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Long Island Import Export Association May 15, 2008 Export Trends

Long Island Import Export Association May 15, 2008 Export Trends. Trends in Ocean Export Transportation. Space Crunch 20% increase in export volume Reduced vessel size (larger vessels moved to more lucrative trades) Huge shift from bulk to containerized movement for agricultural products

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Long Island Import Export Association May 15, 2008 Export Trends

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  1. Long Island Import Export AssociationMay 15, 2008Export Trends

  2. Trends in Ocean Export Transportation • Space Crunch • 20% increase in export volume • Reduced vessel size (larger vessels moved to more lucrative trades) • Huge shift from bulk to containerized movement for agricultural products • Decreased import volumes = limited availability of empty equipment • Increasing Rates • Equipment Imbalance Surcharge ($300/cntr – Midwest to TPWB) • Special Equipment Premium ($300/cntr – TAEB) • GRI ($350 to $500/cntr – Latin America) • Emergency BAF ($300/cntr – TPWB) • Outlook • Falling dollar likely to keep exports strong • Growth expected to continue through remainder of this year • Fuel increases continue to be a major rate component

  3. Trends in Ocean Import Transportation • Capacity Management • 15% decrease in yoy volume reported at major ports • Vessel re-deployment cuts capacity • Increasing Rates • Floating Bunker Adjustment Factor (all trades) • GRI (Trans-Pacific) • Intermodal Fuel Surcharges (all trades) • Outlook • Falling dollar likely to keep imports weak • Uncertainty over retail outlook for Fall 2008 • Contracts • Some breaks among carriers on selected business • Limited contracts executed in the industry (30% of BCO’s, almost no NVOCC’s)

  4. Trends in Air Import Transportation • Traditional Business Lagging • Fashion, Retail; Imports • US Imports Remain Dominant • Non-Traditional Business Offsetting Some Losses • Pressure on Ocean Leads to Increased Use of Air • Decreasing Rates • Traditional Strong Markets Showing Weakness • Asia –to- USA Drives the Industry • Much of ATA Decreases offset by Rampaging Fuel Surcharges • Outlook • Falling dollar likely to keep exports strong • Growth expected to continue through remainder of this year • Fuel increases continue to be a major rate component

  5. Trends in Air Export Transportation • Tonnages Surging in Some Sectors • Weak Dollar Drives Exports • Lack of Ocean Equipment = Routing Factor • Surging Surcharges • Class Actions Raise Doubts • Carriers Showing Flexibility on Exceptional Shipments • Steadying Rates • Over-Capacity Remains • Outlook • Falling dollar, Growth to Continue, Fuel will continue to define overall cost

  6. Trends in Air Freight – Unprecedented Security Applicable (only) to Cargo Transported on Passenger Aircraft • Today = Screening Mandate = 10% • March 2009 = Screening Mandate = 50% • August 2010 = Screening Mandate = 100% • Certified Shipper Program • TSA Verification of Shipper’s Location(s) • Employee Screening • Indirect Air Carrier (IAC) Training • Certified Cargo Screening Facility • 3rd Party Transactions, Performing Above Services

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