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The Traders Forum

The Traders Forum. Presenters: Shaun van den Berg Head of Client Education Travis Robson Trading & Relationship Manager. Tuesday 26 th February 2013. Agenda. Introduction CFD versus Equities Upcoming Webinars

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The Traders Forum

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  1. The Traders Forum Presenters: Shaun van den Berg Head of Client Education Travis Robson Trading & Relationship Manager Tuesday 26th February 2013

  2. Agenda • Introduction • CFD versus Equities • Upcoming Webinars • The Stockbroker (Technical analysis) • Trade Ideas • Technical Trading • Technical Market Overview • The Investor (Fundamental analysis) • Long-term Investment Opportunities • Open the Floor • Summary & Conclusion

  3. CFD versus Equities Equity Trade Details CFD Trade 500 ABC shares 500 ABC shares Instrument 6000c Price (Cents) 6000c R30 000 R30 000 Exposure Initial Margin 15% R30 000 R4 500 Initial Margin 17.5% R5 250 R30 000 Brokerage Cost R120.00 R267.50 R37.45 14% VAT R16.80 R85.92 STT & STRATE None R390.87 Total Costs R136.80 1.30% % of Exposure 0.46%

  4. Upcoming Webinars • Learn to trade Equity Derivatives Webinar • Date: Wednesday, 13 March 2013 / Time: 13:00 14:00 Topics Covered: • Platform overview for CFD & SSF • Technical Trading - resistance / trend lines / chart patterns • Technical Market Overview • Trading plan - Stop loss / take profits / buying levels • Psychology of trading & Trading ideas • Advanced Technical Analysis (Candlesticks) • Date: Wednesday, 20 March 2013 / Time: 13:00 14:00 Topics Covered: • Introduction to Candles • Major candlestick signals – Bullish and bearish patterns • Choosing support and resistance levels • Trade ideas using candlesticks with other TA tools • **Please note limited to 100 people

  5. The Stockbroker Technical & Trade Ideas

  6. The Stockbroker

  7. Quote: Trading Wisdom Professional traders focus on limiting risk and protecting capital. Amateur traders focus on how much money they can make on each trade. Professionals always take money away from amateurs. Stay relaxed. Place trade and set stop loss. If you get stopped out, who really cares? You are doing your job. You are actively protecting your capital. Professional traders actively take small losses. Amateurs resort to hope and sometimes prayer to save their trade. Jacques Magliolo: “Become your own Stockbroker”

  8. Trade Ideas • Woolies (WHL) • PPC (PPC) • Vodacom (VOD) • Steinhoff (SHF) • New Gold (GLD) • Sasol (SOL)

  9. Woolies (WHL) 16.1.2013 Instrument: CFD / SSF Direction: Buy / Long Entry: 6470c Take Profit: 7200c Stop loss: 6190c (5950c)

  10. Woolies (WHL) 11.2.2013

  11. Woolies (WHL) 26.2.2013 Direction: Buy / Long Entry: 6470c Take Profit: 68.85c Return: 6.45%

  12. PPC (PPC) 26.2.2013 Instrument: CFD / SSF Direction: Buy / Long Entry: 3385c Take Profit: 3650c Stop loss: 3301c

  13. PPC (PPC) 26.2.2013 Breakout?

  14. Vodacom (VOD) 22.2.2013 Instrument: CFD / SSF Direction: Buy / Long Entry: 11825c Take Profit: 12500c Stop loss: 11500c

  15. Vodacom (VOD) 26.2.2013 Breakout?

  16. Steinhoff (SHF) 26.2.2013 Daily

  17. Newgold (GLD) 26.2.2013

  18. Sasol (SOL) 25.2.2013

  19. Sasol (SOL) 25.2.2013

  20. Technical Analysis Support & Resistance / Trend Lines / Chart Patterns

  21. Support & Resistance Resistance Resistance Resistance Support Support Resistance Resistance Support Resistance Support Support Resistance Support Resistance Support Support & Resistance levels highlight possible “turning points” Support

  22. Trend Lines As long as the price stays above/ below the Support or Resistance lines, the trend is either bullish or bearish Resistance Trend Line Support Trend Line Resistance Trend Line Support Trend Line

  23. Reversal Patterns Rising Wedge Double Bottom Double Top Head & Shoulders (Top) Inverse Head & Shoulders Broadening Formation Falling Wedge

  24. Double Top Pattern – Mr Price (MPC) Double Top Pattern? Double top: Refers to the rise of a stock's price, a drop, and then a rise back to the same level as the original rise – all occurring after a significant rally. Bearish

  25. Double Bottom Pattern – Impala (IMP)

  26. Rising Wedge – The Foschini Group (TFG) Rising Wedge?

  27. Head & Shoulders – Barloworld (BAW) 8.2.2013 H&S? Head & Shoulders price target: the minimum target is the height of the pattern to the “neckline” projected downwards from the breakdown point.

  28. Head & Shoulders – Barloworld (BAW) 12.2.2013 H&S?

  29. Double Bottom or H&S? – Woollies (WHL) 8.2.2013 Inverse Head & Shoulders? Double Bottom?

  30. Continuation Patterns Rectangle Formation Flat Top or Ascending Triangle 1 3 5 Flat Bottom or Descending Triangle 4 2 Symmetrical Triangle

  31. Symmetrical Triangle - (Stanbank) (SBK)

  32. Rectangle Formation (Massmart) (MSM)

  33. Flat Tops (Aspen) (APN)

  34. Technical Market Overview

  35. S & P 500 Index Resistance Rising Wedge? Support Bullish

  36. Brent Oil Resistance Resistance Support Support Bullish

  37. Brent Oil…. Sasol 25.2.2013 Resistance Support

  38. Gold $ Resistance Resistance Resistance Channel Support Support Bearish

  39. Platinum $ Resistance Support / Resistance Support Support Bullish

  40. JSE Platinum Mining Index Support / Resistance Resistance / Support Bearish

  41. Rand $ Support Support Channel Resistance Resistance ZAR Weakness

  42. JSE Top 40 Index Resistance Support Resistance Support Bullish

  43. JSE Food Index Resistance Resistance Channel Support Bullish

  44. Summary: Technical Overview • JSE Top 40 Index • Bullish • Oversold? • JSE Platinum • Bearish • Oversold • Testing support • JSE Food • Bullish • Up channel • S&P 500 Index • Bullish • Becoming Overbought • Brent Crude Oil • Bullish • Gold $ • Bearish / Down channel • Platinum $ • Bullish • Rand $ • Bearish / Up channel

  45. The Investor Fundamentals & Long-term Share picks

  46. The Investor Positives & Negatives One Share Spot Bi-monthly newsletter Equity Account 3-year view Technical View Recommendation Long-term equity investor

  47. Methodology Step 2: Click Search Step 1: Click Research PEG ratio (PE%) is less than or equal to 85% Quality rating (%) is greater than 70%

  48. Methodology

  49. IFR recommendations 2012 - 20% 2012 - ALSI 40 22% 2012 - 33%

  50. IFR recommendations

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