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B UDGET U PDATE

B UDGET U PDATE. Budget Department, Ministry of Finance. Outline. 1387 Budget Execution Achievements and Challenges 1388 Budget Brief and Plan Foreseen Challenges/Recommendation Budget Calendar (Draft). 1387 Core Budget Execution. 1386 vs 1387 Core Development Budget Expenditure.

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B UDGET U PDATE

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  1. BUDGET UPDATE Budget Department, Ministry of Finance

  2. Outline • 1387 Budget Execution • Achievements and Challenges • 1388 Budget Brief and Plan • Foreseen Challenges/Recommendation • Budget Calendar (Draft)

  3. 1387 Core Budget Execution

  4. 1386 vs 1387 Core Development Budget Expenditure $366.35 Million which was committed by donors is not paid yet

  5. Execution: Discretionary Vs Non Discretionary $366.35 Million (USD 200 million Discretionary and USD 166 million Non discretionary which was committed by donors is not paid yet

  6. Development Budget Expenditures by Ministry

  7. Achievements in 1387 • ANDS integration into MoF Structure • Prepared of ToR and establishment of 14 out of 17 Inter Ministerial Committees for Implementation of ANDS • Strengthening the alignment of the Budget with ANDS • Restructured the budget department in line with P&G requirements • State Budget Planning System (SBPS) installed and will start operation

  8. Achievements in 1387 (Cont’d) • New mechanism to monitor expenditure “Planning and Monitoring” • Two successful and comprehensive donor financial reviews • Program Budgeting expanded to 20 Ministries • Workshops by the provincial budget team for more than 500 personnel of the line ministries in the Center and provincial departments

  9. Challenges in 1387 • Low capacity in the line ministries in the areas of program budgeting project preparations, ANDS costing, taxation issues, and financial control. • The line ministries understand their wish list • Unavailability of sufficient discretionary resources to meet the demand • Little interest of donors in infrastructure projects and delays in fund disbursement from donors • Under-disbursement vis-à-vis commitment (i.e USD 166 million in Non discretionary and USD 200 million in Discretionary funds)

  10. 1388 Budget high lights • Projected Domestic Revenue is 26% higher than 1387 • Operating Budget is 22% higher than 1387 • Domestic Revenue is covering only 54% of operating Budget in 1388 vs. 65% in 1387 • 42.4% of operating Budget is allocated for Security Sector • 18% is allocated to Education

  11. 1388 Budget high lights • ANA increases from 86,000 To 109,314 • 86,000 Civil Servants will come under P&G including teachers. • 125,00 New Teachers for Ministry of Education • Increase in Staff of Revenue Department,.

  12. 1388 Budget • Core Development of USD 2,092 million includes USD 1,135.7 million New Financing and USD 956 million Carry Forward from FY 1387.

  13. 1388 Budget by Sector

  14. Plans for 1388 • A comprehensive ANDS Implementation Plan • Diverting the attention of donors to under-funded sectors (i.e. Education and Infrastructure and Agriculture) and preparation of code of conduct between GoA and donors • Using IMCs and the new aid effectiveness working groups to coordinate and align donor programs and projects to ANDS • Online Donor Assistance Database (DAD) and increasing the flow of information between line ministries donors and MoF • Strengthening financial control, fiduciary standards and fiscal transparency

  15. Plans for 1388 (Cont’d) • Institutionalizing of MoF and ANDS publications • Grants/Loans Review Mechanism • Strengthening and supporting the anti-corruption measures already in place by making them functional • Improve cash management

  16. Foreseen Challenges for 1388 • Uncertainty about future projections of donor grants • Leads to difficulty in setting line ministries' ceilings early on in the budget cycle by line ministries • Decrease in ARTF Recurrent Cost Window and increase in Recurrent costs (specially Operation & Maintenance) • Limited knowledge of off-budget recurrent cost particularly in the security sector

  17. Foreseen Challenges for 1388 (Cont’d) • Donors not being able to fulfill the existing commitments in lay of the current financial crisis • Finding/retaining qualified people to replace the MBAW project staff • Less budget support to Development Budget

  18. Estimated ANDS External Financing Gaps

  19. Recommendations • Enhanced coordination between the GoA and the donors in a timely manner • In particular donors should quantify their support for 1389 early on in the budget cycle • Timely disbursement of donor support by the donors (will help us for better cash management) • More focus on ANDS implementation and its monitoring and evaluation

  20. Thank You

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