Centric Capability? Network Enabled Capability!

  9. Network Enabled Capability • Goal: • To radically enhance our operational capability by improving the way we share information and how we use it • Key Objective: • To provide a coherent conceptual and technical framework to link sensors, decision-makers and effectors

  10. Shared Awareness Co-ordinated Goals Cognitive Domain Develop Intent Develop Intent Understand Understand Information Domain Information Synchronise Effects Synchronise Effects Sense Sense Physical Domain Sensor Netting Synchronised Actions NEC Experimentation

  11. Is there a difference? • Breadth • Depth • Fidelity • Immersion • Rapidity • Cost

  12. Is there really a difference? • Communities • OA, SE, WFE, T&E, HF • Science, Military, Administrative • Personalities • Objective, Subjective, Judgemental, Analytic • Control • Assumptions, Models, Processes, Resources, Outcomes

  13. The trick… • Selling the benefits of evidence based decision making • Bringing the communities together • Linking the data, assumptions, models and techniques

  14. In short… • Experimentation is an OA technique… • OA supports experimentation… • Recursion… see recursion…

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