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Explore the goals, components, and advancements in Earth System Models from an oceanographer's viewpoint, covering atmosphere, biosphere, cryosphere, geosphere, and hydrosphere processes and phenomena at global, regional, and local scales. Learn about coupled prognostic equations, spatial and temporal scales, configurations, and state-of-the-art technologies like nesting techniques. Discover the potential for increased realism, finer resolutions, and longer time scales in evolving Earth System Models, aiming for more complex and accurate simulations. Dive into the future outlook with finite elements and adaptive grids for improved modeling accuracy and international contributions.
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Perspectives inComputational Earth System Science an oceanographer’s view Aike Beckmann Division of Geophysics, Department of Physical Sciences 21.3.2006
EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCES ATMOSPHERE (Meteorology, Climatology) BIOSPHERE (Biology) CRYOSPHERE (Glaciology) GEOSPHERE (Geophysics, Geology) HYDROSPHERE (Oceanography, Hydrology) GOALS: comprehensive understanding of the global, regional and local processes and phenomena of the system
EARTH SYSTEM MODELS cosmos.enes.org/ public/project.html
EARTH SYSTEM MODELS ATMOSPHERE LAND SURFACE OCEAN SEA ICE ICE SHEETS BIOGEOCHEMISTRY - based on: coupled prognostic nonlinear partial differential equations - spatial scales: km to global - temporal scales: days to several millennia - configurations: global or regional
STATE-OF-THE-ART • NUMEROUS COMPONENT MODELS ARE AVAILABLE • COUPLING TECHNOLOGY IS AVAILABLE • COMPUTER RESOURCES ARE AVAILABLE • 100 km resolution, decadal studies (global models) • 10 km resolution, decadal studies (regional models) • ROBUST AND FLEXIBLE 2-WAY NESTING TECHNIQUES EMERGE • FIRST PRODUCTION RUNS CAN BE CARRIED OUT
ESMs IN PROGRESS (IPCC WG1, 2001)
GOALS • MORE REALISM = FINER RESOLUTION + MORE COMPLEXITY • LONGER TIME SCALES http://crga.atmos.uiuc.edu/publications/horizons/hires.html 4/3x4/3 4x5
GOALS • A FINNISH COMPONENT: HIGH LATITUDES
METHODS • CONTINUED MODEL IMPROVEMENT • DEVELOPMENT OF PARAMETRIZATIONS • RIGOROUS VALIDATION • PRODUCTION RUNS (e.g., IPCC) • FOR ICE-OCEAN MODELLING ALONE to significantly contribute to international projects we need at least an order of magnitude better turnaround than currently available
OUTLOOK finite elements, adaptive grids http://www.tstt-scidac.org/applications/climate.html
THE END • Thank you !